Rijeka — NK Varazdin 1:1: match report and statistics

• 1.16 Expected goals (xG) 0.83
• 69% Possession 31%
• 17 Total shots 3
• 4 Shots on target 2
• 1 Big Chances 1
• 12 Corners 0
• 87 (560/646)Assists(223/294) 76
• 4 Yellow cards 3
• 0 Red cards 1
• 1.76 xG on target (xGOT) 1.62
• 6 Shots off target 1
• 7 Shots blocked 0
• 7 Shots from inside the penalty area 2
• 10 Shots from outside the penalty area 1
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 19 Touches in opposition box 5
• 1 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 0
• 12 Free kicks 12
• 56 (32/57)Long Balls(16/48) 33
• 72 (132/184)Passes in final third(38/63) 60
• 14 (4/29)Crosses(1/6) 17
• 1.05 Expected assists (xA) 0.26
• 36 Throw-ins 19
• 12 Fouls 12
• 30 (6/20)Tackles(10/13) 77
• 40 Duels won 42
• 13 Clearances 44
• 12 Steals 17
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 3
• 1.62 xGOT faced 1.76
• 0.62 Goals prevented 0.76
• 3 Goal kicks 12

Tournament

Croatia. HNL

Venue

HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

City

Rijeka

Address

Rujevica 10

Capacity

8,279

Surface

Hybrid grass

Opened

2015

Map

Open map

Referee

Duje Strukan

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Hajduk Split	12	8	2	2	26:11	+15	26	WDWWL
2	Dinamo Zagreb	11	7	1	3	25:14	+11	22	LWWLW
3	Osijek	12	6	2	4	22:17	+5	20	WLDLD
4	NK Varazdin	12	5	4	3	16:11	+5	19	DLLWD
5	Rijeka	11	5	3	3	18:15	+3	18	DLWLW
6	NK Istra 1961	12	4	4	4	21:18	+3	16	WDLWL
7	Slaven Belupo	12	4	1	7	14:25	-11	13	LWLWD
8	Rudes	12	4	1	7	15:27	-12	13	WWLWD
9	NK Lokomotiva	12	3	2	7	14:20	-6	11	LDWLL
10	HNK Gorica	12	1	4	7	7:20	-13	7	LDDLW

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 3.19 goals: 1.59 for Rijeka and 1.61 for NK Varazdin.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Corners: about 8.5 (4.7 — 3.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.43, 2nd — 1.77.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	86%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	83%	57%	83%	1.21
Over 2.5	83%	57%	62%	1.62
Over 3.5	50%	57%	40%	2.53
Over 4.5	50%	14%	22%	4.60

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Rijeka NK Varazdin

• Both teams scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 11.5 corners in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Scored over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Rijekamatches: 6 · 7NK Varazdin

3.7Avg match total2.71

100%6/6Over 0.586%6/7

0%0/6Under 0.514%1/7

83%5/6Over 1.557%4/7

17%1/6Under 1.543%3/7

83%5/6Over 2.557%4/7

17%1/6Under 2.543%3/7

50%3/6Over 3.557%4/7

50%3/6Under 3.543%3/7

50%3/6Over 4.514%1/7

50%3/6Under 4.586%6/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

RijekaNK Varazdin

67%4/6Scores first67%4/6

75%3/4…and wins75%3/4

0%0/4…and draws0%0/4

25%1/4…and loses25%1/4

75%3/4…and then concedes50%2/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Rijeka opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Rijeka avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • NK Varazdin opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • NK Varazdin avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Rijeka				NK Varazdin
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	2	50%	1–15	14%	1	0
2	1	50%	16–30	29%	3	0
6	0	67%	31–45	29%	2	0
2	2	50%	46–60	43%	4	2
2	2	50%	61–75	29%	0	2
0	2	33%	76–90	57%	2	3
3	0	50%	37–HT	29%	2	0
0	1	17%	87–FT	29%	0	2

• • Rijeka scores most in 31–45: 6 of 13 goals (46%).
• • Rijeka concedes most in 1–15: 2 of 9 conceded.
• • Rijeka scores 15% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • NK Varazdin scores most in 46–60: 4 of 12 goals (33%).
• • NK Varazdin concedes most in 76–90: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • NK Varazdin scores 17% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

RijekaNK Varazdin

4.6Corners won, avg3.8

3.8Corners conceded, avg4.8

8.4Match corners, avg8.6

2.4Corners in 1st half, avg2.6

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Rijekaper matchNK Varazdin

1.99xG for1.48

1.03xG against1.28

16.6Shots15.6

11.4Shots against14.2

8.0Shots on target6.2

4.8On target against6.6

13%Conversion11%

7.7Shots per goal9.1

12.8Fouls12.4

2.0Offsides1.4

• • Rijeka scores 0.18 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Rijeka concedes 0.47 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • NK Varazdin scores 0.23 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • NK Varazdin concedes 0.28 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2 goals per match on average.