Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito — Emelec 2:0: match report and statistics

• 1.46 Expected goals (xG) 0.84
• 60% Possession 40%
• 14 Total shots 13
• 5 Shots on target 2
• 2 Big Chances 0
• 10 Corners 3
• 87 (428/492)Assists(260/325) 80
• 0 Yellow cards 2
• 1 Red cards 0
• 1.82 xG on target (xGOT) 0.08
• 4 Shots off target 7
• 5 Shots blocked 4
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 22 Touches in opposition box 16
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 1
• 9 Free kicks 10
• 60 (30/50)Long Balls(16/41) 39
• 78 (115/147)Passes in final third(39/71) 55
• 5 (1/22)Crosses(2/19) 11
• 1.22 Expected assists (xA) 0.2
• 21 Throw-ins 18
• 10 Fouls 9
• 71 (5/7)Tackles(11/17) 65
• 38 Duels won 37
• 12 Clearances 20
• 8 Steals 11
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 3
• 0.08 xGOT faced 1.82
• 0.08 Goals prevented -0.18
• 13 Goal kicks 7

Tournament

Ecuador. Serie A

Season

2026

Referee

Guillermo Enrique Guerrero

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74	WWLDW
2	Universidad Catolica Quito	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51	WWDDW
3	Club Social y Deportivo Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	WLWWL
4	SD Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50	DDDWW
5	Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46	DWDLW
6	Barcelona Sporting Club	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad Loja	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones Del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	LWDWL
11	Mushuc Runa	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	LDDWD
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	DLWLD
13	Orense Sporting Club	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	LWLLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	WLLWL
15	Delfin	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	DLWLL
16	Manta	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	DLLWL

• Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship - Play-off)
• Promotion - Liga Pro (Places)
• Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.05 goals: 1.45 for Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito and 0.6 for Emelec.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (19%), followed by 2–0 (14%).
• Corners: about 9.5 (6.6 — 2.9).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.85, 2nd — 1.15.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	80%	87%	1.15
Over 1.5	50%	70%	61%	1.65
Over 2.5	40%	20%	34%	2.97
Over 3.5	10%	10%	15%	6.58
Over 4.5	10%	10%	6%	17.46

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito Emelec

• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 4.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%
• Under 9.5 corners in 6 of 8 matches75%
• At least one team failed to score in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quitomatches: 10 · 10Emelec

2.0Avg match total2.1

80%8/10Over 0.580%8/10

20%2/10Under 0.520%2/10

50%5/10Over 1.570%7/10

50%5/10Under 1.530%3/10

40%4/10Over 2.520%2/10

60%6/10Under 2.580%8/10

10%1/10Over 3.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 3.590%9/10

10%1/10Over 4.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Liga Deportiva Universitaria de QuitoEmelec

50%4/8Scores first25%2/8

100%4/4…and wins100%2/2

0%0/4…and draws0%0/2

0%0/4…and loses0%0/2

0%0/4…and then concedes0%0/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Emelec opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Emelec avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.

Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito				Emelec
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	20%	1–15	0%	0	0
4	0	10%	16–30	30%	1	3
2	2	40%	31–45	30%	0	3
2	0	20%	46–60	50%	4	2
2	0	20%	61–75	20%	0	2
3	2	30%	76–90	40%	2	4
0	2	20%	37–HT	10%	0	1
3	1	30%	87–FT	30%	2	1

• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito scores most in 16–30: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Emelec scores most in 46–60: 4 of 7 goals (57%).
• • Emelec concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 14 conceded.
• • Emelec scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Liga Deportiva Universitaria de QuitoEmelec

7.1Corners won, avg2.89

2.88Corners conceded, avg6.0

10.0Match corners, avg8.9

3.1Corners in 1st half, avg1.11

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quitoper matchEmelec

1.87xG for0.82

0.85xG against1.39

18.3Shots9.1

8.4Shots against15.6

5.3Shots on target2.67

2.38On target against4.6

8%Conversion8%

12.2Shots per goal13.0

14.8Fouls11.3

1.88Offsides1.67

• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito scores 0.37 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito concedes 0.35 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Emelec scores 0.12 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Emelec concedes 0.01 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.67 goals per match on average.