Kigezi Homeboys — Catda 0:1: match report and statistics

Tournament

Uganda. Division 2

Season

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Blacks Power	30	16	7	7	35:18	+17	55	WLWWW
2	Ntugasaze	30	14	11	5	42:22	+20	53	WWDWL
3	Kataka	30	16	3	11	40:26	+14	51	WDWWD
4	Kigezi Homeboys	30	14	9	7	36:22	+14	51	LWWLL
5	Paidha Black Angels	30	15	7	8	33:23	+10	50	WDLWW
6	Bunyaruguru United	30	12	7	11	31:25	+6	43	LWLWL
7	Young Elephant	30	12	6	12	44:40	+4	42	LWLDD
8	Kiyinda Boys	30	12	6	12	40:31	+9	40	LDLWD
9	Kaaro Karungi	30	10	8	12	28:30	-2	38	WWDLW
10	Iganga United	30	11	5	14	30:33	-3	38	WLDLW
11	Catda	30	9	10	11	24:32	-8	37	WDWLD
12	Onduparaka	30	9	9	12	24:32	-8	36	LDWDW
13	Nebbi Central	30	9	9	12	35:42	-7	34	LDLDD
14	Bright Stars	30	7	11	12	25:31	-6	32	WLDLL
15	Wakiso Giants	30	8	7	15	31:48	-17	31	LLWLD
16	Mbale Heroes	30	6	5	19	20:67	-47	23	LLLDW

• Promotion - Premier League
• Relegation

• The model expects 2.06 goals: 1.69 for Kigezi Homeboys and 0.37 for Catda.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (22%), followed by 2–0 (18%).
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.95, 2nd — 1.48.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	90%	87%	1.15
Over 1.5	56%	60%	61%	1.64
Over 2.5	33%	30%	34%	2.96
Over 3.5	11%	10%	15%	6.54
Over 4.5	11%	10%	6%	17.32

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (10). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Kigezi Homeboys Catda

• Under 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 in 6 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• At least one team failed to score in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Kigezi Homeboysmatches: 9 · 10Catda

2.11Avg match total2.0

100%9/9Over 0.590%9/10

0%0/9Under 0.510%1/10

56%5/9Over 1.560%6/10

44%4/9Under 1.540%4/10

33%3/9Over 2.530%3/10

67%6/9Under 2.570%7/10

11%1/9Over 3.510%1/10

89%8/9Under 3.590%9/10

11%1/9Over 4.510%1/10

89%8/9Under 4.590%9/10

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Kigezi HomeboysCatda

—Scores first—

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

Kigezi Homeboys				Catda
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.