Jayxun — Aral 1:4: match report and statistics

• 56% Possession 44%
• 8 Total shots 20
• 4 Shots on target 10
• 3 Corners 12
• 4 Shots off target 10

Tournament

Uzbekistan. Pro League

Season

2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Aral	25	19	4	2	51:15	+36	61	WLWWW
2	Shurtan Guzar	25	15	5	5	41:23	+18	50	DWLDW
3	Metallurg Bekabad	25	14	7	4	54:20	+34	49	DDWDW
4	Fergana State University	26	14	7	5	47:36	+11	49	WWWLL
5	Olimpik MobiUZ	25	13	6	6	51:30	+21	45	WWWWD
6	Kattakurgan	25	13	4	8	36:26	+10	43	WLWDW
7	Gazalkent	25	12	6	7	45:31	+14	42	LDWWW
8	Lochin	25	11	7	7	40:33	+7	40	DLDWW
9	Respublika FA	25	8	7	10	34:36	-2	31	DDLDW
10	Jayxun	25	8	4	13	29:36	-7	28	WDLLL
11	Yaypan	25	7	4	14	30:48	-18	25	LLLWL
12	Buxdu	25	5	1	19	27:59	-32	16	LWWLL
13	Pakhtakor Tashkent II	25	4	1	20	19:57	-38	13	LLWLL
14	Terdu	26	1	1	24	12:66	-54	4	LLLLL

• Promotion - Superleague
• Promotion - Superliga (Relegation. Play-off)

• The model expects 2.28 goals: 0.8 for Jayxun and 1.48 for Aral.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (15%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (4.5 — 5.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.13, 2nd — 1.15.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	80%	100%	90%	1.11
Over 1.5	80%	75%	66%	1.51
Over 2.5	20%	50%	40%	2.52
Over 3.5	0%	50%	20%	5.11
Over 4.5	0%	0%	8%	12.37

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (5), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Jayxun Aral

• Unbeaten in 9 matches100%
• Scored in 9 matches in a row100%
• 3 wins in a row100%
• Scored first in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%
• At least one team failed to score in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 7.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 9

Jayxunmatches: 5 · 4Aral

1.8Avg match total2.75

80%4/5Over 0.5100%4/4

20%1/5Under 0.50%0/4

80%4/5Over 1.575%3/4

20%1/5Under 1.525%1/4

20%1/5Over 2.550%2/4

80%4/5Under 2.550%2/4

0%0/5Over 3.550%2/4

100%5/5Under 3.550%2/4

0%0/5Over 4.50%0/4

100%5/5Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

JayxunAral

50%2/4Scores first100%4/4

50%1/2…and wins50%2/4

0%0/2…and draws50%2/4

50%1/2…and loses0%0/4

50%1/2…and then concedes75%3/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Jayxun opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Jayxun avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Aral opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Jayxun				Aral
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	20%	1–15	25%	1	0
1	1	40%	16–30	25%	1	0
1	1	40%	31–45	50%	2	1
1	1	40%	46–60	25%	1	0
0	0	0%	61–75	25%	1	1
0	2	40%	76–90	75%	1	2
0	1	20%	37–HT	25%	1	0
0	1	20%	87–FT	50%	0	2

• • Jayxun scores most in 16–30: 1 of 3 goals (33%).
• • Jayxun concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Aral scores most in 31–45: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Aral concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 4 conceded.
• • Aral scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

JayxunAral

5.0Corners won, avg6.5

4.0Corners conceded, avg4.0

9.0Match corners, avg10.5

3.0Corners in 1st half, avg4.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 4 · 2.5 goals per match on average.