Monagas II — Maritimo La Guaira 1:0: match report and statistics

Tournament

Venezuela. Segunda Division

Season

2026

West

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Deportivo Lara	32	21	7	4	56:24	+32	70	DWWLW
2	Barquisimeto SC	32	16	8	8	58:36	+22	56	WLLLW
3	Yaracuyanos	32	16	7	9	50:31	+19	55	WWWWW
4	Urena	32	12	12	8	46:43	+3	48	DLDDL
5	Zamora Barinas II	32	13	7	12	55:49	+6	46	WWLLL
6	Atletico El Vigia	32	12	8	12	43:52	-9	44	WDWWD
7	Puerto Cabello II	32	9	7	16	39:52	-13	34	LLWLD
8	Atletico Barinas	32	9	5	18	50:63	-13	32	LLDLL
9	Real Frontera	32	4	3	25	27:74	-47	15	LLWLL

East

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Monagas II	28	16	6	6	47:29	+18	54	LWWLW
2	Aragua	28	13	10	5	37:21	+16	49	WDWWD
3	Deportivo Miranda	28	14	6	8	39:24	+15	48	DLWLW
4	Bolivar SC	28	14	5	9	37:31	+6	47	DWWLD
5	Dynamo Puerto	28	10	9	9	37:32	+5	39	WDLWW
6	Mineros de Guayana	28	6	10	12	33:37	-4	28	DWLWL
7	Atletico Avila	28	3	11	14	19:36	-17	20	DLLLL
8	Maritimo La Guaira	28	5	5	18	16:55	-39	20	LLLLL

• Promotion - Venezuela. Segunda Division (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Проход дальше - Liga FUTVE 2 (Дополнительный матч)(Stat)

• The model expects 3.5 goals: 2 for Monagas II and 1.5 for Maritimo La Guaira.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.67, 2nd — 2.34.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	67%	50%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	67%	50%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	33%	50%	46%	2.16
Over 4.5	33%	50%	27%	3.64

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Monagas II Maritimo La Guaira

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 4 of 5 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Monagas IImatches: 3 · 2Maritimo La Guaira

3.0Avg match total4.0

100%3/3Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/2

67%2/3Over 1.550%1/2

33%1/3Under 1.550%1/2

67%2/3Over 2.550%1/2

33%1/3Under 2.550%1/2

33%1/3Over 3.550%1/2

67%2/3Under 3.550%1/2

33%1/3Over 4.550%1/2

67%2/3Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Monagas IIMaritimo La Guaira

67%2/3Scores first0%0/1

100%2/2…and wins—

0%0/2…and draws—

0%0/2…and loses—

0%0/2…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Monagas II opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Monagas II avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Maritimo La Guaira opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Maritimo La Guaira avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Monagas II				Maritimo La Guaira
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
2	1	67%	31–45	50%	2	1
0	1	33%	46–60	50%	2	0
3	0	67%	61–75	50%	0	1
0	1	33%	76–90	0%	0	0
2	0	67%	37–HT	50%	2	1
0	1	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Monagas II scores most in 61–75: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Monagas II concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Monagas II scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Maritimo La Guaira scores most in 31–45: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Maritimo La Guaira concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Maritimo La Guaira scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 4.5 goals per match on average.