Novorizontino — Goias Esporte Clube 3:0: match report and statistics

• 4.65 Expected goals (xG) 1.86
• 32% Possession 68%
• 32 Total shots 13
• 13 Shots on target 4
• 8 Big Chances 4
• 4 Corners 2
• 80 (224/281)Assists(554/636) 87
• 3 Yellow cards 1
• 4.04 xG on target (xGOT) 1.39
• 14 Shots off target 5
• 5 Shots blocked 4
• 26 Shots from inside the penalty area 10
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 2 Headed goals 0
• 42 Touches in opposition box 19
• 1 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 2
• 14 Free kicks 17
• 52 (23/44)Long Balls(41/61) 67
• 67 (68/102)Passes in final third(65/94) 69
• 44 (12/27)Crosses(3/14) 21
• 2.33 Expected assists (xA) 0.38
• 22 Throw-ins 25
• 17 Fouls 14
• 50 (11/22)Tackles(6/12) 50
• 59 Duels won 42
• 21 Clearances 23
• 11 Steals 8
• 1 Errors leading to shot 3
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 9
• 1.39 xGOT faced 4.04
• 1.39 Goals prevented 1.04
• 4 Goal kicks 10

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

Attendance

1,016

Referee

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Novorizontino	36	19	10	7	64:31	+33	67	WWDWW
2	Esporte Clube Juventude	36	18	11	7	47:25	+22	65	DWDDW
3	Vila Nova	36	18	9	9	52:38	+14	63	DLDWD
4	Criciuma	36	18	8	10	38:30	+8	62	WLWWL
5	Fortaleza EC	36	16	14	6	43:31	+12	62	DWDWD
6	CRB Maceio	36	16	7	13	54:51	+3	55	LWLDW
7	Goias Esporte Clube	36	16	7	13	38:41	-3	55	WWDWL
8	Sport Club do Recife	36	14	13	9	48:39	+9	55	DWLDW
9	Atletico Clube Goianiense	36	14	13	9	42:33	+9	55	LDDLW
10	Sao Bernardo	36	14	10	12	51:40	+11	52	WWLDW
11	Operario Ferroviario	36	14	9	13	46:48	-2	51	LWLLL
12	Botafogo Ribeirao Preto	36	13	9	14	41:39	+2	48	DWWWW
13	Cuiaba	36	11	14	11	33:30	+3	47	LLLLD
14	Athletic Club MG	36	11	14	11	42:41	+1	47	WLDDL
15	Clube Nautico Capibaribe	36	12	10	14	40:46	-6	46	WLDLL
16	Ceara	36	11	10	15	38:46	-8	43	LLDLW
17	Avai	36	10	7	19	33:46	-13	37	LLDWW
18	Londrina	36	8	8	20	45:54	-9	32	LLWDL
19	America Minas Gerais	36	7	5	24	26:55	-29	26	WWWLL
20	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21:78	-57	15	LDDLL

• Promotion - Serie A
• Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B (Promotion - Play-off: Final)
• Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie C (First stage)

• The model expects 2.3 goals: 1.35 for Novorizontino and 0.95 for Goias Esporte Clube.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 1–1 (13%).
• Corners: about 11.2 (6.8 — 4.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.15, 2nd — 1.15.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	100%	90%	1.11
Over 1.5	70%	70%	67%	1.49
Over 2.5	60%	30%	40%	2.48
Over 3.5	20%	20%	20%	4.98
Over 4.5	0%	0%	8%	11.94

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Novorizontino Goias Esporte Clube

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Over 9.5 corners in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 5 of 6 matches after scoring first83%
• Scored first in 6 of 8 matches75%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Novorizontinomatches: 10 · 10Goias Esporte Clube

2.4Avg match total2.2

90%9/10Over 0.5100%10/10

10%1/10Under 0.50%0/10

70%7/10Over 1.570%7/10

30%3/10Under 1.530%3/10

60%6/10Over 2.530%3/10

40%4/10Under 2.570%7/10

20%2/10Over 3.520%2/10

80%8/10Under 3.580%8/10

0%0/10Over 4.50%0/10

100%10/10Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

NovorizontinoGoias Esporte Clube

56%5/9Scores first60%6/10

100%5/5…and wins33%2/6

0%0/5…and draws67%4/6

0%0/5…and loses0%0/6

60%3/5…and then concedes83%5/6

First to concede…

Overall

• • Novorizontino opened the scoring in 56% of matches.
• • Novorizontino avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Goias Esporte Clube opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Goias Esporte Clube avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.

Novorizontino				Goias Esporte Clube
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	20%	1–15	20%	1	1
1	2	30%	16–30	30%	3	1
5	2	60%	31–45	30%	4	1
0	1	10%	46–60	20%	3	0
2	0	20%	61–75	60%	0	7
6	3	60%	76–90	10%	0	1
4	1	40%	37–HT	30%	4	1
2	1	30%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Novorizontino scores most in 76–90: 6 of 16 goals (38%).
• • Novorizontino concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Novorizontino scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Goias Esporte Clube scores most in 31–45: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • Goias Esporte Clube concedes most in 61–75: 7 of 11 conceded.
• • Goias Esporte Clube scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

NovorizontinoGoias Esporte Clube

8.0Corners won, avg4.3

4.4Corners conceded, avg5.6

12.4Match corners, avg9.9

4.3Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Novorizontinoper matchGoias Esporte Clube

1.74xG for1.18

0.68xG against1.48

19.8Shots10.9

9.7Shots against18.3

6.2Shots on target3.9

1.67On target against4.9

8%Conversion10%

12.4Shots per goal9.9

11.8Fouls11.3

1.78Offsides1.38

• • Novorizontino scores 0.14 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Novorizontino concedes 0.12 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Goias Esporte Clube scores 0.08 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Goias Esporte Clube concedes 0.38 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 5 · 2 goals per match on average.