Liaoning Tieren — Henan 4:4: match report and statistics

• 1.42 Expected goals (xG) 2.15
• 61% Possession 39%
• 14 Total shots 17
• 5 Shots on target 7
• 1 Big Chances 8
• 8 Corners 8
• 85 (341/400)Assists(187/253) 74
• 1 Yellow cards 3
• 1.76 xG on target (xGOT) 2.35
• 6 Shots off target 10
• 3 Shots blocked 0
• 5 Shots from inside the penalty area 12
• 9 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 0 Headed goals 2
• 21 Touches in opposition box 24
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 3 Offsides 2
• 14 Free kicks 14
• 53 (26/49)Long Balls(30/68) 44
• 69 (74/108)Passes in final third(42/69) 61
• 11 (3/28)Crosses(5/17) 29
• 0.59 Expected assists (xA) 1.29
• 21 Throw-ins 16
• 14 Fouls 14
• 64 (7/11)Tackles(8/18) 44
• 43 Duels won 52
• 24 Clearances 34
• 7 Steals 3
• 2 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 2
• 3 Saves 1
• 2.35 xGOT faced 1.76
• -1.65 Goals prevented -2.24
• 7 Goal kicks 9

Tournament

Superliga

Referee

Yige Dai

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	29	15	7	7	51:35	+16	52	LLLDW
2	Dalian Yingbo	29	15	4	10	46:43	+3	49	WWWWD
3	Beijing Guoan	29	14	10	5	57:36	+21	47	WWWDD
4	Shandong Taishan	29	15	5	9	57:47	+10	44	WWDDW
5	Shanghai Port	29	13	8	8	50:36	+14	42	WWWDW
6	Yunnan Yukun	29	11	7	11	57:60	-3	40	DDLWL
7	Qingdao West Coast	29	8	15	6	32:38	-6	39	DLLDD
8	Shanghai Shenhua	29	14	5	10	63:50	+13	37	LWWWL
9	Chongqing Tongliangloong	29	8	12	9	31:34	-3	36	WDDLD
10	Zhejiang Professional	29	11	6	12	51:54	-3	34	WLLWL
11	Shenzhen Peng City	29	9	5	15	39:51	-12	32	WLDDL
12	Tianjin Tiger	29	11	8	10	39:35	+4	31	LWWWW
13	Liaoning Tieren	29	8	5	16	41:52	-11	29	LWDLL
14	Henan	29	8	10	11	38:42	-4	28	LLDDD
15	Wuhan Three Towns	29	5	12	12	44:55	-11	22	LLDLD
16	Qingdao Hainiu	29	6	3	20	34:62	-28	14	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (League stage)
• Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
• Relegation - Ligue I

• The model expects 2.9 goals: 1.45 for Liaoning Tieren and 1.45 for Henan.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Corners: about 8.9 (4.1 — 4.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 17 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.9.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	70%	90%	79%	1.27
Over 2.5	70%	70%	55%	1.80
Over 3.5	40%	10%	33%	3.03
Over 4.5	20%	10%	17%	5.94

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Liaoning Tieren Henan

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 9.5 corners in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Scored first in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Liaoning Tierenmatches: 10 · 10Henan

3.1Avg match total2.7

100%10/10Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/10Under 0.510%1/10

70%7/10Over 1.590%9/10

30%3/10Under 1.510%1/10

70%7/10Over 2.570%7/10

30%3/10Under 2.530%3/10

40%4/10Over 3.510%1/10

60%6/10Under 3.590%9/10

20%2/10Over 4.510%1/10

80%8/10Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Liaoning TierenHenan

40%4/10Scores first78%7/9

75%3/4…and wins43%3/7

0%0/4…and draws14%1/7

25%1/4…and loses43%3/7

100%4/4…and then concedes86%6/7

First to concede…

Overall

• • Liaoning Tieren opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Liaoning Tieren avoided defeat after conceding first in 17% of such matches.
• • Henan opened the scoring in 78% of matches.
• • Henan avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Liaoning Tieren				Henan
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
3	2	50%	1–15	10%	1	0
0	3	30%	16–30	40%	2	2
2	1	30%	31–45	40%	3	1
1	3	30%	46–60	40%	1	4
3	3	60%	61–75	40%	2	4
5	5	90%	76–90	50%	3	4
0	0	0%	37–HT	30%	2	1
1	3	40%	87–FT	30%	1	2

• • Liaoning Tieren scores most in 76–90: 5 of 14 goals (36%).
• • Liaoning Tieren concedes most in 76–90: 5 of 17 conceded.
• • Liaoning Tieren scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Henan scores most in 31–45: 3 of 12 goals (25%).
• • Henan concedes most in 46–60: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Henan scores 42% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Liaoning TierenHenan

3.9Corners won, avg3.9

5.7Corners conceded, avg4.3

9.6Match corners, avg8.2

2.11Corners in 1st half, avg1.9

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Liaoning Tierenper matchHenan

1.58xG for1.1

1.32xG against1.31

11.6Shots8.7

12.1Shots against13.2

3.7Shots on target3.2

4.4On target against4.6

12%Conversion14%

8.3Shots per goal7.3

13.2Fouls15.0

2.33Offsides1.44

• • Liaoning Tieren scores 0.18 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Liaoning Tieren concedes 0.38 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Henan scores 0.1 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Henan concedes 0.19 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.