Lochin — Aral 2:2: match report and statistics

Tournament

Uzbekistan. Pro League

Season

2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Aral	26	19	4	3	51:16	+35	61	LWLWW
2	Shurtan Guzar	26	16	5	5	44:23	+21	53	WDWLD
3	Metallurg Bekabad	26	15	7	4	55:20	+35	52	WDDWD
4	Fergana State University	26	14	7	5	47:36	+11	49	WWWLL
5	Olimpik MobiUZ	26	14	6	6	54:30	+24	48	WWWWW
6	Kattakurgan	26	14	4	8	38:26	+12	46	WWLWD
7	Gazalkent	26	12	6	8	45:34	+11	42	LLDWW
8	Lochin	26	11	7	8	40:34	+6	40	LDLDW
9	Respublika FA	26	9	7	10	37:36	+1	34	WDDLD
10	Jayxun	26	8	4	14	29:39	-10	28	LWDLL
11	Yaypan	26	8	4	14	31:48	-17	28	WLLLW
12	Buxdu	26	5	1	20	27:62	-35	16	LLWWL
13	Pakhtakor Tashkent II	26	4	1	21	19:59	-40	13	LLLWL
14	Terdu	26	1	1	24	12:66	-54	4	LLLLL

• Promotion - Superleague
• Проход дальше - Pro Liga (Повышение - плей-офф)(Stat)

• The model expects 2.75 goals: 1 for Lochin and 1.75 for Aral.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (11%), followed by 1–1 (11%).
• Corners: about 11 (6 — 5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1, 2nd — 1.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	94%	1.07
Over 1.5	100%	100%	76%	1.32
Over 2.5	50%	50%	52%	1.93
Over 3.5	0%	50%	30%	3.37
Over 4.5	0%	0%	14%	6.91

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Lochin Aral

• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 5 matches100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Lochinmatches: 2 · 2Aral

2.5Avg match total3.0

100%2/2Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/2

100%2/2Over 1.5100%2/2

0%0/2Under 1.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 2.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 2.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 3.550%1/2

100%2/2Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 4.50%0/2

100%2/2Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

LochinAral

0%0/2Scores first100%2/2

—…and wins50%1/2

—…and draws50%1/2

—…and loses0%0/2

—…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Lochin opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Lochin avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Aral opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Lochin				Aral
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	50%	31–45	50%	2	0
0	1	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	1	50%	61–75	50%	1	1
2	0	100%	76–90	50%	0	1
0	1	50%	37–HT	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Lochin scores most in 76–90: 2 of 2 goals (100%).
• • Lochin concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Aral scores most in 31–45: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Aral concedes most in 61–75: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Aral scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

LochinAral

8.0Corners won, avg6.5

3.5Corners conceded, avg4.0

11.5Match corners, avg10.5

4.0Corners in 1st half, avg4.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.