Vipers — Calvary 1:0: match report and statistics

• 72% Possession 28%
• 13 Total shots 5
• 4 Shots on target 2
• 11 Corners 0
• 9 Shots off target 3

Tournament

Uganda. Premier League

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Vipers	30	19	10	1	55:17	+38	67	WWDDD
2	Kampala Capital City Authority	30	19	5	6	46:22	+24	62	WDWWD
3	Villa	30	18	7	5	47:17	+30	61	WWWDL
4	Kitara	30	16	8	6	43:22	+21	56	DDLLW
5	Entebbe UPPC	30	14	9	7	30:20	+10	51	WDDWW
6	NEC Bugolobi	30	13	12	5	31:22	+9	51	LWWDD
7	Uganda Police	30	13	8	9	42:35	+7	47	DDDLW
8	Maroons	30	9	11	10	26:27	-1	38	LDLDW
9	Bul	30	9	10	11	30:33	-3	37	LDDDL
10	Express	30	9	10	11	28:31	-3	37	LDWWL
11	Uganda Revenue Authority	30	5	16	9	27:30	-3	31	WDDDD
12	Mbarara City	30	6	9	15	26:46	-20	27	LWLWW
13	Lugazi	30	5	10	15	19:36	-17	25	DDLWL
14	Uganda People's Defence Force	30	5	7	18	24:41	-17	22	LDLLL
15	Calvary	30	4	9	17	14:39	-25	21	DDWLW
16	Buhimba Saints United	30	4	3	23	16:66	-50	15	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
• Relegation - Uganda. Division 2

• The model expects 2.95 goals: 2.45 for Vipers and 0.5 for Calvary.
• Most likely score is 2–0 (16%), followed by 3–0 (13%).
• Corners: about 7.7 (4.9 — 2.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.6, 2nd — 1.35.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	95%	1.06
Over 1.5	90%	60%	79%	1.26
Over 2.5	60%	40%	57%	1.77
Over 3.5	40%	40%	34%	2.93
Over 4.5	20%	20%	18%	5.67

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Vipers Calvary

• Unbeaten in 10 matches100%
• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 10 matches100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored first in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Vipersmatches: 10 · 10Calvary

3.2Avg match total2.7

100%10/10Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/10Under 0.510%1/10

90%9/10Over 1.560%6/10

10%1/10Under 1.540%4/10

60%6/10Over 2.540%4/10

40%4/10Under 2.560%6/10

40%4/10Over 3.540%4/10

60%6/10Under 3.560%6/10

20%2/10Over 4.520%2/10

80%8/10Under 4.580%8/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

VipersCalvary

90%9/10Scores first11%1/9

89%8/9…and wins0%0/1

11%1/9…and draws0%0/1

0%0/9…and loses100%1/1

56%5/9…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Vipers opened the scoring in 90% of matches.
• • Vipers avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Calvary opened the scoring in 11% of matches.
• • Calvary avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Vipers				Calvary
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
4	0	30%	1–15	30%	1	3
3	0	20%	16–30	40%	0	6
10	1	60%	31–45	30%	1	3
3	3	50%	46–60	30%	1	3
6	2	60%	61–75	50%	1	5
0	0	0%	76–90	30%	0	3
7	1	50%	37–HT	30%	1	2
0	0	0%	87–FT	20%	0	2

• • Vipers scores most in 31–45: 10 of 26 goals (38%).
• • Vipers concedes most in 46–60: 3 of 6 conceded.
• • Vipers scores 23% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Calvary scores most in 1–15: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Calvary concedes most in 16–30: 6 of 23 conceded.
• • Calvary scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

VipersCalvary

5.1Corners won, avg2.2

3.4Corners conceded, avg4.8

8.5Match corners, avg7.0

3.0Corners in 1st half, avg0.4

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.