Al Nahda Al Buraimi — Sur Club 4:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

Sultan Qaboos Cup

Season

2025/2026

• The model expects 3 goals: 1.92 for Al Nahda Al Buraimi and 1.09 for Sur Club.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 2–1 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.5, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	50%	100%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	50%	100%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	0%	67%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	0%	33%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Al Nahda Al Buraimi Sur Club

• 6 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored first in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Al Nahda Al Buraimimatches: 2 · 3Sur Club

2.0Avg match total4.0

100%2/2Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/3

50%1/2Over 1.5100%3/3

50%1/2Under 1.50%0/3

50%1/2Over 2.5100%3/3

50%1/2Under 2.50%0/3

0%0/2Over 3.567%2/3

100%2/2Under 3.533%1/3

0%0/2Over 4.533%1/3

100%2/2Under 4.567%2/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Al Nahda Al BuraimiSur Club

50%1/2Scores first0%0/3

100%1/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

0%0/1…and loses—

0%0/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Al Nahda Al Buraimi opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Al Nahda Al Buraimi avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Sur Club opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Sur Club avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Al Nahda Al Buraimi				Sur Club
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	50%	1–15	33%	1	1
0	0	0%	16–30	100%	1	2
0	0	0%	31–45	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	46–60	100%	2	1
0	0	0%	61–75	67%	1	1
2	0	100%	76–90	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	50%	87–FT	33%	0	1

• • Al Nahda Al Buraimi scores most in 76–90: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Al Nahda Al Buraimi concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Sur Club scores most in 46–60: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Sur Club concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • Sur Club scores 20% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.33 goals per match on average.