ADT Tarma — Deportivo Los Chankas 4:0: match report and statistics

• 1.36 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
• 55% Possession 45%
• 15 Total shots 13
• 7 Shots on target 4
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 2 Corners 2
• 83 (303/365)Assists(222/286) 78
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 1 Red cards 0
• 2.86 xG on target (xGOT) 1.17
• 6 Shots off target 8
• 2 Shots blocked 1
• 9 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 1 Hit the woodwork 1
• 22 Touches in opposition box 11
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 1
• 8 Free kicks 16
• 53 (36/68)Long Balls(20/52) 38
• 60 (55/91)Passes in final third(45/80) 56
• 39 (7/18)Crosses(7/18) 39
• 0.89 Expected assists (xA) 0.65
• 18 Throw-ins 15
• 16 Fouls 8
• 79 (11/14)Tackles(7/7) 100
• 35 Duels won 37
• 17 Clearances 23
• 7 Steals 4
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 4 Saves 3
• 1.17 xGOT faced 2.86
• 1.17 Goals prevented -1.14

Tournament

Peru. Liga 1

Season

2026

Referee

Micke Palomino

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	+22	40	DWWDW
2	Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	+4	34	DLWDL
3	Club Cienciano Cusco	17	10	3	4	34:22	+12	33	WDLWW
4	Club Universitario de Deportes	17	8	5	4	24:15	+9	29	WDLDW
5	Melgar	17	8	4	5	29:20	+9	28	WDWDW
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	-3	27	WWLDD
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	21:18	+3	26	WDWWW
8	Alianza Atletico Sullana	17	5	6	6	20:18	+2	21	LDWLW
9	Club Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	-2	21	LDLDL
10	ADT Tarma	17	5	5	7	22:21	+1	20	LLWDW
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	-4	20	WDWDL
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	-2	19	LWLDD
13	Universidad Tecnica de Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	-5	18	DDLLL
14	Deportivo Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	-7	18	LDLDL
15	Cajamarca FC	17	4	5	8	23:28	-5	17	DDWWW
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	-6	16	WLWLL
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	-10	16	LDLWL
18	Juan Pablo II	17	4	4	9	22:40	-18	16	LDLLL

• Promotion - League 1 (Play-off)

• The model expects 2.8 goals: 1.13 for ADT Tarma and 1.68 for Deportivo Los Chankas.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 9.3 (5.4 — 3.9).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 9 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.33, 2nd — 1.48.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	75%	80%	77%	1.30
Over 2.5	50%	40%	53%	1.88
Over 3.5	50%	20%	31%	3.25
Over 4.5	25%	20%	15%	6.56

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (5). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams ADT Tarma Deportivo Los Chankas

• Unbeaten in 10 matches100%
• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• 8 wins in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Won 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored first in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

ADT Tarmamatches: 4 · 5Deportivo Los Chankas

3.0Avg match total2.6

100%4/4Over 0.5100%5/5

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/5

75%3/4Over 1.580%4/5

25%1/4Under 1.520%1/5

50%2/4Over 2.540%2/5

50%2/4Under 2.560%3/5

50%2/4Over 3.520%1/5

50%2/4Under 3.580%4/5

25%1/4Over 4.520%1/5

75%3/4Under 4.580%4/5

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ADT TarmaDeportivo Los Chankas

50%2/4Scores first80%4/5

0%0/2…and wins50%2/4

100%2/2…and draws50%2/4

0%0/2…and loses0%0/4

100%2/2…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • ADT Tarma opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • ADT Tarma avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Deportivo Los Chankas opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • Deportivo Los Chankas avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

ADT Tarma				Deportivo Los Chankas
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	25%	1–15	20%	1	0
1	1	50%	16–30	60%	3	0
1	1	50%	31–45	60%	1	2
1	0	25%	46–60	20%	0	1
1	1	50%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	3	50%	76–90	60%	3	2
0	1	25%	37–HT	60%	1	2
0	2	25%	87–FT	40%	2	1

• • ADT Tarma scores most in 16–30: 1 of 5 goals (20%).
• • ADT Tarma concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • ADT Tarma scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Deportivo Los Chankas scores most in 16–30: 3 of 8 goals (38%).
• • Deportivo Los Chankas concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Deportivo Los Chankas scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ADT TarmaDeportivo Los Chankas

6.3Corners won, avg4.2

3.5Corners conceded, avg4.6

9.8Match corners, avg8.8

2.25Corners in 1st half, avg2.2

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

ADT Tarmaper matchDeportivo Los Chankas

1.54xG for0.77

1.2xG against0.94

18.5Shots12.0

11.8Shots against13.8

6.3Shots on target4.4

5.0On target against3.6

7%Conversion13%

14.8Shots per goal7.5

10.8Fouls10.4

2.5Offsides1.0

• • ADT Tarma scores 0.29 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • ADT Tarma concedes 0.55 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Deportivo Los Chankas scores 0.83 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Deportivo Los Chankas concedes 0.06 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 2 goals per match on average.