Arambagh KS — Fortis Limited 0:4: match report and statistics

• 5 Total shots 13
• 1 Shots on target 10
• 6 Corners 1
• 4 Shots off target 3

Tournament

Bangladesh. Federation Cup

Season

2025/2026

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Brothers Union	4	3	1	0	5:0	+5	10	WWWD
2	Rahmatganj MFS	4	1	3	0	3:1	+2	6	DWDD
3	PWD SC	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6	WLLW
4	Abahani Limited Dhaka	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4	LDLW
5	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1	DLLL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bashundhara Kings	4	2	2	0	10:2	+8	8	WWDD
2	Mohammedan Dhaka	4	2	2	0	8:3	+5	8	WDDW
3	Bangladesh Police	4	2	0	2	6:8	-2	6	LWWL
4	Fortis Limited	4	1	2	1	7:4	+3	5	LWDD
5	Arambagh KS	4	0	0	4	0:14	-14	0	LLLL

• Promotion - Federation Cup (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - Federation Cup (Play-off: Round of 8)

• The model expects 1.59 goals: 0.59 for Arambagh KS and 1 for Fortis Limited.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (20%), followed by 0–1 (20%).
• Corners: about 8.8 (4.8 — 4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.83, 2nd — 0.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	80%	1.26
Over 1.5	50%	33%	47%	2.13
Over 2.5	0%	33%	21%	4.70
Over 3.5	0%	0%	8%	13.03
Over 4.5	0%	0%	2%	43.74

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Arambagh KS Fortis Limited

• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 5.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 4 of 5 matches80%
• Failed to score in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6

Arambagh KSmatches: 4 · 3Fortis Limited

1.5Avg match total1.67

100%4/4Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/3

50%2/4Over 1.533%1/3

50%2/4Under 1.567%2/3

0%0/4Over 2.533%1/3

100%4/4Under 2.567%2/3

0%0/4Over 3.50%0/3

100%4/4Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/4Over 4.50%0/3

100%4/4Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Arambagh KSFortis Limited

25%1/4Scores first67%2/3

100%1/1…and wins100%2/2

0%0/1…and draws0%0/2

0%0/1…and loses0%0/2

0%0/1…and then concedes0%0/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Arambagh KS opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Arambagh KS avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Fortis Limited opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Fortis Limited avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Arambagh KS				Fortis Limited
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	33%	0	1
0	2	50%	16–30	33%	1	0
2	0	25%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	33%	0	1
0	1	25%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	1	25%	76–90	67%	2	0
1	0	25%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	67%	2	0

• • Arambagh KS scores most in 31–45: 2 of 2 goals (100%).
• • Arambagh KS concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Fortis Limited scores most in 76–90: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Fortis Limited concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Arambagh KSFortis Limited

5.0Corners won, avg4.0

4.0Corners conceded, avg4.5

9.0Match corners, avg8.5

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg0.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.