Lugazi — Kampala Capital City Authority 0:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

Uganda. Premier League

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Vipers	30	19	10	1	55:17	+38	67	WWDDD
2	Kampala Capital City Authority	30	19	5	6	46:22	+24	62	WDWWD
3	Villa	30	18	7	5	47:17	+30	61	WWWDL
4	Kitara	30	16	8	6	43:22	+21	56	DDLLW
5	Entebbe UPPC	30	14	9	7	30:20	+10	51	WDDWW
6	NEC Bugolobi	30	13	12	5	31:22	+9	51	LWWDD
7	Uganda Police	30	13	8	9	42:35	+7	47	DDDLW
8	Maroons	30	9	11	10	26:27	-1	38	LDLDW
9	Bul	30	9	10	11	30:33	-3	37	LDDDL
10	Express	30	9	10	11	28:31	-3	37	LDWWL
11	Uganda Revenue Authority	30	5	16	9	27:30	-3	31	WDDDD
12	Mbarara City	30	6	9	15	26:46	-20	27	LWLWW
13	Lugazi	30	5	10	15	19:36	-17	25	DDLWL
14	Uganda People's Defence Force	30	5	7	18	24:41	-17	22	LDLLL
15	Calvary	30	4	9	17	14:39	-25	21	DDWLW
16	Buhimba Saints United	30	4	3	23	16:66	-50	15	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
• Relegation - Uganda. Division 2

• The model expects 1.99 goals: 1.07 for Lugazi and 0.93 for Kampala Capital City Authority.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 0–0 (14%).
• Corners: about 8.1 (2.6 — 5.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.87, 2nd — 1.13.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	71%	88%	86%	1.16
Over 1.5	57%	75%	59%	1.69
Over 2.5	43%	38%	32%	3.11
Over 3.5	14%	13%	14%	7.04
Over 4.5	0%	0%	5%	19.16

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Lugazi Kampala Capital City Authority

• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• 4 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Won 6 of 6 matches after scoring first100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 9.5 corners in 8 of 9 matches89%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Lugazimatches: 7 · 8Kampala Capital City Authority

1.86Avg match total2.13

71%5/7Over 0.588%7/8

29%2/7Under 0.513%1/8

57%4/7Over 1.575%6/8

43%3/7Under 1.525%2/8

43%3/7Over 2.538%3/8

57%4/7Under 2.563%5/8

14%1/7Over 3.513%1/8

86%6/7Under 3.588%7/8

0%0/7Over 4.50%0/8

100%7/7Under 4.5100%8/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

LugaziKampala Capital City Authority

40%2/5Scores first29%2/7

100%2/2…and wins100%2/2

0%0/2…and draws0%0/2

0%0/2…and loses0%0/2

50%1/2…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Lugazi opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Lugazi avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Kampala Capital City Authority opened the scoring in 29% of matches.
• • Kampala Capital City Authority avoided defeat after conceding first in 40% of such matches.

Lugazi				Kampala Capital City Authority
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	43%	1–15	13%	0	1
3	0	29%	16–30	25%	1	2
0	0	0%	31–45	38%	1	2
0	2	29%	46–60	50%	3	1
0	2	29%	61–75	25%	0	3
3	0	43%	76–90	38%	3	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	25%	1	1
1	0	14%	87–FT	25%	2	0

• • Lugazi scores most in 16–30: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Lugazi concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Lugazi scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Kampala Capital City Authority scores most in 46–60: 3 of 8 goals (38%).
• • Kampala Capital City Authority concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • Kampala Capital City Authority scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

LugaziKampala Capital City Authority

2.0Corners won, avg4.0

7.0Corners conceded, avg3.1

9.0Match corners, avg7.1

0.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 3 goals per match on average.