Japan — Sweden 1:1: match report and statistics

• 1.21 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
• 101% Possession 99%
• 8 Total shots 11
• 3 Shots on target 5
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 2 Corners 8
• 85 (378/445)Assists(312/395) 79
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 1.27 xG on target (xGOT) 1.16
• 3 Shots off target 3
• 2 Shots blocked 3
• 4 Shots from inside the penalty area 6
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 5
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 11 Touches in opposition box 13
• 1 Accurate through passes 0
• 3 Offsides 2
• 11 Free kicks 20
• 37 (18/49)Long Balls(18/50) 36
• 68 (68/100)Passes in final third(73/120) 61
• 31 (4/13)Crosses(4/16) 25
• 0.69 Expected assists (xA) 0.71
• 14 Throw-ins 18
• 20 Fouls 11
• 76 (7/13)Tackles(3/7) 74
• 47 Duels won 44
• 40 Clearances 21
• 4 Steals 5
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 2
• 1.16 xGOT faced 1.27
• 0.16 Goals prevented 0.27
• 0 Posts and crossbars 1
• 6 Goal kicks 4

1. 90:00 +7:07The referee blows his whistle for the final time to end this match.
2. 90:00 +6:19Yuto Nagatomo (Japan) tries to send a pass but it's blocked.
3. 90:00 +3:19Alexander Isak (Sweden) jumps inside the box to meet the resulting corner and steers his header into the roof of the net, but the goalkeeper pulls off an astonishing save to deny him.
4. 90:00 +3:01Yasin Ayari (Sweden) will deliver the corner kick.
5. 90:00 +2:19Anthony Elanga (Sweden) darts into the penalty area to latch on to a pass, and he unleashes a shot in the direction of the left post. Zion Suzuki is alert and denies him with a nice save.
6. 90:00 +0:18The attendance is 70137.
7. 90:007 additional min. will be played.
8. 87:44Substitution. Gabriel Gudmundsson makes his way off the pitch and Benjamin Nygren (Sweden) comes on as his replacement.
9. 87:00Victor Lindelof is not able to continue due to his injury and will be replaced by Carl Starfelt (Sweden).
10. 85:33Victor Lindelof (Sweden) picks up an injury.
11. 84:10What was Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden) thinking? He will not get away with that. The referee shows him a yellow card.
12. 82:43Koki Ogawa (Japan) latches onto a cross inside the box but fires a poor effort high over the bar.
13. 82:00Junya Ito (Japan) takes the corner, but the goalkeeper jumps and gathers the ball.
14. 80:31Gustaf Lagerbielke (Sweden) reacts well and displays good awareness near the penalty spot to get on the end of a cross from the free kick. He jumps high and produces a header which goes well wide of the left post.
15. 78:23Ken Sema (Sweden) volleys the ball towards goal from the edge of the penalty box, but one of the defenders blocks his shot.

JapanSweden

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

World Cup

Attendance

70,137

Referee

Ivan Barton

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6:0	+6	9	WWW
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2:3	-1	4	WDL
3	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2:3	-1	3	LLW
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	2:6	-4	1	LDL

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7:3	+4	7	WWD
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8:3	+5	4	LWD
3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5:6	-1	4	WLD
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2:10	-8	1	LLD

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7:1	+6	7	WWD
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6:3	+3	7	WWD
3	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1:4	-3	3	LLW
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2:8	-6	0	LLL

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8:4	+4	6	LWW
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4	DLW
3	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2:4	-2	4	DWL
4	Turkey	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3	WLL

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10:4	+6	6	LWW
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4:2	+2	6	WLW
3	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4	WDL
4	Curacao	3	0	1	2	1:9	-8	1	LDL

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10:4	+6	7	WWD
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7:3	+4	5	DWD
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7:7	0	4	DLW
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2:12	-10	0	LLL

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6:2	+4	5	WDD
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5:3	+2	5	DWD
3	Iran	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3	DDD
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4:10	-6	1	LLD

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5:0	+5	7	WWD
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	0	2:2	0	3	DDD
3	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2	LDD
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1:5	-4	2	DLD

