Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima — Velez Sarsfield: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Argentina. Primera Division

Season

2026

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes de La Plata	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	WDWWL
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	WWWDW
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DDDWL
4	Talleres de Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	DDWWL
5	CA Independiente Avellaneda	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	WLWDW
6	Club Atletico Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	DDLWD
7	San Lorenzo de Almagro	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	LWDDW
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DDLLW
9	Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	WDLWW
10	Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	LLLLL
11	Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	WLWDW
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	LLLDD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	LDWLL
14	Newell's Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	DDWDW
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DWLLL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	+14	34	DWDWW
2	River Plate Buenos Aires	16	9	2	5	22:12	+10	29	LWLWW
3	Argentinos Juniors	16	8	5	3	17:13	+4	29	LWWLW
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	+4	28	DWWLW
5	Belgrano	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WLDWL
6	Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26	WWWWW
7	Club Atletico Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	+4	22	DLDWD
8	Racing Club de Avellaneda	16	5	6	5	17:15	+2	21	DDDLL
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21	LDDWL
10	Club Atletico Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	+3	20	DLDDL
11	Club Atletico Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19	LWLLW
12	Club Atletico Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18	WDDLL
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14	WDLDL
14	CA Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8	DLDLD
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5	LLLLD

• Promotion - Argentina. Primera Division (Apertura - Play-off: Round of 16)

• The model expects 1.51 goals: 0.67 for Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima and 0.84 for Velez Sarsfield.
• Most likely score is 0–0 (22%), followed by 0–1 (19%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (5.5 — 4.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 0.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	78%	1.29
Over 1.5	33%	67%	44%	2.25
Over 2.5	0%	0%	19%	5.20
Over 3.5	0%	0%	7%	15.09
Over 4.5	0%	0%	2%	53.16

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima Velez Sarsfield

• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 11.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrimamatches: 3 · 3Velez Sarsfield

1.34Avg match total1.67

100%3/3Over 0.5100%3/3

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/3

33%1/3Over 1.567%2/3

67%2/3Under 1.533%1/3

0%0/3Over 2.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 2.5100%3/3

0%0/3Over 3.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Club Atletico Gimnasia y EsgrimaVelez Sarsfield

67%2/3Scores first67%2/3

50%1/2…and wins50%1/2

50%1/2…and draws50%1/2

0%0/2…and loses0%0/2

50%1/2…and then concedes50%1/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Velez Sarsfield opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Velez Sarsfield avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima				Velez Sarsfield
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	33%	0	1
0	1	33%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	31–45	33%	1	1
0	0	0%	46–60	67%	2	0
1	0	33%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Velez Sarsfield scores most in 46–60: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Velez Sarsfield concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Club Atletico Gimnasia y EsgrimaVelez Sarsfield

5.3Corners won, avg3.7

5.0Corners conceded, avg5.7

10.3Match corners, avg9.3

2.67Corners in 1st half, avg1.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrimaper matchVelez Sarsfield

0.85xG for0.97

0.89xG against0.57

14.7Shots11.7

9.7Shots against10.3

5.0Shots on target2.67

3.3On target against2.67

5%Conversion9%

21.9Shots per goal11.7

11.3Fouls13.3

1.67Offsides1.67

• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima scores 0.18 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima concedes 0.22 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Velez Sarsfield scores 0.03 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Velez Sarsfield concedes 0.1 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.