Tecnico Universitario — SD Aucas 0:1: match report and statistics

• 0.39 Expected goals (xG) 0.68
• 48% Possession 52%
• 11 Total shots 7
• 3 Shots on target 3
• 1 Big Chances 4
• 10 Corners 6
• 72 (231/321)Assists(262/367) 71
• 5 Yellow cards 4
• 0 Red cards 1
• 0.16 xG on target (xGOT) 0.94
• 6 Shots off target 1
• 2 Shots blocked 3
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 19 Touches in opposition box 18
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 0
• 19 Free kicks 14
• 46 (32/69)Long Balls(28/78) 36
• 60 (84/139)Passes in final third(50/108) 46
• 16 (4/25)Crosses(1/10) 10
• 1.17 Expected assists (xA) 0.7
• 22 Throw-ins 20
• 14 Fouls 19
• 60 (9/15)Tackles(10/12) 83
• 47 Duels won 47
• 12 Clearances 31
• 8 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 3
• 0.94 xGOT faced 0.16
• -0.06 Goals prevented 0.16
• 5 Goal kicks 14

Tournament

Ecuador. Serie A

Season

2026

Referee

Patricio Javier Parra Leon

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74	WWLDW
2	Universidad Catolica Quito	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51	WWDDW
3	Club Social y Deportivo Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	WLWWL
4	SD Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50	DDDWW
5	Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46	DWDLW
6	Barcelona Sporting Club	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad Loja	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones Del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	LWDWL
11	Mushuc Runa	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	LDDWD
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	DLWLD
13	Orense Sporting Club	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	LWLLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	WLLWL
15	Delfin	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	DLWLL
16	Manta	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	DLLWL

• Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship - Play-off)
• Promotion - Liga Pro (Places)
• Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.17 goals: 1.06 for Tecnico Universitario and 1.11 for SD Aucas.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (13%).
• Corners: about 9 (4.4 — 4.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.06, 2nd — 1.12.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	80%	89%	1.13
Over 1.5	78%	50%	64%	1.57
Over 2.5	44%	40%	37%	2.72
Over 3.5	11%	20%	17%	5.75
Over 4.5	0%	10%	7%	14.54

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Tecnico Universitario SD Aucas

• Conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 9.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 10.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Tecnico Universitariomatches: 9 · 10SD Aucas

2.33Avg match total2.0

100%9/9Over 0.580%8/10

0%0/9Under 0.520%2/10

78%7/9Over 1.550%5/10

22%2/9Under 1.550%5/10

44%4/9Over 2.540%4/10

56%5/9Under 2.560%6/10

11%1/9Over 3.520%2/10

89%8/9Under 3.580%8/10

0%0/9Over 4.510%1/10

100%9/9Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Tecnico UniversitarioSD Aucas

44%4/9Scores first50%4/8

100%4/4…and wins100%4/4

0%0/4…and draws0%0/4

0%0/4…and loses0%0/4

50%2/4…and then concedes0%0/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Tecnico Universitario opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • Tecnico Universitario avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.
• • SD Aucas opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • SD Aucas avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Tecnico Universitario				SD Aucas
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	22%	1–15	20%	1	1
2	2	33%	16–30	40%	0	4
3	1	33%	31–45	30%	4	0
0	1	11%	46–60	20%	2	0
2	1	33%	61–75	20%	2	2
3	4	67%	76–90	30%	2	2
1	0	11%	37–HT	20%	3	0
1	3	33%	87–FT	20%	1	1

• • Tecnico Universitario scores most in 31–45: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Tecnico Universitario concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 10 conceded.
• • Tecnico Universitario scores 45% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • SD Aucas scores most in 31–45: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • SD Aucas concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 9 conceded.
• • SD Aucas scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Tecnico UniversitarioSD Aucas

4.8Corners won, avg5.0

4.2Corners conceded, avg4.0

9.0Match corners, avg9.0

2.11Corners in 1st half, avg2.3

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Tecnico Universitarioper matchSD Aucas

1.28xG for1.3

1.31xG against0.93

14.8Shots13.8

11.8Shots against9.7

5.2Shots on target5.1

3.1On target against2.4

8%Conversion8%

12.1Shots per goal12.6

14.3Fouls11.9

2.44Offsides1.67

• • Tecnico Universitario scores 0.06 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Tecnico Universitario concedes 0.2 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • SD Aucas scores 0.2 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • SD Aucas concedes 0.03 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.