Mohammedan Dhaka — Fortis Limited 1:2: match report and statistics

• 58% Possession 42%
• 13 Total shots 14
• 4 Shots on target 6
• 5 Corners 5
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 0 Red cards 1
• 9 Shots off target 8

Tournament

Bangladesh. Premier League

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bashundhara Kings	17	11	5	1	38:17	+21	38	WWDWW
2	Abahani Limited Dhaka	17	10	4	3	33:15	+18	34	WLWWW
3	Fortis Limited	17	10	4	3	29:11	+18	34	DWWWL
4	Bangladesh Police	17	6	8	3	19:15	+4	26	WDWWL
5	Rahmatganj MFS	17	6	4	7	21:25	-4	22	WLLLD
6	Mohammedan Dhaka	17	5	5	7	22:20	+2	20	WLWLW
7	Brothers Union	17	4	5	8	18:24	-6	17	LLWDL
8	PWD SC	17	4	4	9	13:26	-13	16	DWLLL
9	Arambagh KS	17	3	5	9	12:24	-12	14	LLLDW
10	Fakirapool Young Men's Club	17	2	4	11	12:40	-28	10	LLLLL

• Promotion
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.63 goals: 1.25 for Mohammedan Dhaka and 1.38 for Fortis Limited.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 0–1 (10%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 1.38.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	93%	1.08
Over 1.5	100%	50%	74%	1.36
Over 2.5	50%	25%	49%	2.05
Over 3.5	50%	25%	27%	3.71
Over 4.5	25%	0%	13%	7.93

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Mohammedan Dhaka Fortis Limited

• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Winless in 5 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 4.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Won 6 of 6 matches after scoring first100%
• At least one team failed to score in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Clean sheet in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Scored first in 6 of 7 matches86%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 9

Mohammedan Dhakamatches: 4 · 4Fortis Limited

3.3Avg match total2.0

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

100%4/4Over 1.550%2/4

0%0/4Under 1.550%2/4

50%2/4Over 2.525%1/4

50%2/4Under 2.575%3/4

50%2/4Over 3.525%1/4

50%2/4Under 3.575%3/4

25%1/4Over 4.50%0/4

75%3/4Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Mohammedan DhakaFortis Limited

75%3/4Scores first75%3/4

67%2/3…and wins100%3/3

33%1/3…and draws0%0/3

0%0/3…and loses0%0/3

67%2/3…and then concedes0%0/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Mohammedan Dhaka opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Mohammedan Dhaka avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Fortis Limited opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Fortis Limited avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Mohammedan Dhaka				Fortis Limited
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	1	75%	16–30	75%	2	1
2	1	75%	31–45	25%	1	0
1	0	25%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	1	75%	61–75	50%	3	0
2	1	50%	76–90	25%	1	0
0	1	25%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	25%	1	0

• • Mohammedan Dhaka scores most in 16–30: 2 of 9 goals (22%).
• • Mohammedan Dhaka concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 4 conceded.
• • Mohammedan Dhaka scores 44% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Fortis Limited scores most in 61–75: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Fortis Limited concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Fortis Limited scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Mohammedan DhakaFortis Limited

—Corners won, avg3.8

—Corners conceded, avg4.0

—Match corners, avg7.8

—Corners in 1st half, avg0.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.33 goals per match on average.