Independiente Rivadavia — Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Argentina. Primera Division

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes de La Plata	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	WDWWL
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	WWWDW
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DDDWL
4	Talleres de Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	DDWWL
5	CA Independiente Avellaneda	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	WLWDW
6	Club Atletico Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	DDLWD
7	San Lorenzo de Almagro	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	LWDDW
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DDLLW
9	Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	WDLWW
10	Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	LLLLL
11	Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	WLWDW
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	LLLDD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	LDWLL
14	Newell's Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	DDWDW
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DWLLL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Independiente Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	+14	34	DWDWW
2	River Plate Buenos Aires	16	9	2	5	22:12	+10	29	LWLWW
3	Argentinos Juniors	16	8	5	3	17:13	+4	29	LWWLW
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	+4	28	DWWLW
5	Belgrano	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WLDWL
6	Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26	WWWWW
7	Club Atletico Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	+4	22	DLDWD
8	Racing Club de Avellaneda	16	5	6	5	17:15	+2	21	DDDLL
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21	LDDWL
10	Club Atletico Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	+3	20	DLDDL
11	Club Atletico Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19	LWLLW
12	Club Atletico Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18	WDDLL
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14	WDLDL
14	CA Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8	DLDLD
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5	LLLLD

• Promotion - Argentina. Primera Division (Apertura - Play-off: Round of 16)

• The model expects 1.75 goals: 1.21 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.54 for Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (21%), followed by 0–0 (17%).
• Corners: about 8.8 (6 — 2.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.33, 2nd — 0.42.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	67%	83%	1.21
Over 1.5	75%	33%	52%	1.92
Over 2.5	50%	0%	26%	3.91
Over 3.5	25%	0%	10%	9.92
Over 4.5	0%	0%	3%	30.39

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Independiente Rivadavia Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• 5 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 9.5 corners in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Won 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 7

Independiente Rivadaviamatches: 4 · 3Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima

2.5Avg match total1.0

100%4/4Over 0.567%2/3

0%0/4Under 0.533%1/3

75%3/4Over 1.533%1/3

25%1/4Under 1.567%2/3

50%2/4Over 2.50%0/3

50%2/4Under 2.5100%3/3

25%1/4Over 3.50%0/3

75%3/4Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/4Over 4.50%0/3

100%4/4Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Independiente RivadaviaClub Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima

75%3/4Scores first50%1/2

100%3/3…and wins0%0/1

0%0/3…and draws100%1/1

0%0/3…and loses0%0/1

33%1/3…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Independiente Rivadavia opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Independiente Rivadavia avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Independiente Rivadavia				Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	50%	1–15	33%	1	0
3	0	50%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	3	50%	31–45	33%	0	1
1	0	25%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
1	0	25%	76–90	33%	0	1
0	2	50%	37–HT	33%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Independiente Rivadavia scores most in 16–30: 3 of 7 goals (43%).
• • Independiente Rivadavia concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 3 conceded.
• • Independiente Rivadavia scores 14% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima scores most in 1–15: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Independiente RivadaviaClub Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima

4.8Corners won, avg3.3

2.25Corners conceded, avg7.3

7.0Match corners, avg10.7

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Independiente Rivadaviaper matchClub Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima

1.11xG for0.37

0.53xG against1.21

13.3Shots7.7

9.0Shots against16.0

6.5Shots on target2.67

2.5On target against5.7

13%Conversion4%

7.6Shots per goal23.2

11.3Fouls15.0

2.75Offsides1.33

• • Independiente Rivadavia scores 0.64 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Independiente Rivadavia concedes 0.22 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima scores 0.04 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima concedes 0.54 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.