Altay S.K. — Izmir Coruhlu 1:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Turkey. TFF 3. Lig. Group 1

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Kutahyaspor	30	24	3	3	69:18	+51	75	LWLWW
2	Eskisehirspor	30	22	5	3	74:18	+56	71	WDWDW
3	Karsıyaka	30	20	7	3	64:19	+45	67	WDWWD
4	Ayvalıkgucu Belediyespor	30	18	5	7	59:27	+32	59	WDLWL
5	Balikesirspor	30	17	7	6	59:24	+35	58	WDWLW
6	Utas Usakspor	30	15	3	12	35:35	0	48	WLLLL
7	Denizli Idman Yurdu	30	14	5	11	37:33	+4	47	DDLLL
8	Alanya 1221	30	10	8	12	28:33	-5	38	LDWWD
9	Gaziemir GOG Spor	30	10	7	13	47:39	+8	37	DLDLL
10	Soke 1970	30	10	5	15	39:43	-4	35	WLDWW
11	Eskisehir Anadolu SF	30	9	8	13	44:42	+2	35	DDWWW
12	Altay S.K.	30	9	7	14	29:41	-12	28	WWDLD
13	Izmir Coruhlu	30	6	5	19	28:66	-38	23	LWDDL
14	Afyonspor	30	5	7	18	31:61	-30	22	LWWLD
15	Viven Bornova	30	5	6	19	35:68	-33	21	LLLWL
16	Nazillispor	30	0	4	26	7:118	-111	4	LLLLL

• Promotion
• Promotion - 3rd League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.25 goals: 1.58 for Altay S.K. and 0.68 for Izmir Coruhlu.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (17%), followed by 2–0 (13%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.73, 2nd — 1.53.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	88%	90%	89%	1.12
Over 1.5	63%	70%	66%	1.52
Over 2.5	38%	40%	39%	2.56
Over 3.5	13%	30%	19%	5.25
Over 4.5	0%	10%	8%	12.82

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (8), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Altay S.K. Izmir Coruhlu

• Winless in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• At least one team failed to score in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Lost 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Altay S.K.matches: 8 · 10Izmir Coruhlu

2.0Avg match total2.5

88%7/8Over 0.590%9/10

13%1/8Under 0.510%1/10

63%5/8Over 1.570%7/10

38%3/8Under 1.530%3/10

38%3/8Over 2.540%4/10

63%5/8Under 2.560%6/10

13%1/8Over 3.530%3/10

88%7/8Under 3.570%7/10

0%0/8Over 4.510%1/10

100%8/8Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Altay S.K.Izmir Coruhlu

57%4/7Scores first0%0/9

100%4/4…and wins—

0%0/4…and draws—

0%0/4…and loses—

0%0/4…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Altay S.K. opened the scoring in 57% of matches.
• • Altay S.K. avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Izmir Coruhlu opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Izmir Coruhlu avoided defeat after conceding first in 22% of such matches.

Altay S.K.				Izmir Coruhlu
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	38%	1–15	10%	0	1
0	1	13%	16–30	20%	1	2
2	0	13%	31–45	30%	0	3
1	2	38%	46–60	30%	1	3
3	1	50%	61–75	50%	1	5
2	1	25%	76–90	50%	3	5
1	0	13%	37–HT	10%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	40%	2	2

• • Altay S.K. scores most in 61–75: 3 of 10 goals (30%).
• • Altay S.K. concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Altay S.K. scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Izmir Coruhlu scores most in 76–90: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Izmir Coruhlu concedes most in 61–75: 5 of 19 conceded.
• • Izmir Coruhlu scores 67% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.