Jiangxi Lushan — Hubei Istar 0:1: match report and statistics

• 0.75 Expected goals (xG) 0.35
• 69% Possession 31%
• 15 Total shots 4
• 5 Shots on target 3
• 1 Big Chances 0
• 12 Corners 2
• 72 (282/392)Assists(87/182) 48
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 0.76 xG on target (xGOT) 0.81
• 6 Shots off target 1
• 4 Shots blocked 0
• 9 Shots from inside the penalty area 2
• 6 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 26 Touches in opposition box 9
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 18 Free kicks 10
• 48 (32/66)Long Balls(20/72) 28
• 61 (98/161)Passes in final third(27/68) 40
• 26 (9/34)Crosses(1/7) 14
• 0.96 Expected assists (xA) 0.7
• 38 Throw-ins 25
• 10 Fouls 18
• 80 (8/10)Tackles(16/17) 94
• 33 Duels won 36
• 17 Clearances 53
• 3 Steals 15
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 5
• 0.81 xGOT faced 0.76
• -0.19 Goals prevented 0.76

Tournament

China. Second League

Season

2026

Attendance

4,788

Referee

Guo Xiangyu

Group North

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Shandong Taishan II	22	12	5	5	33:21	+12	41	DLWDD
2	Shanghai Port II	22	12	4	6	36:19	+17	40	WLLLW
3	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	12	4	6	29:17	+12	40	DLWWW
4	Dalian Kewei	22	9	10	3	22:14	+8	37	LWDDW
5	Taian Tiankuang	22	8	7	7	25:23	+2	31	DLDLD
6	Dalian Yingbo II	22	6	10	6	21:22	-1	28	LWDWL
7	Haimen Codion	22	5	11	6	25:23	+2	26	DDWWW
8	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	22	4	14	4	13:16	-3	26	DWDWD
9	Qingdao Red Lions	22	5	10	7	22:20	+2	25	LDWDW
10	Changchun Xidu	22	3	11	8	15:28	-13	20	WDLLD
11	Beijing Institute of Technology	22	3	7	12	21:42	-21	16	WDWLL
12	Shanghai Segenda	22	2	9	11	22:39	-17	15	DLLDD

Group South

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	22	13	3	6	32:17	+15	42	DDLWW
2	Shenzhen 2028	22	10	7	5	37:25	+12	37	LDWLW
3	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:19	+6	35	WLWWD
4	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	22	8	10	4	25:28	-3	34	WWWDW
5	Hubei Istar	22	9	7	6	29:23	+6	34	WLLLD
6	Xiamen Feilu	22	7	8	7	29:28	+1	29	LWDLL
7	Guangdong Mingtu	22	5	11	6	22:20	+2	26	LWDDW
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	6	8	8	19:32	-13	26	LLLDL
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	6	7	9	22:28	-6	25	DWDLD
10	Chengdu Rongcheng II	22	5	7	10	18:24	-6	22	LDWWL
11	Wenzhou	22	4	10	8	15:23	-8	22	WDDLD
12	Wuhan Three Towns II	22	4	7	11	20:26	-6	19	WLLWW

• Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Group)
• League 2 (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 2.5 goals: 1.67 for Jiangxi Lushan and 0.84 for Hubei Istar.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 1–1 (11%).
• Corners: about 8.3 (5.7 — 2.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.83, 2nd — 1.67.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	67%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 1.5	67%	100%	71%	1.40
Over 2.5	33%	100%	46%	2.19
Over 3.5	33%	0%	24%	4.13
Over 4.5	0%	0%	11%	9.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Jiangxi Lushan Hubei Istar

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 10.5 corners in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 11.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 4.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Jiangxi Lushanmatches: 3 · 1Hubei Istar

2.0Avg match total3.0

67%2/3Over 0.5100%1/1

33%1/3Under 0.50%0/1

67%2/3Over 1.5100%1/1

33%1/3Under 1.50%0/1

33%1/3Over 2.5100%1/1

67%2/3Under 2.50%0/1

33%1/3Over 3.50%0/1

67%2/3Under 3.5100%1/1

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/1

100%3/3Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Jiangxi LushanHubei Istar

50%1/2Scores first0%0/1

100%1/1…and wins—

0%0/1…and draws—

0%0/1…and loses—

0%0/1…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Jiangxi Lushan opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Jiangxi Lushan avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Hubei Istar opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Hubei Istar avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Jiangxi Lushan				Hubei Istar
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	16–30	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	31–45	100%	0	1
1	1	67%	46–60	0%	0	0
2	0	67%	61–75	100%	1	1
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	37–HT	100%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Jiangxi Lushan scores most in 61–75: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Jiangxi Lushan concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Jiangxi Lushan scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Hubei Istar scores most in 61–75: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Hubei Istar concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Jiangxi LushanHubei Istar

5.3Corners won, avg0.0

5.3Corners conceded, avg6.0

10.7Match corners, avg6.0

3.3Corners in 1st half, avg0.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Jiangxi Lushanper matchHubei Istar

1.29xG for0.14

0.93xG against0.36

13.0Shots4.0

11.3Shots against8.0

4.0Shots on target1.0

3.3On target against3.0

10%Conversion25%

9.8Shots per goal4.0

14.3Fouls15.0

2.0Offsides1.0

• • Jiangxi Lushan scores 0.04 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Jiangxi Lushan concedes 0.26 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Hubei Istar scores 0.86 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Hubei Istar concedes 1.64 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 3 goals per match on average.