Ukraine (Women) — Iceland (Women) 0:1: match report and statistics

• 1.14 Expected goals (xG) 1.22
• 55% Possession 45%
• 17 Total shots 16
• 3 Shots on target 3
• 1 Big Chances 1
• 1 Corners 2
• 69 (257/373)Assists(193/308) 63
• 3 Yellow cards 4
• 0.18 xG on target (xGOT) 0.87
• 9 Shots off target 9
• 5 Shots blocked 4
• 11 Shots from inside the penalty area 12
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 4
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 28 Touches in opposition box 24
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 3 Offsides 2
• 11 Free kicks 12
• 21 (12/58)Long Balls(22/70) 31
• 49 (48/97)Passes in final third(44/104) 42
• 35 (7/20)Crosses(5/17) 29
• 0.42 Expected assists (xA) 0.39
• 38 Throw-ins 33
• 12 Fouls 11
• 76 (13/17)Tackles(6/12) 50
• 42 Duels won 52
• 14 Clearances 31
• 4 Steals 13
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 3
• 0.87 xGOT faced 0.18
• -0.13 Goals prevented 0.18

Tournament

World Cup Qualification. Women

Season

2027

Referee

Hristiana Guteva

Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Denmark (Women)	6	4	2	0	12:5	+7	14	WWDWD
2	Italy (Women)	6	2	3	1	12:4	+8	9	DWDWD
3	Sweden (Women)	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8	DLWLD
4	Serbia (Women)	6	0	1	5	2:17	-15	1	LLLLD

Group 2

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	France (Women)	6	4	1	1	11:5	+6	13	WWDLW
2	Netherlands (Women)	6	3	2	1	12:9	+3	11	WLDWW
3	Republic of Ireland (Women)	6	3	0	3	9:9	0	9	LWWWL
4	Poland (Women)	6	0	1	5	6:15	-9	1	LLLLL

Group 3

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Spain (Women)	6	5	0	1	21:3	+18	15	WWWLW
2	England (Women)	6	5	0	1	13:5	+8	15	WLWWW
3	Iceland (Women)	6	2	0	4	3:12	-9	6	LWLWL
4	Ukraine (Women)	6	0	0	6	2:19	-17	0	LLLLL

Group 4

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Germany (Women)	6	5	1	0	18:1	+17	16	WWDWW
2	Norway (Women)	6	4	0	2	11:9	+2	12	WLWWL
3	Austria (Women)	6	1	1	4	3:9	-6	4	LWDLL
4	Slovenia (Women)	6	1	0	5	3:16	-13	3	LLLLW

• Promotion - World Cup. Women
• Promotion - World Cup. Women (Promotion - Play-off)

• The model expects 3.58 goals: 1.56 for Ukraine (Women) and 2.02 for Iceland (Women).
• Most likely score is 1–2 (9%), followed by 1–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 9.5 (4.1 — 5.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.39, 2nd — 2.18.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	100%	87%	1.15
Over 2.5	75%	43%	69%	1.44
Over 3.5	50%	29%	48%	2.09
Over 4.5	25%	14%	29%	3.46

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Ukraine (Women) Iceland (Women)

• 4 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• At least one team failed to score in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 7.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Ukraine (Women)matches: 4 · 7Iceland (Women)

4.0Avg match total3.2

100%4/4Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/7

100%4/4Over 1.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 1.50%0/7

75%3/4Over 2.543%3/7

25%1/4Under 2.557%4/7

50%2/4Over 3.529%2/7

50%2/4Under 3.571%5/7

25%1/4Over 4.514%1/7

75%3/4Under 4.586%6/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Ukraine (Women)Iceland (Women)

25%1/4Scores first57%4/7

0%0/1…and wins50%2/4

100%1/1…and draws25%1/4

0%0/1…and loses25%1/4

100%1/1…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Ukraine (Women) opened the scoring in 25% of matches.
• • Ukraine (Women) avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Iceland (Women) opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • Iceland (Women) avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Ukraine (Women)				Iceland (Women)
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	25%	1–15	29%	3	1
1	0	25%	16–30	43%	1	2
2	2	75%	31–45	29%	1	1
1	3	50%	46–60	43%	1	2
0	2	25%	61–75	29%	1	1
1	3	75%	76–90	71%	2	6
2	2	75%	37–HT	14%	0	1
0	2	50%	87–FT	29%	1	1

• • Ukraine (Women) scores most in 31–45: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Ukraine (Women) concedes most in 46–60: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Ukraine (Women) scores 20% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Iceland (Women) scores most in 1–15: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • Iceland (Women) concedes most in 76–90: 6 of 13 conceded.
• • Iceland (Women) scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Ukraine (Women)Iceland (Women)

0.67Corners won, avg2.17

8.7Corners conceded, avg7.5

9.3Match corners, avg9.7

0.33Corners in 1st half, avg0.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Ukraine (Women)per matchIceland (Women)

0.75xG for1.09

3.1xG against1.64

4.7Shots10.7

24.0Shots against18.3

1.67Shots on target3.2

10.7On target against6.0

27%Conversion12%

3.7Shots per goal8.3

8.3Fouls10.2

0.33Offsides1.5

• • Ukraine (Women) scores 0.5 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Ukraine (Women) concedes 0.3 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Iceland (Women) scores 0.2 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Iceland (Women) concedes 0.22 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 3 goals per match on average.