Mersin İdmanyurdu — Aliaga AS 0:3: match report and statistics

Tournament

League 2 - White Group

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	+68	80	WWWWD
2	Mardin 1969 Spor	34	22	5	7	67:25	+42	71	DWWLW
3	Mus Spor	34	21	7	6	82:35	+47	70	WDWWW
4	Aliaga AS	34	21	6	7	81:32	+49	69	LDWWL
5	Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor	34	21	4	9	82:33	+49	67	WWLWL
6	Isparta 32	33	17	9	7	67:36	+31	60	LWWWW
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	+25	58	DLLLW
8	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	0	49	DLLDW
9	Menemen Belediyespor	33	14	6	13	54:51	+3	48	WLWLL
10	1461 Trabzon	34	13	8	13	54:51	+3	47	LWLWL
11	Arkent Arnavutkoy	34	13	7	14	40:36	+4	46	WWLWW
12	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	+11	44	DDWLD
13	68 Aksarayspor	33	10	14	9	49:38	+11	44	DDDLL
14	Kırklarelispor	33	8	9	16	41:49	-8	33	LWLLW
15	Somaspor	34	8	6	20	41:68	-27	30	LLDLW
16	Mersin İdmanyurdu	31	4	3	24	22:91	-69	12	LLLWL
17	Adanaspor	33	2	1	30	14:159	-145	1	LLLWL
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	32	0	2	30	8:108	-100	-43	LLLLL

• Promotion - First League
• Promotion - League 2 (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 4.78 goals: 1.28 for Mersin İdmanyurdu and 3.5 for Aliaga AS.
• Most likely score is 1–3 (8%), followed by 1–4 (7%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 1-15: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.88, 2nd — 2.83.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 2.5	100%	100%	86%	1.17
Over 3.5	60%	50%	70%	1.42
Over 4.5	60%	25%	52%	1.93

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Mersin İdmanyurdu Aliaga AS

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• 8 defeats in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 8 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• First-half goal in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Lost 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Mersin İdmanyurdumatches: 5 · 4Aliaga AS

5.8Avg match total3.8

100%5/5Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/4

100%5/5Over 1.5100%4/4

0%0/5Under 1.50%0/4

100%5/5Over 2.5100%4/4

0%0/5Under 2.50%0/4

60%3/5Over 3.550%2/4

40%2/5Under 3.550%2/4

60%3/5Over 4.525%1/4

40%2/5Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Mersin İdmanyurduAliaga AS

0%0/3Scores first67%2/3

—…and wins100%2/2

—…and draws0%0/2

—…and loses0%0/2

—…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Mersin İdmanyurdu opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Mersin İdmanyurdu avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Aliaga AS opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Aliaga AS avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Mersin İdmanyurdu				Aliaga AS
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	6	60%	1–15	25%	0	2
0	3	60%	16–30	25%	1	0
0	5	40%	31–45	25%	0	1
2	3	40%	46–60	50%	1	1
1	1	40%	61–75	25%	1	0
1	1	40%	76–90	75%	2	3
0	5	40%	37–HT	25%	0	1
0	1	20%	87–FT	50%	1	1

• • Mersin İdmanyurdu scores most in 46–60: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Mersin İdmanyurdu concedes most in 1–15: 6 of 19 conceded.
• • Mersin İdmanyurdu scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Aliaga AS scores most in 76–90: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Aliaga AS concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Aliaga AS scores 60% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Mersin İdmanyurduAliaga AS

—Corners won, avg2.0

—Corners conceded, avg2.0

—Match corners, avg4.0

—Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.