Kazakhstan — Faroe Islands 2:2: match report and statistics

• 2.25 Expected goals (xG) 1.7
• 67% Possession 33%
• 24 Total shots 16
• 4 Shots on target 4
• 3 Big Chances 2
• 5 Corners 8
• 86 (481/559)Assists(174/269) 65
• 1 Yellow cards 3
• 1 Red cards 1
• 1.6 xG on target (xGOT) 1.89
• 14 Shots off target 9
• 6 Shots blocked 3
• 11 Shots from inside the penalty area 11
• 13 Shots from outside the penalty area 4
• 1 Hit the woodwork 2
• 1 Headed goals 1
• 34 Touches in opposition box 25
• 0 Accurate through passes 2
• 3 Offsides 1
• 9 Free kicks 8
• 57 (38/67)Long Balls(17/71) 24
• 84 (157/186)Passes in final third(49/89) 55
• 28 (8/29)Crosses(5/17) 29
• 1.27 Expected assists (xA) 1.06
• 19 Throw-ins 19
• 8 Fouls 9
• 57 (4/7)Tackles(9/14) 64
• 52 Duels won 43
• 25 Clearances 34
• 5 Steals 4
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 2
• 1.89 xGOT faced 1.6
• -0.11 Goals prevented -0.4
• 6 Goal kicks 13
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0

Tournament

UEFA Nations League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

10,315

Referee

Kristo Tohver

Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Albania	4	3	0	1	8:3	+5	9	WLWW
2	Belarus	4	2	1	1	5:2	+3	7	WWDL
3	Finland	4	2	1	1	9:2	+7	7	LWDW
4	San Marino	4	0	0	4	1:16	-15	0	LLLL

Group 2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Montenegro	4	3	1	0	7:4	+3	10	DWWW
2	Cyprus	4	2	1	1	5:3	+2	7	WWDL
3	Armenia	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4	DLLW
4	Latvia	4	0	1	3	2:6	-4	1	LLDL

Group 3

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slovakia	4	3	1	0	9:2	+7	10	WDWW
2	Faroe Islands	4	0	4	0	5:5	0	4	DDDD
3	Moldova	4	1	1	2	3:8	-5	4	LWDL
4	Kazakhstan	4	0	2	2	5:7	-2	2	DLLD

Group 4

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Iceland	4	2	2	0	7:1	+6	8	DWWD
2	Estonia	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6	DWDD
3	Bulgaria	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4	WLDL
4	Luxembourg	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3	LLLW

• Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
• Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B/C - Relegation)

• The model expects 2 goals: 1.15 for Kazakhstan and 0.86 for Faroe Islands.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (15%), followed by 0–0 (14%).
• Corners: about 10.5 (6.2 — 4.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.99, 2nd — 1.02.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	86%	1.16
Over 1.5	57%	50%	59%	1.68
Over 2.5	29%	38%	32%	3.09
Over 3.5	14%	13%	14%	7.00
Over 4.5	0%	0%	5%	18.99

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (7), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Kazakhstan Faroe Islands

• Scored in 7 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches88%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Kazakhstanmatches: 7 · 8Faroe Islands

2.0Avg match total2.0

100%7/7Over 0.5100%8/8

0%0/7Under 0.50%0/8

57%4/7Over 1.550%4/8

43%3/7Under 1.550%4/8

29%2/7Over 2.538%3/8

71%5/7Under 2.563%5/8

14%1/7Over 3.513%1/8

86%6/7Under 3.588%7/8

0%0/7Over 4.50%0/8

100%7/7Under 4.5100%8/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

KazakhstanFaroe Islands

57%4/7Scores first67%4/6

75%3/4…and wins50%2/4

25%1/4…and draws25%1/4

0%0/4…and loses25%1/4

25%1/4…and then concedes50%2/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Kazakhstan opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • Kazakhstan avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Faroe Islands opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Faroe Islands avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Kazakhstan				Faroe Islands
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	0	43%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	1	29%	16–30	38%	2	2
0	2	29%	31–45	13%	1	0
1	2	43%	46–60	13%	0	1
1	0	14%	61–75	63%	2	3
2	0	29%	76–90	13%	1	0
0	1	14%	37–HT	13%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Kazakhstan scores most in 1–15: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • Kazakhstan concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Kazakhstan scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Faroe Islands scores most in 16–30: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Faroe Islands concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 6 conceded.
• • Faroe Islands scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

KazakhstanFaroe Islands

7.3Corners won, avg3.3

5.3Corners conceded, avg5.2

12.6Match corners, avg8.5

3.4Corners in 1st half, avg1.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Kazakhstan				Faroe Islands
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	100%	1–10	—	—	—
0	2	100%	11–20	—	—	—
0	2	100%	21–30	—	—	—
3	1	100%	31–40	—	—	—
0	1	100%	41–HT	—	—	—
0	1	100%	46–55	—	—	—
0	0	0%	56–65	—	—	—
0	0	0%	66–75	—	—	—
0	3	100%	76–85	—	—	—
0	1	100%	86–FT	—	—	—
0	1	100%	37–HT	—	—	—
0	1	100%	87–FT	—	—	—

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Kazakhstanper matchFaroe Islands

1.2xG for1.06

1.2xG against1.72

14.7Shots9.8

11.7Shots against12.5

4.4Shots on target3.5

4.6On target against2.5

9%Conversion10%

11.4Shots per goal9.8

16.4Fouls11.3

0.67Offsides2.0

• • Kazakhstan scores 0.09 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Kazakhstan concedes 0.49 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Faroe Islands scores 0.06 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Faroe Islands concedes 0.72 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 5 · 2.2 goals per match on average.