Suzhou Dongwu — Foshan Nanshi 3:2: match report and statistics

• 1.63 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
• 46% Possession 54%
• 13 Total shots 12
• 7 Shots on target 5
• 2 Big Chances 0
• 1 Corners 6
• 82 (300/364)Assists(331/418) 79
• 1 Yellow cards 4
• 2.18 xG on target (xGOT) 1.88
• 4 Shots off target 4
• 2 Shots blocked 3
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 4
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 16 Touches in opposition box 15
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 2
• 9 Free kicks 24
• 44 (19/43)Long Balls(23/54) 43
• 69 (72/105)Passes in final third(58/99) 59
• 0 (0/8)Crosses(3/26) 12
• 0.57 Expected assists (xA) 0.65
• 16 Throw-ins 23
• 24 Fouls 9
• 82 (9/11)Tackles(11/12) 92
• 28 Duels won 43
• 27 Clearances 9
• 5 Steals 4
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 3 Saves 4
• 1.88 xGOT faced 2.18
• -0.12 Goals prevented -0.82
• 4 Goal kicks 7

Tournament

China. League One

Season

2026

Attendance

3,326

Referee

Zhaojun Qiu

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	29	18	8	3	57:28	+29	62	DDLWW
2	Nantong Zhiyun	29	15	9	5	37:21	+16	54	LWWWW
3	Shaanxi Union	29	14	6	9	53:30	+23	48	WLWWW
4	Guangxi Hengchen	29	13	8	8	46:35	+11	47	LLDDL
5	Shenzhen Juniors	29	12	11	6	42:32	+10	47	DLDDL
6	Yanbian Longding	29	12	9	8	42:30	+12	45	WWWLD
7	Wuxi Wugou	29	12	6	11	45:34	+11	42	WWLWD
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	29	10	9	10	27:29	-2	39	DWLDW
9	Changchun Yatai	29	12	6	11	46:45	+1	38	WWDDD
10	Ningbo	29	10	7	12	34:36	-2	34	WLDDL
11	Dalian Kun City	29	8	10	11	35:43	-8	34	LWDDL
12	Nanjing City	29	8	7	14	29:39	-10	31	WWWDL
13	Suzhou Dongwu	29	7	12	10	32:38	-6	30	LDDDD
14	Jiangxi Dingnan United	29	5	13	11	39:51	-12	28	DLWLD
15	Meizhou Hakka	29	7	4	18	26:60	-34	22	LLLLD
16	Foshan Nanshi	29	3	7	19	29:68	-39	16	LLLLW

• Promotion - Superleague
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 3 goals: 1.6 for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.4 for Foshan Nanshi.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 10 (5.9 — 4.2).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 14 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.6, 2nd — 1.4.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	70%	80%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	60%	60%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	30%	50%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	10%	30%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Suzhou Dongwu Foshan Nanshi

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• Unbeaten in 8 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 4.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Lost 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Suzhou Dongwumatches: 10 · 10Foshan Nanshi

2.6Avg match total3.4

80%8/10Over 0.5100%10/10

20%2/10Under 0.50%0/10

70%7/10Over 1.580%8/10

30%3/10Under 1.520%2/10

60%6/10Over 2.560%6/10

40%4/10Under 2.540%4/10

30%3/10Over 3.550%5/10

70%7/10Under 3.550%5/10

10%1/10Over 4.530%3/10

90%9/10Under 4.570%7/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Suzhou DongwuFoshan Nanshi

38%3/8Scores first40%4/10

100%3/3…and wins50%2/4

0%0/3…and draws50%2/4

0%0/3…and loses0%0/4

33%1/3…and then concedes50%2/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Suzhou Dongwu opened the scoring in 38% of matches.
• • Suzhou Dongwu avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.
• • Foshan Nanshi opened the scoring in 40% of matches.
• • Foshan Nanshi avoided defeat after conceding first in 17% of such matches.

Suzhou Dongwu				Foshan Nanshi
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	10%	1–15	30%	1	3
2	3	50%	16–30	70%	3	6
2	4	30%	31–45	50%	1	6
3	4	60%	46–60	30%	1	3
3	1	30%	61–75	50%	4	1
1	2	30%	76–90	30%	3	2
1	4	30%	37–HT	30%	1	3
1	1	20%	87–FT	10%	2	0

• • Suzhou Dongwu scores most in 46–60: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Suzhou Dongwu concedes most in 31–45: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Suzhou Dongwu scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Foshan Nanshi scores most in 61–75: 4 of 13 goals (31%).
• • Foshan Nanshi concedes most in 16–30: 6 of 21 conceded.
• • Foshan Nanshi scores 54% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Suzhou DongwuFoshan Nanshi

4.8Corners won, avg3.8

4.6Corners conceded, avg6.9

9.4Match corners, avg10.7

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.2

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Suzhou Dongwuper matchFoshan Nanshi

0.87xG for0.98

0.94xG against1.45

12.7Shots9.9

10.3Shots against17.0

4.4Shots on target3.6

4.0On target against5.7

9%Conversion13%

11.6Shots per goal7.6

14.1Fouls14.1

1.22Offsides0.8

• • Suzhou Dongwu scores 0.23 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Suzhou Dongwu concedes 0.56 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Foshan Nanshi scores 0.32 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Foshan Nanshi concedes 0.65 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.17 goals per match on average.