Foshan Nanshi — Shenzhen Juniors 1:2: match report and statistics

• 0.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.9
• 39% Possession 61%
• 7 Total shots 11
• 1 Shots on target 5
• 1 Big Chances 4
• 3 Corners 6
• 69 (171/248)Assists(320/387) 83
• 2 Yellow cards 3
• 0.95 xG on target (xGOT) 1.1
• 6 Shots off target 4
• 0 Shots blocked 2
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 9
• 3 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 2
• 12 Touches in opposition box 24
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 3
• 16 Free kicks 15
• 41 (25/61)Long Balls(16/51) 31
• 51 (39/76)Passes in final third(90/127) 71
• 25 (3/12)Crosses(6/22) 27
• 0.56 Expected assists (xA) 0.6
• 29 Throw-ins 16
• 15 Fouls 16
• 54 (7/13)Tackles(9/11) 82
• 47 Duels won 38
• 24 Clearances 16
• 2 Steals 9
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 0
• 1.1 xGOT faced 0.95
• -0.9 Goals prevented -0.05
• 12 Goal kicks 5

Tournament

China. League One

Season

2026

Attendance

1,962

Referee

Xiao Liu

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	29	18	8	3	57:28	+29	62	DDLWW
2	Nantong Zhiyun	29	15	9	5	37:21	+16	54	LWWWW
3	Shaanxi Union	29	14	6	9	53:30	+23	48	WLWWW
4	Guangxi Hengchen	29	13	8	8	46:35	+11	47	LLDDL
5	Shenzhen Juniors	29	12	11	6	42:32	+10	47	DLDDL
6	Yanbian Longding	29	12	9	8	42:30	+12	45	WWWLD
7	Wuxi Wugou	29	12	6	11	45:34	+11	42	WWLWD
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	29	10	9	10	27:29	-2	39	DWLDW
9	Changchun Yatai	29	12	6	11	46:45	+1	38	WWDDD
10	Ningbo	29	10	7	12	34:36	-2	34	WLDDL
11	Dalian Kun City	29	8	10	11	35:43	-8	34	LWDDL
12	Nanjing City	29	8	7	14	29:39	-10	31	WWWDL
13	Suzhou Dongwu	29	7	12	10	32:38	-6	30	LDDDD
14	Jiangxi Dingnan United	29	5	13	11	39:51	-12	28	DLWLD
15	Meizhou Hakka	29	7	4	18	26:60	-34	22	LLLLD
16	Foshan Nanshi	29	3	7	19	29:68	-39	16	LLLLW

• Promotion - Superleague
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 3.1 goals: 1.05 for Foshan Nanshi and 2.05 for Shenzhen Juniors.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (10%), followed by 1–1 (10%).
• Corners: about 9.1 (5.2 — 3.9).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 12 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.55, 2nd — 1.55.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	80%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	90%	70%	82%	1.23
Over 2.5	50%	70%	60%	1.67
Over 3.5	30%	50%	38%	2.67
Over 4.5	20%	20%	20%	4.96

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Foshan Nanshi Shenzhen Juniors

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Lost 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 9.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Foshan Nanshimatches: 10 · 10Shenzhen Juniors

2.9Avg match total3.3

100%10/10Over 0.580%8/10

0%0/10Under 0.520%2/10

90%9/10Over 1.570%7/10

10%1/10Under 1.530%3/10

50%5/10Over 2.570%7/10

50%5/10Under 2.530%3/10

30%3/10Over 3.550%5/10

70%7/10Under 3.550%5/10

20%2/10Over 4.520%2/10

80%8/10Under 4.580%8/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Foshan NanshiShenzhen Juniors

10%1/10Scores first75%6/8

0%0/1…and wins83%5/6

100%1/1…and draws0%0/6

0%0/1…and loses17%1/6

100%1/1…and then concedes50%3/6

First to concede…

Overall

• • Foshan Nanshi opened the scoring in 10% of matches.
• • Foshan Nanshi avoided defeat after conceding first in 11% of such matches.
• • Shenzhen Juniors opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Shenzhen Juniors avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Foshan Nanshi				Shenzhen Juniors
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	4	40%	1–15	40%	4	1
0	4	40%	16–30	40%	4	1
1	2	30%	31–45	70%	4	5
1	3	40%	46–60	30%	1	3
1	5	40%	61–75	30%	1	4
3	4	40%	76–90	50%	5	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	40%	3	2
2	1	20%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Foshan Nanshi scores most in 76–90: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Foshan Nanshi concedes most in 61–75: 5 of 22 conceded.
• • Foshan Nanshi scores 57% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Shenzhen Juniors scores most in 76–90: 5 of 19 goals (26%).
• • Shenzhen Juniors concedes most in 31–45: 5 of 14 conceded.
• • Shenzhen Juniors scores 32% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Foshan NanshiShenzhen Juniors

4.9Corners won, avg3.8

4.0Corners conceded, avg5.5

8.9Match corners, avg9.3

2.8Corners in 1st half, avg1.9

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Foshan Nanshiper matchShenzhen Juniors

1.07xG for1.1

1.15xG against1.21

13.1Shots9.7

8.9Shots against13.0

4.1Shots on target3.7

3.4On target against4.8

5%Conversion20%

18.7Shots per goal5.1

13.9Fouls15.6

2.3Offsides1.6

• • Foshan Nanshi scores 0.37 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Foshan Nanshi concedes 1.05 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Shenzhen Juniors scores 0.8 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Shenzhen Juniors concedes 0.19 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 3 goals per match on average.