Al-Shabab Barka — Sohar 2:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Professional League

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Al-Seeb Sports Club	26	21	4	1	59:14	+45	67	WDWWW
2	Al-Shabab Barka	26	17	3	6	51:27	+24	54	WDLLW
3	Al-Nasr S.C.	26	16	5	5	35:20	+15	53	WDWLL
4	Al Nahda Al Buraimi	26	13	5	8	31:23	+8	44	LLLWW
5	Bahla Club	26	12	4	10	39:32	+7	40	WWLDD
6	Oman Club	26	11	6	9	27:28	-1	39	WLLWD
7	Sohar	26	10	8	8	35:28	+7	38	DDLDW
8	Sur Club	26	8	8	10	34:37	-3	32	DWWWW
9	Dhofar	26	7	6	13	23:30	-7	27	WLWLL
10	Samail	26	6	8	12	25:39	-14	26	LDWLL
11	Saham	26	7	5	14	22:44	-22	26	LDWDL
12	Ibri Club	26	7	2	17	27:52	-25	23	LWLLW
13	Al-Khaburah	26	4	10	12	23:35	-12	22	LDLDW
14	Al Rustaq	26	3	6	17	24:46	-22	15	LDWLL

• Promotion - AFC Challenge League
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.76 goals: 1.75 for Al-Shabab Barka and 1.02 for Sohar.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 1–0 (11%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.23, 2nd — 1.54.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	80%	94%	1.07
Over 1.5	100%	80%	76%	1.31
Over 2.5	83%	60%	52%	1.92
Over 3.5	50%	0%	30%	3.33
Over 4.5	0%	0%	15%	6.81

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Al-Shabab Barka Sohar

• Unbeaten in 10 matches100%
• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• 4 wins in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• 4 clean sheets in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored first in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Al-Shabab Barkamatches: 6 · 5Sohar

3.3Avg match total2.2

100%6/6Over 0.580%4/5

0%0/6Under 0.520%1/5

100%6/6Over 1.580%4/5

0%0/6Under 1.520%1/5

83%5/6Over 2.560%3/5

17%1/6Under 2.540%2/5

50%3/6Over 3.50%0/5

50%3/6Under 3.5100%5/5

0%0/6Over 4.50%0/5

100%6/6Under 4.5100%5/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Al-Shabab BarkaSohar

83%5/6Scores first50%2/4

100%5/5…and wins50%1/2

0%0/5…and draws0%0/2

0%0/5…and loses50%1/2

40%2/5…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Al-Shabab Barka opened the scoring in 83% of matches.
• • Al-Shabab Barka avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Sohar opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Sohar avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Al-Shabab Barka				Sohar
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	17%	1–15	40%	2	1
4	0	67%	16–30	20%	0	1
4	1	67%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	1	33%	46–60	20%	0	1
4	2	83%	61–75	40%	2	0
1	1	33%	76–90	80%	2	2
3	1	50%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	1	33%	87–FT	60%	1	2

• • Al-Shabab Barka scores most in 16–30: 4 of 15 goals (27%).
• • Al-Shabab Barka concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Al-Shabab Barka scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sohar scores most in 1–15: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Sohar concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Sohar scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.67 goals per match on average.