Moldova — Faroe Islands 1:1: match report and statistics

• 1.68 Expected goals (xG) 1.14
• 70% Possession 30%
• 22 Total shots 6
• 4 Shots on target 1
• 2 Big Chances 3
• 7 Corners 2
• 89 (534/601)Assists(186/263) 71
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 0.86 xG on target (xGOT) 0.78
• 10 Shots off target 2
• 8 Shots blocked 3
• 13 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 9 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 2 Hit the woodwork 0
• 33 Touches in opposition box 22
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 11 Free kicks 12
• 41 (17/41)Long Balls(20/56) 36
• 84 (176/209)Passes in final third(60/107) 56
• 24 (9/37)Crosses(1/12) 8
• 1.31 Expected assists (xA) 0.35
• 23 Throw-ins 23
• 12 Fouls 11
• 61 (11/18)Tackles(5/8) 63
• 67 Duels won 39
• 29 Clearances 52
• 5 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 0 Saves 3
• 0.78 xGOT faced 0.86
• -0.22 Goals prevented -0.14
• 3 Goal kicks 9
• 2 Posts and crossbars 0

Tournament

UEFA Nations League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

4,542

Referee

Julian Weinberger

Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Albania	4	3	0	1	8:3	+5	9	WLWW
2	Belarus	4	2	1	1	5:2	+3	7	WWDL
3	Finland	4	2	1	1	9:2	+7	7	LWDW
4	San Marino	4	0	0	4	1:16	-15	0	LLLL

Group 2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Montenegro	4	3	1	0	7:4	+3	10	DWWW
2	Cyprus	4	2	1	1	5:3	+2	7	WWDL
3	Armenia	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4	DLLW
4	Latvia	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1	LLDL

Group 3

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slovakia	4	3	1	0	9:2	+7	10	WDWW
2	Faroe Islands	4	0	4	0	5:5	0	4	DDDD
3	Moldova	4	1	1	2	3:8	-5	4	LWDL
4	Kazakhstan	4	0	2	2	5:7	-2	2	DLLD

Group 4

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Iceland	4	2	2	0	7:1	+6	8	DWWD
2	Estonia	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6	DWDD
3	Bulgaria	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4	WLDL
4	Luxembourg	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3	LLLW

• Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
• Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B/C - Relegation)

• The model expects 2.84 goals: 0.84 for Moldova and 2 for Faroe Islands.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (12%), followed by 0–2 (12%).
• Corners: about 9.1 (3.8 — 5.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.23, 2nd — 1.6.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	100%	43%	77%	1.29
Over 2.5	67%	43%	54%	1.86
Over 3.5	67%	14%	32%	3.17
Over 4.5	33%	0%	16%	6.34

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Moldova Faroe Islands

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 4.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored first in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Under 9.5 corners in 6 of 8 matches75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Moldovamatches: 6 · 7Faroe Islands

3.7Avg match total2.0

100%6/6Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/7

100%6/6Over 1.543%3/7

0%0/6Under 1.557%4/7

67%4/6Over 2.543%3/7

33%2/6Under 2.557%4/7

67%4/6Over 3.514%1/7

33%2/6Under 3.586%6/7

33%2/6Over 4.50%0/7

67%4/6Under 4.5100%7/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MoldovaFaroe Islands

0%0/6Scores first60%3/5

—…and wins67%2/3

—…and draws0%0/3

—…and loses33%1/3

—…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Moldova opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Moldova avoided defeat after conceding first in 17% of such matches.
• • Faroe Islands opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Faroe Islands avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Moldova				Faroe Islands
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	2	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	4	50%	16–30	29%	1	2
0	4	50%	31–45	14%	1	0
1	1	33%	46–60	14%	0	1
1	3	50%	61–75	57%	2	2
2	4	67%	76–90	14%	1	0
0	2	17%	37–HT	14%	1	0
1	2	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Moldova scores most in 76–90: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Moldova concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 18 conceded.
• • Moldova scores 75% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Faroe Islands scores most in 61–75: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Faroe Islands concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Faroe Islands scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

MoldovaFaroe Islands

2.75Corners won, avg3.6

7.0Corners conceded, avg4.8

9.8Match corners, avg8.4

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Moldova				Faroe Islands
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–10	—	—	—
0	4	100%	11–20	—	—	—
0	0	0%	21–30	—	—	—
0	3	100%	31–40	—	—	—
0	3	100%	41–HT	—	—	—
0	1	100%	46–55	—	—	—
1	0	100%	56–65	—	—	—
0	2	100%	66–75	—	—	—
0	0	0%	76–85	—	—	—
0	0	0%	86–FT	—	—	—
0	6	100%	37–HT	—	—	—
0	0	0%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Moldovaper matchFaroe Islands

0.55xG for1.02

3.0xG against1.74

7.3Shots10.6

15.8Shots against10.6

2.75Shots on target4.0

6.3On target against2.2

9%Conversion9%

10.8Shots per goal10.6

10.8Fouls11.4

1.25Offsides2.2

• • Moldova scores 0.12 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Moldova concedes 0 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Faroe Islands scores 0.02 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Faroe Islands concedes 0.74 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 2 goals per match on average.