Malatya Yesilyurt — Karakopru Belediyespor 6:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

Turkey. TFF 3. Lig

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	12 Bingolspor	30	17	9	4	60:28	+32	60	DWWWD
2	Erciyes 38	30	13	10	7	42:31	+11	49	WWWWL
3	Silifke BelediyeSpor	30	12	12	6	41:26	+15	48	DWLWL
4	Malatya Yesilyurt	30	13	8	9	45:35	+10	47	WWWLW
5	Mazidagi Fosfat Spor	30	12	11	7	32:24	+8	47	WWLWW
6	Agri 1970 Spor	30	12	9	9	57:33	+24	45	WLWLW
7	Karakopru Belediyespor	30	12	8	10	38:42	-4	44	LWLWL
8	Osmaniyespor	30	12	6	12	42:40	+2	42	WLLDL
9	Nigde Beledi̇ye Spor	30	11	8	11	44:36	+8	41	LLWLL
10	Kirikkale	30	11	7	12	39:51	-12	40	WLWWW
11	Kirsehirspor	30	7	13	10	37:38	-1	34	LWLLD
12	Diyarbakırspor	30	8	10	12	33:42	-9	34	DWLLD
13	Kahramanmarasspor	30	7	11	12	35:48	-13	32	DLWWD
14	Kilis Belediyespor	30	8	6	16	25:53	-28	30	LLLLW
15	Suvermez Kapadokya Spor	30	5	13	12	29:47	-18	28	LLWDL
16	Turk Metal 1963	30	4	11	15	30:55	-25	20	LLLLW

• Promotion
• Promotion - 3rd League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.11 goals: 1.16 for Malatya Yesilyurt and 0.95 for Karakopru Belediyespor.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 1–1 (13%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.05, 2nd — 1.06.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	89%	90%	88%	1.14
Over 1.5	44%	70%	62%	1.61
Over 2.5	33%	30%	35%	2.84
Over 3.5	22%	20%	16%	6.16
Over 4.5	22%	0%	6%	15.97

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Malatya Yesilyurt Karakopru Belediyespor

• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored first in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Won 6 of 8 matches after scoring first75%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Malatya Yesilyurtmatches: 9 · 10Karakopru Belediyespor

2.11Avg match total2.1

89%8/9Over 0.590%9/10

11%1/9Under 0.510%1/10

44%4/9Over 1.570%7/10

56%5/9Under 1.530%3/10

33%3/9Over 2.530%3/10

67%6/9Under 2.570%7/10

22%2/9Over 3.520%2/10

78%7/9Under 3.580%8/10

22%2/9Over 4.50%0/10

78%7/9Under 4.5100%10/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Malatya YesilyurtKarakopru Belediyespor

63%5/8Scores first56%5/9

100%5/5…and wins80%4/5

0%0/5…and draws20%1/5

0%0/5…and loses0%0/5

40%2/5…and then concedes40%2/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • Malatya Yesilyurt opened the scoring in 63% of matches.
• • Malatya Yesilyurt avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Karakopru Belediyespor opened the scoring in 56% of matches.
• • Karakopru Belediyespor avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.

Malatya Yesilyurt				Karakopru Belediyespor
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	33%	1–15	40%	2	3
3	1	44%	16–30	30%	4	0
1	1	22%	31–45	20%	1	1
2	0	22%	46–60	20%	0	2
1	1	22%	61–75	10%	1	0
3	3	44%	76–90	50%	2	5
1	1	22%	37–HT	20%	1	1
2	2	33%	87–FT	40%	2	3

• • Malatya Yesilyurt scores most in 16–30: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Malatya Yesilyurt concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Malatya Yesilyurt scores 36% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Karakopru Belediyespor scores most in 16–30: 4 of 10 goals (40%).
• • Karakopru Belediyespor concedes most in 76–90: 5 of 11 conceded.
• • Karakopru Belediyespor scores 30% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.