Vila Nova — Goias Esporte Clube 2:0: match report and statistics

• 1.17 Expected goals (xG) 0.5
• 35% Possession 65%
• 21 Total shots 12
• 8 Shots on target 4
• 2 Big Chances 0
• 2 Corners 7
• 72 (185/256)Assists(410/488) 84
• 6 Yellow cards 2
• 1.43 xG on target (xGOT) 0.39
• 9 Shots off target 5
• 4 Shots blocked 3
• 9 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 12 Shots from outside the penalty area 7
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 26 Touches in opposition box 20
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 14 Free kicks 18
• 33 (20/60)Long Balls(23/55) 42
• 71 (78/110)Passes in final third(73/114) 64
• 28 (5/18)Crosses(4/19) 21
• 0.94 Expected assists (xA) 0.73
• 16 Throw-ins 31
• 18 Fouls 14
• 67 (12/18)Tackles(8/13) 62
• 56 Duels won 47
• 27 Clearances 14
• 12 Steals 5
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 6
• 0.39 xGOT faced 1.43
• 0.39 Goals prevented -0.57
• 11 Goal kicks 9

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

Season

2026

Attendance

10,000

Referee

Anderson Daronco

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Novorizontino	36	19	10	7	64:31	+33	67	WWDWW
2	Esporte Clube Juventude	36	18	11	7	47:25	+22	65	DWDDW
3	Vila Nova	36	18	9	9	52:38	+14	63	DLDWD
4	Criciuma	36	18	8	10	38:30	+8	62	WLWWL
5	Fortaleza EC	36	16	14	6	43:31	+12	62	DWDWD
6	CRB Maceio	36	16	7	13	54:51	+3	55	LWLDW
7	Goias Esporte Clube	36	16	7	13	38:41	-3	55	WWDWL
8	Sport Club do Recife	36	14	13	9	48:39	+9	55	DWLDW
9	Atletico Clube Goianiense	36	14	13	9	42:33	+9	55	LDDLW
10	Sao Bernardo	36	14	10	12	51:40	+11	52	WWLDW
11	Operario Ferroviario	36	14	9	13	46:48	-2	51	LWLLL
12	Botafogo Ribeirao Preto	36	13	9	14	41:39	+2	48	DWWWW
13	Cuiaba	36	11	14	11	33:30	+3	47	LLLLD
14	Athletic Club MG	36	11	14	11	42:41	+1	47	WLDDL
15	Clube Nautico Capibaribe	36	12	10	14	40:46	-6	46	WLDLL
16	Ceara	36	11	10	15	38:46	-8	43	LLDLW
17	Avai	36	10	7	19	33:46	-13	37	LLDWW
18	Londrina	36	8	8	20	45:54	-9	32	LLWDL
19	America Minas Gerais	36	7	5	24	26:55	-29	26	WWWLL
20	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21:78	-57	15	LDDLL

• Promotion - Serie A
• Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B (Promotion - Play-off: Final)
• Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie C (First stage)

• The model expects 2.65 goals: 1.7 for Vila Nova and 0.95 for Goias Esporte Clube.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (12%), followed by 1–1 (11%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (5.7 — 4.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.4, 2nd — 1.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.08
Over 1.5	80%	70%	74%	1.35
Over 2.5	50%	30%	49%	2.02
Over 3.5	20%	20%	27%	3.64
Over 4.5	20%	10%	13%	7.71

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Vila Nova Goias Esporte Clube

• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• At least one team failed to score in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Vila Novamatches: 10 · 10Goias Esporte Clube

3.0Avg match total2.3

100%10/10Over 0.5100%10/10

0%0/10Under 0.50%0/10

80%8/10Over 1.570%7/10

20%2/10Under 1.530%3/10

50%5/10Over 2.530%3/10

50%5/10Under 2.570%7/10

20%2/10Over 3.520%2/10

80%8/10Under 3.580%8/10

20%2/10Over 4.510%1/10

80%8/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Vila NovaGoias Esporte Clube

90%9/10Scores first80%8/10

89%8/9…and wins38%3/8

11%1/9…and draws50%4/8

0%0/9…and loses13%1/8

56%5/9…and then concedes75%6/8

First to concede…

Overall

• • Vila Nova opened the scoring in 90% of matches.
• • Vila Nova avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Goias Esporte Clube opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • Goias Esporte Clube avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Vila Nova				Goias Esporte Clube
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
5	1	40%	1–15	20%	1	1
5	0	50%	16–30	30%	3	0
5	2	50%	31–45	30%	4	1
1	1	20%	46–60	20%	1	1
4	1	40%	61–75	70%	1	7
2	3	50%	76–90	20%	1	2
3	1	40%	37–HT	30%	4	1
1	2	30%	87–FT	10%	0	1

• • Vila Nova scores most in 1–15: 5 of 22 goals (23%).
• • Vila Nova concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Vila Nova scores 27% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Goias Esporte Clube scores most in 31–45: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • Goias Esporte Clube concedes most in 61–75: 7 of 12 conceded.
• • Goias Esporte Clube scores 18% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Vila NovaGoias Esporte Clube

6.2Corners won, avg3.6

4.6Corners conceded, avg5.1

10.8Match corners, avg8.8

3.9Corners in 1st half, avg1.63

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Vila Novaper matchGoias Esporte Clube

1.54xG for1.24

0.77xG against1.31

16.0Shots9.8

8.1Shots against16.6

5.4Shots on target4.1

3.4On target against4.8

14%Conversion11%

7.3Shots per goal8.9

14.4Fouls11.5

1.7Offsides1.38

• • Vila Nova scores 0.66 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Vila Nova concedes 0.03 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Goias Esporte Clube scores 0.14 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Goias Esporte Clube concedes 0.11 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.5 goals per match on average.