Orense Sporting Club — SD Aucas 2:1: match report and statistics

• 1.03 Expected goals (xG) 1.27
• 58% Possession 42%
• 13 Total shots 8
• 7 Shots on target 2
• 2 Big Chances 3
• 6 Corners 3
• 84 (343/407)Assists(216/288) 75
• 1 Yellow cards 0
• 1.98 xG on target (xGOT) 1.23
• 5 Shots off target 4
• 1 Shots blocked 2
• 9 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 29 Touches in opposition box 17
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 0
• 10 Free kicks 13
• 63 (35/56)Long Balls(14/42) 33
• 70 (99/141)Passes in final third(55/85) 65
• 33 (6/18)Crosses(5/14) 36
• 2.05 Expected assists (xA) 1.11
• 26 Throw-ins 12
• 13 Fouls 10
• 87 (13/15)Tackles(9/18) 50
• 46 Duels won 51
• 14 Clearances 33
• 6 Steals 14
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 5
• 1.02 xGOT faced 2.45
• 0.02 Goals prevented 0.45
• 7 Goal kicks 8

Tournament

Ecuador. Serie A

Season

2026

Referee

Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74	WWLDW
2	Universidad Catolica Quito	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51	WWDDW
3	Club Social y Deportivo Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	WLWWL
4	SD Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50	DDDWW
5	Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46	DWDLW
6	Barcelona Sporting Club	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad Loja	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones Del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	LWDWL
11	Mushuc Runa	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	LDDWD
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	DLWLD
13	Orense Sporting Club	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	LWLLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	WLLWL
15	Delfin	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	DLWLL
16	Manta	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	DLLWL

• Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship - Play-off)
• Promotion - Liga Pro (Places)
• Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.15 goals: 1.05 for Orense Sporting Club and 1.1 for SD Aucas.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (13%).
• Corners: about 9.7 (5.3 — 4.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.95, 2nd — 1.2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	80%	88%	1.13
Over 1.5	90%	40%	63%	1.58
Over 2.5	50%	30%	36%	2.75
Over 3.5	10%	20%	17%	5.85
Over 4.5	10%	10%	7%	14.88

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Orense Sporting Club SD Aucas

• Winless in 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 11.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Orense Sporting Clubmatches: 10 · 10SD Aucas

2.5Avg match total1.8

90%9/10Over 0.580%8/10

10%1/10Under 0.520%2/10

90%9/10Over 1.540%4/10

10%1/10Under 1.560%6/10

50%5/10Over 2.530%3/10

50%5/10Under 2.570%7/10

10%1/10Over 3.520%2/10

90%9/10Under 3.580%8/10

10%1/10Over 4.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Orense Sporting ClubSD Aucas

56%5/9Scores first50%4/8

60%3/5…and wins100%4/4

20%1/5…and draws0%0/4

20%1/5…and loses0%0/4

80%4/5…and then concedes0%0/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Orense Sporting Club opened the scoring in 56% of matches.
• • Orense Sporting Club avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.
• • SD Aucas opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • SD Aucas avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Orense Sporting Club				SD Aucas
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	10%	1–15	20%	1	1
2	4	50%	16–30	40%	0	4
3	1	30%	31–45	20%	2	0
3	2	30%	46–60	20%	2	0
0	2	20%	61–75	30%	3	2
3	4	60%	76–90	20%	1	2
2	1	20%	37–HT	10%	1	0
1	2	30%	87–FT	10%	0	1

• • Orense Sporting Club scores most in 31–45: 3 of 12 goals (25%).
• • Orense Sporting Club concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • Orense Sporting Club scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • SD Aucas scores most in 61–75: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • SD Aucas concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 9 conceded.
• • SD Aucas scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Orense Sporting ClubSD Aucas

5.8Corners won, avg5.3

3.5Corners conceded, avg4.8

9.3Match corners, avg10.1

3.5Corners in 1st half, avg2.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Orense Sporting Clubper matchSD Aucas

1.28xG for1.24

0.92xG against0.87

13.4Shots13.3

9.1Shots against10.4

5.4Shots on target4.7

2.75On target against2.7

9%Conversion7%

11.2Shots per goal14.8

15.9Fouls12.6

1.25Offsides1.5

• • Orense Sporting Club scores 0.08 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Orense Sporting Club concedes 0.38 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • SD Aucas scores 0.34 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • SD Aucas concedes 0.03 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.83 goals per match on average.