Group I

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	France	3	3	0	0	10:2	+8	9	WWW
2	Norway	3	2	0	1	8:7	+1	6	LWW
3	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8:6	+2	3	WLL
4	Iraq	3	0	0	3	1:12	-11	0	LLL

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8:1	+7	9	WWW
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6:6	0	4	DLW
3	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5:7	-2	4	DWL
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3:8	-5	0	LLL

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4:1	+3	7	DWW
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6:1	+5	5	DWD
3	DR Congo	3	1	1	1	4:3	+1	4	WLD
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2:11	-9	0	LLL

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	England	3	2	1	0	6:2	+4	7	WDW
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5:5	0	6	WWL
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4	LDW
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0:4	-4	0	LLL

Ranking of third-placed teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	DR Congo	3	1	1	1	4:3	+1	4	WLD
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7:7	0	4	DLW
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4	LDW
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4	WDL
5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5:6	-1	4	WLD
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5:7	-2	4	DWL
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2:4	-2	4	DWL
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8:6	+2	3	WLL
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3:3	0	3	DDD
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2:3	-1	3	LLW
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1:4	-3	3	LLW
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2	LDD

• Promotion - World Cup (Play-off: Round of 32)
• Ranking of third-placed teams

• The model expects 3.58 goals: 2.52 for Japan and 1.07 for Sweden.
• Most likely score is 2–1 (9%), followed by 2–0 (9%).
• Corners: about 6.4 (3.7 — 2.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.52, 2nd — 2.07.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	80%	100%	87%	1.15
Over 2.5	60%	83%	69%	1.44
Over 3.5	40%	83%	48%	2.08
Over 4.5	20%	33%	29%	3.45

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Japan Sweden

• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Won 6 of 6 matches after scoring first100%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 10

Japanmatches: 5 · 6Sweden

3.0Avg match total4.2

100%5/5Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/5Under 0.50%0/6

80%4/5Over 1.5100%6/6

20%1/5Under 1.50%0/6

60%3/5Over 2.583%5/6

40%2/5Under 2.517%1/6

40%2/5Over 3.583%5/6

60%3/5Under 3.517%1/6

20%1/5Over 4.533%2/6

80%4/5Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

JapanSweden

60%3/5Scores first33%2/6

100%3/3…and wins50%1/2

0%0/3…and draws50%1/2

0%0/3…and loses0%0/2

0%0/3…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Japan opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Japan avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Sweden opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Sweden avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Japan				Sweden
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	20%	1–15	67%	1	3
2	2	60%	16–30	67%	1	3
0	1	20%	31–45	50%	1	2
2	0	40%	46–60	67%	2	4
3	1	60%	61–75	50%	2	1
3	0	60%	76–90	83%	1	4
0	0	0%	37–HT	33%	0	2
2	0	40%	87–FT	67%	0	4

• • Japan scores most in 61–75: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Japan concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Japan scores 55% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Sweden scores most in 46–60: 2 of 8 goals (25%).
• • Sweden concedes most in 46–60: 4 of 17 conceded.
• • Sweden scores 38% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

JapanSweden

4.0Corners won, avg4.0

1.4Corners conceded, avg3.4

5.4Match corners, avg7.4

1.4Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Japan				Sweden
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–10	100%	1	0.5
0	0	0%	11–20	100%	0.5	0.5
0	0	0%	21–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–40	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	41–HT	50%	0.5	0
1	0	100%	46–55	50%	0.5	0.5
0	0	0%	56–65	100%	0.5	1
1	0	100%	66–75	0%	0	0
0	1	100%	76–85	100%	0.5	3
2	1	100%	86–FT	50%	0.5	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	50%	0.5	0
2	1	100%	87–FT	50%	0.5	0

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Japanper matchSweden

1.51xG for1.24

0.67xG against1.45

12.6Shots10.4

8.4Shots against9.8

6.0Shots on target4.4

2.0On target against5.4

17%Conversion13%

5.7Shots per goal7.8

13.6Fouls14.6

1.8Offsides1.8

• • Japan scores 0.69 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Japan concedes 0.13 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Sweden scores 0.09 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Sweden concedes 1.38 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.