Oman — Comoro Islands 2:1: match report and statistics

• 2.26 Expected goals (xG) 0.47
• 43% Possession 57%
• 14 Total shots 9
• 5 Shots on target 3
• 6 Big Chances 1
• 3 Corners 5
• 78 (284/364)Assists(403/478) 84
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 1.48 xG on target (xGOT) 0.95
• 7 Shots off target 4
• 2 Shots blocked 2
• 10 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 24 Touches in opposition box 11
• 3 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 2
• 7 Free kicks 20
• 51 (25/49)Long Balls(37/71) 52
• 60 (75/126)Passes in final third(57/91) 63
• 36 (5/14)Crosses(2/20) 10
• 1.84 Expected assists (xA) 0.26
• 16 Throw-ins 24
• 20 Fouls 7
• 67 (14/21)Tackles(11/17) 65
• 45 Duels won 57
• 35 Clearances 18
• 15 Steals 11
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 2 Saves 3
• 0.95 xGOT faced 1.48
• -0.05 Goals prevented -0.52

Tournament

Arab Nations Cup

Season

2025

Attendance

9,348

Referee

Pierre Ghislain Atcho

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Palestine	3	1	2	0	3:2	+1	5	DDW
2	Syria	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5	DDW
3	Tunisia	3	1	1	1	5:3	+2	4	WDL
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1	LDL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Morocco	3	2	1	0	4:1	+3	7	WDW
2	Saudi Arabia	3	2	0	1	5:3	+2	6	LWW
3	Oman	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4	WDL
4	Comoro Islands	3	0	0	3	3:8	-5	0	LLL

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Jordan	3	3	0	0	8:2	+6	9	WWW
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	1	1	5:4	+1	4	WDL
3	Egypt	3	0	2	1	2:5	-3	2	LDD
4	Kuwait	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1	LLD

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Algeria	3	2	1	0	7:1	+6	7	WWD
2	Iraq	3	2	0	1	4:3	+1	6	LWW
3	Bahrain	3	1	0	2	5:8	-3	3	WLL
4	Sudan	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1	LLD

• Promotion - Arab Nations Cup (Play-off)

• The model expects 1.67 goals: 1.25 for Oman and 0.42 for Comoro Islands.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (24%), followed by 0–0 (19%).
• Corners: about 8.8 (3.3 — 5.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.92, 2nd — 0.67.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	50%	100%	81%	1.23
Over 1.5	33%	50%	50%	2.02
Over 2.5	0%	50%	23%	4.28
Over 3.5	0%	50%	9%	11.36
Over 4.5	0%	0%	3%	36.44

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Oman Comoro Islands

• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Under 4.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 10.5 corners in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 matches75%
• At least one team failed to score in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 6

Omanmatches: 6 · 2Comoro Islands

0.83Avg match total2.5

50%3/6Over 0.5100%2/2

50%3/6Under 0.50%0/2

33%2/6Over 1.550%1/2

67%4/6Under 1.550%1/2

0%0/6Over 2.550%1/2

100%6/6Under 2.550%1/2

0%0/6Over 3.550%1/2

100%6/6Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/6Over 4.50%0/2

100%6/6Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

OmanComoro Islands

67%2/3Scores first0%0/2

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

0%0/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Oman opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Oman avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Comoro Islands opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Comoro Islands avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Oman				Comoro Islands
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	17%	1–15	50%	0	2
0	1	17%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	46–60	100%	1	1
1	0	17%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	17%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Oman scores most in 61–75: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Oman concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Comoro Islands scores most in 46–60: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Comoro Islands concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 4 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

OmanComoro Islands

2.0Corners won, avg4.5

6.7Corners conceded, avg4.5

8.7Match corners, avg9.0

1.33Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Oman				Comoro Islands
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	2	100%	1–10	—	—	—
0	0	0%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0	0%	21–30	—	—	—
1	2	100%	31–40	—	—	—
1	0	100%	41–HT	—	—	—
0	0	0%	46–55	—	—	—
0	0	0%	56–65	—	—	—
0	0	0%	66–75	—	—	—
0	0	0%	76–85	—	—	—
0	1	100%	86–FT	—	—	—
1	0	100%	37–HT	—	—	—
0	1	100%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Omanper matchComoro Islands

0.17xG for0.44

1.28xG against1.17

6.3Shots7.5

12.0Shots against7.5

1.0Shots on target2.0

2.0On target against3.5

8%Conversion7%

12.7Shots per goal15.0

12.7Fouls6.5

0.0Offsides1.0

• • Oman scores 0.33 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Oman concedes 0.95 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Comoro Islands scores 0.06 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Comoro Islands concedes 0.83 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.