Bolivar SC — Aragua: statistics, head-to-head and preview

Tournament

Venezuela. Segunda Division

Season

2026

West

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Deportivo Lara	32	21	7	4	56:24	+32	70	DWWLW
2	Barquisimeto SC	32	16	8	8	58:36	+22	56	WLLLW
3	Yaracuyanos	32	16	7	9	50:31	+19	55	WWWWW
4	Urena	32	12	12	8	46:43	+3	48	DLDDL
5	Zamora Barinas II	32	13	7	12	55:49	+6	46	WWLLL
6	Atletico El Vigia	32	12	8	12	43:52	-9	44	WDWWD
7	Puerto Cabello II	32	9	7	16	39:52	-13	34	LLWLD
8	Atletico Barinas	32	9	5	18	50:63	-13	32	LLDLL
9	Real Frontera	32	4	3	25	27:74	-47	15	LLWLL

East

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Monagas II	28	16	6	6	47:29	+18	54	LWWLW
2	Aragua	28	13	10	5	37:21	+16	49	WDWWD
3	Deportivo Miranda	28	14	6	8	39:24	+15	48	DLWLW
4	Bolivar SC	28	14	5	9	37:31	+6	47	DWWLD
5	Dynamo Puerto	28	10	9	9	37:32	+5	39	WDLWW
6	Mineros de Guayana	28	6	10	12	33:37	-4	28	DWLWL
7	Atletico Avila	28	3	11	14	19:36	-17	20	DLLLL
8	Maritimo La Guaira	28	5	5	18	16:55	-39	20	LLLLL

• Promotion - Venezuela. Segunda Division (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Проход дальше - Liga FUTVE 2 (Дополнительный матч)(Stat)

• The model expects 2.01 goals: 0.84 for Bolivar SC and 1.17 for Aragua.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (16%), followed by 0–0 (13%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.17, 2nd — 0.84.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	67%	87%	1.16
Over 1.5	67%	33%	60%	1.68
Over 2.5	67%	33%	32%	3.08
Over 3.5	33%	0%	14%	6.96
Over 4.5	0%	0%	5%	18.83

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (3). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Bolivar SC Aragua

• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Bolivar SCmatches: 3 · 3Aragua

2.67Avg match total1.34

100%3/3Over 0.567%2/3

0%0/3Under 0.533%1/3

67%2/3Over 1.533%1/3

33%1/3Under 1.567%2/3

67%2/3Over 2.533%1/3

33%1/3Under 2.567%2/3

33%1/3Over 3.50%0/3

67%2/3Under 3.5100%3/3

0%0/3Over 4.50%0/3

100%3/3Under 4.5100%3/3

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Bolivar SCAragua

67%2/3Scores first50%1/2

50%1/2…and wins100%1/1

50%1/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

50%1/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Bolivar SC opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Bolivar SC avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Aragua opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Aragua avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Bolivar SC				Aragua
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	1	67%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	2	33%	31–45	33%	1	0
0	1	33%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	33%	1	0
0	1	33%	76–90	67%	0	2
0	2	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	67%	0	2

• • Bolivar SC scores most in 16–30: 2 of 3 goals (67%).
• • Bolivar SC concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 5 conceded.
• • Aragua scores most in 31–45: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Aragua concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 5 · 1.4 goals per match on average.