Rudes — Osijek 1:6: match report and statistics

• 0.58 Expected goals (xG) 2.9
• 49% Possession 51%
• 9 Total shots 21
• 2 Shots on target 10
• 0 Big Chances 5
• 4 Corners 4
• 81 (284/352)Assists(326/381) 86
• 0 Yellow cards 2
• 0.43 xG on target (xGOT) 4.28
• 0 Shots off target 7
• 7 Shots blocked 4
• 8 Shots from inside the penalty area 15
• 1 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 18 Touches in opposition box 28
• 0 Accurate through passes 2
• 0 Offsides 1
• 13 Free kicks 13
• 61 (37/61)Long Balls(13/34) 38
• 72 (62/86)Passes in final third(59/82) 72
• 30 (6/20)Crosses(7/14) 50
• 0.41 Expected assists (xA) 1.4
• 16 Throw-ins 20
• 13 Fouls 13
• 76 (13/17)Tackles(7/14) 50
• 57 Duels won 47
• 17 Clearances 23
• 6 Steals 10
• 3 Errors leading to shot 0
• 1 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 1
• 4.28 xGOT faced 0.43
• -1.72 Goals prevented -0.57
• 8 Goal kicks 7

Tournament

Croatia. HNL

Attendance

570

Referee

Marko Crnojevic

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Hajduk Split	12	8	2	2	26:11	+15	26	WDWWL
2	Dinamo Zagreb	11	7	1	3	25:14	+11	22	LWWLW
3	Osijek	12	6	2	4	22:17	+5	20	WLDLD
4	NK Varazdin	12	5	4	3	16:11	+5	19	DLLWD
5	Rijeka	11	5	3	3	18:15	+3	18	DLWLW
6	NK Istra 1961	12	4	4	4	21:18	+3	16	WDLWL
7	Slaven Belupo	12	4	1	7	14:25	-11	13	LWLWD
8	Rudes	12	4	1	7	15:27	-12	13	WWLWD
9	NK Lokomotiva	12	3	2	7	14:20	-6	11	LDWLL
10	HNK Gorica	12	1	4	7	7:20	-13	7	LDDLW

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 3.42 goals: 1 for Rudes and 2.42 for Osijek.
• Most likely score is 0–2 (10%), followed by 1–2 (10%).
• Corners: about 10 (3.5 — 6.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 5 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.17, 2nd — 2.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	50%	85%	1.17
Over 2.5	100%	0%	66%	1.51
Over 3.5	100%	0%	44%	2.25
Over 4.5	67%	0%	26%	3.87

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rudes Osijek

• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Rudesmatches: 3 · 2Osijek

5.3Avg match total1.5

100%3/3Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/2

100%3/3Over 1.550%1/2

0%0/3Under 1.550%1/2

100%3/3Over 2.50%0/2

0%0/3Under 2.5100%2/2

100%3/3Over 3.50%0/2

0%0/3Under 3.5100%2/2

67%2/3Over 4.50%0/2

33%1/3Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

RudesOsijek

67%2/3Scores first100%1/1

50%1/2…and wins100%1/1

0%0/2…and draws0%0/1

50%1/2…and loses0%0/1

100%2/2…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rudes opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Rudes avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Osijek opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Rudes				Osijek
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	0	33%	1–15	50%	2	0
1	1	67%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	33%	31–45	0%	0	0
3	2	100%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	2	67%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	4	67%	76–90	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	2	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Rudes scores most in 46–60: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Rudes concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 10 conceded.
• • Rudes scores 17% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Osijek scores most in 1–15: 2 of 2 goals (100%).
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

RudesOsijek

4.0Corners won, avg8.0

5.0Corners conceded, avg3.0

9.0Match corners, avg11.0

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Rudesper matchOsijek

—xG for2.71

—xG against1.07

13.0Shots27.0

13.0Shots against9.0

7.0Shots on target8.0

8.0On target against4.0

15%Conversion6%

6.5Shots per goal18.0

—Fouls18.0

—Offsides1.0

• • Osijek scores 1.21 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Osijek concedes 1.07 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.5 goals per match on average.