Club Social y Deportivo Macara — Manta 4:3: match report and statistics

• 1.99 Expected goals (xG) 2.38
• 53% Possession 47%
• 19 Total shots 12
• 9 Shots on target 5
• 5 Big Chances 3
• 3 Corners 2
• 78 (300/385)Assists(268/348) 77
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 1 Red cards 0
• 2.11 xG on target (xGOT) 2.41
• 4 Shots off target 3
• 6 Shots blocked 4
• 12 Shots from inside the penalty area 9
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 2 Headed goals 0
• 24 Touches in opposition box 20
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 0
• 13 Free kicks 8
• 54 (38/70)Long Balls(34/70) 49
• 64 (88/138)Passes in final third(66/107) 62
• 30 (6/20)Crosses(5/14) 36
• 1.35 Expected assists (xA) 0.6
• 25 Throw-ins 18
• 8 Fouls 13
• 70 (7/10)Tackles(8/9) 89
• 36 Duels won 40
• 18 Clearances 27
• 14 Steals 18
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 5
• 2.41 xGOT faced 2.11
• -0.59 Goals prevented -1.89
• 9 Goal kicks 12

Tournament

Ecuador. Serie A

Season

2026

Referee

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	+40	74	WWLDW
2	Universidad Catolica Quito	30	14	9	7	51:27	+24	51	WWDDW
3	Club Social y Deportivo Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	+8	51	WLWWL
4	SD Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	+5	50	DDDWW
5	Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	+7	46	DWDLW
6	Barcelona Sporting Club	30	11	11	8	32:25	+7	44	DDWLW
7	Libertad Loja	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	LWDLW
8	Leones Del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	LDWLL
9	Guayaquil City	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	WLLWW
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	LWDWL
11	Mushuc Runa	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	LDDWD
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	DLWLD
13	Orense Sporting Club	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	LWLLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	WLLWL
15	Delfin	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	DLWLL
16	Manta	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	DLLWL

• Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship - Play-off)
• Promotion - Liga Pro (Places)
• Liga Pro (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.55 goals: 1.85 for Club Social y Deportivo Macara and 0.7 for Manta.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 2–0 (13%).
• Corners: about 8.6 (5.8 — 2.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 1.3.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	100%	92%	1.08
Over 1.5	80%	60%	72%	1.38
Over 2.5	70%	50%	47%	2.13
Over 3.5	10%	30%	25%	3.95
Over 4.5	0%	10%	12%	8.65

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Club Social y Deportivo Macara Manta

• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 9.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 9.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Unbeaten in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Club Social y Deportivo Macaramatches: 10 · 10Manta

2.5Avg match total2.6

90%9/10Over 0.5100%10/10

10%1/10Under 0.50%0/10

80%8/10Over 1.560%6/10

20%2/10Under 1.540%4/10

70%7/10Over 2.550%5/10

30%3/10Under 2.550%5/10

10%1/10Over 3.530%3/10

90%9/10Under 3.570%7/10

0%0/10Over 4.510%1/10

100%10/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Club Social y Deportivo MacaraManta

44%4/9Scores first10%1/10

100%4/4…and wins100%1/1

0%0/4…and draws0%0/1

0%0/4…and loses0%0/1

25%1/4…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara opened the scoring in 44% of matches.
• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara avoided defeat after conceding first in 60% of such matches.
• • Manta opened the scoring in 10% of matches.
• • Manta avoided defeat after conceding first in 11% of such matches.

Club Social y Deportivo Macara				Manta
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	30%	1–15	20%	1	1
3	2	50%	16–30	50%	2	5
1	2	20%	31–45	40%	0	5
1	2	30%	46–60	30%	0	4
3	1	40%	61–75	30%	1	2
6	1	40%	76–90	40%	1	4
0	2	20%	37–HT	40%	0	5
2	1	20%	87–FT	30%	0	3

• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara scores most in 76–90: 6 of 16 goals (38%).
• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 9 conceded.
• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara scores 56% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Manta scores most in 16–30: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Manta concedes most in 16–30: 5 of 21 conceded.
• • Manta scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Club Social y Deportivo MacaraManta

5.9Corners won, avg2.0

3.5Corners conceded, avg5.7

9.4Match corners, avg7.7

2.9Corners in 1st half, avg1.3

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Club Social y Deportivo Macara				Manta
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
—	—	—	1–10	0%	0	0
—	—	—	11–20	0%	0	0
—	—	—	21–30	0%	0	0
—	—	—	31–40	0%	0	0
—	—	—	41–HT	0%	0	0
—	—	—	46–55	0%	0	0
—	—	—	56–65	0%	0	0
—	—	—	66–75	0%	0	0
—	—	—	76–85	0%	0	0
—	—	—	86–FT	0%	0	0
—	—	—	37–HT	0%	0	0
—	—	—	87–FT	0%	0	0

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Club Social y Deportivo Macaraper matchManta

1.35xG for0.43

1.12xG against1.94

14.6Shots6.3

10.9Shots against15.5

4.9Shots on target2.3

2.9On target against6.1

11%Conversion8%

9.1Shots per goal12.6

12.7Fouls8.8

0.8Offsides1.11

• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara scores 0.25 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Club Social y Deportivo Macara concedes 0.22 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Manta scores 0.07 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Manta concedes 0.16 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.