Emelec — SD Aucas 0:2: match report and statistics

• 0.66 Expected goals (xG) 0.75
• 55% Possession 45%
• 10 Total shots 9
• 3 Shots on target 6
• 1 Big Chances 2
• 4 Corners 3
• 76 (312/413)Assists(251/346) 73
• 2 Yellow cards 1
• 0.38 xG on target (xGOT) 1.38
• 5 Shots off target 3
• 2 Shots blocked 0
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 2 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 20 Touches in opposition box 11
• 1 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 0
• 13 Free kicks 13
• 48 (30/62)Long Balls(16/57) 28
• 50 (50/101)Passes in final third(57/98) 58
• 26 (5/19)Crosses(1/12) 8
• 1.05 Expected assists (xA) 0.25
• 25 Throw-ins 32
• 13 Fouls 13
• 90 (18/20)Tackles(18/23) 78
• 57 Duels won 60
• 21 Clearances 37
• 14 Steals 14
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 3
• 1.38 xGOT faced 0.38
• -0.62 Goals prevented 0.38
• 7 Goal kicks 11

Tournament

Ecuador. Serie A

Season

2026

Referee

Yerson Zambrano

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74	WWLDW
2	Universidad Catolica Quito	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51	WWDDW
3	Club Social y Deportivo Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	WLWWL
4	SD Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50	DDDWW
5	Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46	DWDLW
6	Barcelona Sporting Club	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad Loja	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones Del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	LWDWL
11	Mushuc Runa	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	LDDWD
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	DLWLD
13	Orense Sporting Club	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	LWLLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	WLLWL
15	Delfin	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	DLWLL
16	Manta	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	DLLWL

• Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship - Play-off)
• Promotion - Liga Pro (Places)
• Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 1.9 goals: 1.05 for Emelec and 0.85 for SD Aucas.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (16%), followed by 0–0 (15%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (5.7 — 4.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.95, 2nd — 0.95.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	80%	85%	1.18
Over 1.5	70%	40%	57%	1.77
Over 2.5	20%	40%	30%	3.38
Over 3.5	10%	20%	13%	7.98
Over 4.5	0%	10%	4%	22.69

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Emelec SD Aucas

• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Emelecmatches: 10 · 10SD Aucas

1.9Avg match total1.9

90%9/10Over 0.580%8/10

10%1/10Under 0.520%2/10

70%7/10Over 1.540%4/10

30%3/10Under 1.560%6/10

20%2/10Over 2.540%4/10

80%8/10Under 2.560%6/10

10%1/10Over 3.520%2/10

90%9/10Under 3.580%8/10

0%0/10Over 4.510%1/10

100%10/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

EmelecSD Aucas

67%6/9Scores first63%5/8

67%4/6…and wins80%4/5

33%2/6…and draws0%0/5

0%0/6…and loses20%1/5

33%2/6…and then concedes20%1/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • Emelec opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Emelec avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • SD Aucas opened the scoring in 63% of matches.
• • SD Aucas avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Emelec				SD Aucas
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	20%	1	1
6	1	50%	16–30	40%	1	3
2	2	30%	31–45	20%	1	1
1	1	20%	46–60	30%	2	1
0	1	10%	61–75	30%	3	2
2	3	40%	76–90	20%	1	2
2	1	30%	37–HT	10%	0	1
0	1	10%	87–FT	10%	0	1

• • Emelec scores most in 16–30: 6 of 11 goals (55%).
• • Emelec concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Emelec scores 18% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • SD Aucas scores most in 61–75: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • SD Aucas concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 10 conceded.
• • SD Aucas scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

EmelecSD Aucas

6.3Corners won, avg4.7

3.4Corners conceded, avg5.1

9.8Match corners, avg9.8

2.78Corners in 1st half, avg2.2

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Emelecper matchSD Aucas

1.35xG for1.16

0.94xG against0.93

14.3Shots12.0

10.2Shots against11.3

3.9Shots on target4.2

3.3On target against3.2

8%Conversion8%

13.0Shots per goal13.3

11.0Fouls11.6

2.33Offsides1.4

• • Emelec scores 0.25 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Emelec concedes 0.14 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • SD Aucas scores 0.26 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • SD Aucas concedes 0.07 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.33 goals per match on average.