Diyarbakırspor — Kahramanmarasspor 2:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

Turkey. TFF 3. Lig

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	12 Bingolspor	30	17	9	4	60:28	+32	60	DWWWD
2	Erciyes 38	30	13	10	7	42:31	+11	49	WWWWL
3	Silifke BelediyeSpor	30	12	12	6	41:26	+15	48	DWLWL
4	Malatya Yesilyurt	30	13	8	9	45:35	+10	47	WWWLW
5	Mazidagi Fosfat Spor	30	12	11	7	32:24	+8	47	WWLWW
6	Agri 1970 Spor	30	12	9	9	57:33	+24	45	WLWLW
7	Karakopru Belediyespor	30	12	8	10	38:42	-4	44	LWLWL
8	Osmaniyespor	30	12	6	12	42:40	+2	42	WLLDL
9	Nigde Beledi̇ye Spor	30	11	8	11	44:36	+8	41	LLWLL
10	Kirikkale	30	11	7	12	39:51	-12	40	WLWWW
11	Kirsehirspor	30	7	13	10	37:38	-1	34	LWLLD
12	Diyarbakırspor	30	8	10	12	33:42	-9	34	DWLLD
13	Kahramanmarasspor	30	7	11	12	35:48	-13	32	DLWWD
14	Kilis Belediyespor	30	8	6	16	25:53	-28	30	LLLLW
15	Suvermez Kapadokya Spor	30	5	13	12	29:47	-18	28	LLWDL
16	Turk Metal 1963	30	4	11	15	30:55	-25	20	LLLLW

• Promotion
• Promotion - 3rd League (Play-off)
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.35 goals: 1.25 for Diyarbakırspor and 1.1 for Kahramanmarasspor.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (13%), followed by 1–0 (12%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 16 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.85, 2nd — 1.5.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	90%	90%	1.11
Over 1.5	60%	90%	68%	1.47
Over 2.5	40%	30%	42%	2.40
Over 3.5	20%	20%	21%	4.74
Over 4.5	10%	20%	9%	11.15

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (10), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Diyarbakırspor Kahramanmarasspor

• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Diyarbakırspormatches: 10 · 10Kahramanmarasspor

2.2Avg match total2.5

80%8/10Over 0.590%9/10

20%2/10Under 0.510%1/10

60%6/10Over 1.590%9/10

40%4/10Under 1.510%1/10

40%4/10Over 2.530%3/10

60%6/10Under 2.570%7/10

20%2/10Over 3.520%2/10

80%8/10Under 3.580%8/10

10%1/10Over 4.520%2/10

90%9/10Under 4.580%8/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

DiyarbakırsporKahramanmarasspor

63%5/8Scores first56%5/9

60%3/5…and wins60%3/5

20%1/5…and draws20%1/5

20%1/5…and loses20%1/5

60%3/5…and then concedes40%2/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • Diyarbakırspor opened the scoring in 63% of matches.
• • Diyarbakırspor avoided defeat after conceding first in 33% of such matches.
• • Kahramanmarasspor opened the scoring in 56% of matches.
• • Kahramanmarasspor avoided defeat after conceding first in 25% of such matches.

Diyarbakırspor				Kahramanmarasspor
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	2	30%	1–15	20%	2	0
1	2	30%	16–30	20%	1	2
1	3	30%	31–45	10%	0	1
1	0	10%	46–60	40%	0	5
3	1	30%	61–75	40%	2	2
3	3	50%	76–90	70%	6	4
1	3	30%	37–HT	10%	0	1
1	2	30%	87–FT	40%	5	0

• • Diyarbakırspor scores most in 61–75: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Diyarbakırspor concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Diyarbakırspor scores 55% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Kahramanmarasspor scores most in 76–90: 6 of 11 goals (55%).
• • Kahramanmarasspor concedes most in 46–60: 5 of 14 conceded.
• • Kahramanmarasspor scores 73% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 3 · 5 goals per match on average.