Foshan Nanshi — Nanjing City 2:5: match report and statistics

• 1.05 Expected goals (xG) 2.33
• 56% Possession 44%
• 8 Total shots 16
• 2 Shots on target 9
• 1 Big Chances 3
• 3 Corners 6
• 87 (382/438)Assists(289/339) 85
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 1.31 xG on target (xGOT) 4.88
• 4 Shots off target 5
• 2 Shots blocked 2
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 14
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 0 Headed goals 1
• 9 Touches in opposition box 24
• 0 Accurate through passes 1
• 0 Offsides 2
• 23 Free kicks 14
• 48 (19/40)Long Balls(19/37) 51
• 63 (55/87)Passes in final third(63/90) 70
• 25 (4/16)Crosses(3/13) 23
• 0.23 Expected assists (xA) 1.8
• 19 Throw-ins 15
• 14 Fouls 23
• 67 (4/6)Tackles(8/11) 73
• 32 Duels won 38
• 22 Clearances 25
• 4 Steals 9
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 0
• 4.88 xGOT faced 1.31
• -0.12 Goals prevented -0.69
• 7 Goal kicks 8

Tournament

China. League One

Season

2026

Venue

Nanhai Sports Center (Foshan)

City

Foshan

Address

62 Boai Middle Road, Shishan Town

Capacity

20,000

Referee

Лю Чан

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	29	18	8	3	57:28	+29	62	DDLWW
2	Nantong Zhiyun	29	15	9	5	37:21	+16	54	LWWWW
3	Shaanxi Union	29	14	6	9	53:30	+23	48	WLWWW
4	Guangxi Hengchen	29	13	8	8	46:35	+11	47	LLDDL
5	Shenzhen Juniors	29	12	11	6	42:32	+10	47	DLDDL
6	Yanbian Longding	29	12	9	8	42:30	+12	45	WWWLD
7	Wuxi Wugou	29	12	6	11	45:34	+11	42	WWLWD
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	29	10	9	10	27:29	-2	39	DWLDW
9	Changchun Yatai	29	12	6	11	46:45	+1	38	WWDDD
10	Ningbo	29	10	7	12	34:36	-2	34	WLDDL
11	Dalian Kun City	29	8	10	11	35:43	-8	34	LWDDL
12	Nanjing City	29	8	7	14	29:39	-10	31	WWWDL
13	Suzhou Dongwu	29	7	12	10	32:38	-6	30	LDDDD
14	Jiangxi Dingnan United	29	5	13	11	39:51	-12	28	DLWLD
15	Meizhou Hakka	29	7	4	18	26:60	-34	22	LLLLD
16	Foshan Nanshi	29	3	7	19	29:68	-39	16	LLLLW

• Promotion - Superleague
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 2.25 goals: 1.05 for Foshan Nanshi and 1.2 for Nanjing City.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 0–1 (13%).
• Corners: about 9.6 (3.8 — 5.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.05, 2nd — 1.2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	90%	90%	89%	1.12
Over 1.5	80%	80%	66%	1.52
Over 2.5	40%	40%	39%	2.56
Over 3.5	10%	10%	19%	5.25
Over 4.5	10%	0%	8%	12.82

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Foshan Nanshi Nanjing City

• Scored under 1.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 8.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 10.5 corners in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Foshan Nanshimatches: 10 · 10Nanjing City

2.3Avg match total2.2

90%9/10Over 0.590%9/10

10%1/10Under 0.510%1/10

80%8/10Over 1.580%8/10

20%2/10Under 1.520%2/10

40%4/10Over 2.540%4/10

60%6/10Under 2.560%6/10

10%1/10Over 3.510%1/10

90%9/10Under 3.590%9/10

10%1/10Over 4.50%0/10

90%9/10Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Foshan NanshiNanjing City

22%2/9Scores first22%2/9

50%1/2…and wins50%1/2

50%1/2…and draws50%1/2

0%0/2…and loses0%0/2

50%1/2…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Foshan Nanshi opened the scoring in 22% of matches.
• • Foshan Nanshi avoided defeat after conceding first in 14% of such matches.
• • Nanjing City opened the scoring in 22% of matches.
• • Nanjing City avoided defeat after conceding first in 14% of such matches.

Foshan Nanshi				Nanjing City
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	3	30%	1–15	10%	0	1
0	3	30%	16–30	50%	1	4
1	3	30%	31–45	30%	2	2
2	3	50%	46–60	40%	2	3
1	1	20%	61–75	20%	1	1
1	4	30%	76–90	40%	1	4
0	2	10%	37–HT	20%	2	1
1	1	10%	87–FT	20%	0	2

• • Foshan Nanshi scores most in 46–60: 2 of 6 goals (33%).
• • Foshan Nanshi concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 17 conceded.
• • Foshan Nanshi scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Nanjing City scores most in 31–45: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Nanjing City concedes most in 16–30: 4 of 15 conceded.
• • Nanjing City scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Foshan NanshiNanjing City

4.4Corners won, avg5.9

5.6Corners conceded, avg3.2

10.0Match corners, avg9.1

2.3Corners in 1st half, avg2.89

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Foshan Nanshiper matchNanjing City

0.89xG for0.76

1.16xG against0.99

11.5Shots11.2

10.6Shots against11.2

3.8Shots on target3.4

4.0On target against3.8

5%Conversion6%

19.2Shots per goal16.0

13.1Fouls16.9

2.3Offsides3.1

• • Foshan Nanshi scores 0.29 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Foshan Nanshi concedes 0.54 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Nanjing City scores 0.06 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Nanjing City concedes 0.51 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.17 goals per match on average.