MSK Zilina — Zemplin 4:1: match report and statistics

• 3.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
• 58% Possession 42%
• 17 Total shots 7
• 7 Shots on target 5
• 5 Big Chances 1
• 5 Corners 1
• 84 (425/506)Assists(276/367) 75
• 0 Yellow cards 3
• 3.53 xG on target (xGOT) 1.57
• 8 Shots off target 2
• 2 Shots blocked 0
• 10 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 7 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 0 Hit the woodwork 1
• 37 Touches in opposition box 13
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 2 Offsides 5
• 19 Free kicks 9
• 56 (37/66)Long Balls(30/70) 43
• 72 (100/139)Passes in final third(55/91) 60
• 36 (5/14)Crosses(1/6) 17
• 1.67 Expected assists (xA) 0.8
• 19 Throw-ins 17
• 9 Fouls 19
• 77 (10/13)Tackles(10/12) 83
• 49 Duels won 32
• 15 Clearances 10
• 12 Steals 11
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 4 Saves 3
• 1.57 xGOT faced 3.53
• 0.57 Goals prevented -0.47
• 3 Goal kicks 10

Tournament

Slovakia. Super League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Pod Dubnom (Zilina)

City

Zilina

Address

Aportova 567/9

Capacity

10,280

Surface

Artificial turf

Opened

1941

Map

Open map

Referee

Boris Benedik

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	DAC 1904	12	10	2	0	37:7	+30	32	WWWWD
2	Slovan Bratislava	13	8	3	2	30:13	+17	27	WWDWD
3	MSK Zilina	13	7	4	2	33:25	+8	25	WDLDW
4	Spartak Trnava	13	6	4	3	26:17	+9	22	LDLWD
5	Kosice	13	4	6	3	30:23	+7	18	WLDDD
6	Zeleziarne Podbrezova	13	5	2	6	19:23	-4	17	LWLLW
7	Dukla Banska Bystrica	12	4	2	6	13:23	-10	14	DWWLW
8	Zemplin	13	4	2	7	12:23	-11	14	LLDLW
9	KFC Komarno	13	1	7	5	11:17	-6	10	WDLDL
10	Skalica	12	2	4	6	13:23	-10	10	DLDLL
11	Ruzomberok	12	2	3	7	11:25	-14	9	LWDLW
12	Trencin	13	2	3	8	12:28	-16	9	LLDWL

• Promotion - Slovakia. Super League (Championship - Play-off)
• Slovakia. Super League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3.51 goals: 1.73 for MSK Zilina and 1.78 for Zemplin.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (9%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Corners: about 10.9 (7.2 — 3.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 11 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 2.26.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	97%	1.03
Over 1.5	100%	100%	86%	1.16
Over 2.5	100%	50%	68%	1.47
Over 3.5	67%	0%	46%	2.15
Over 4.5	33%	0%	28%	3.63

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (8). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams MSK Zilina Zemplin

• Over 2.5 in 10 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 4 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 10.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

MSK Zilinamatches: 6 · 8Zemplin

4.5Avg match total2.51

100%6/6Over 0.5100%8/8

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/8

100%6/6Over 1.5100%8/8

0%0/6Under 1.50%0/8

100%6/6Over 2.550%4/8

0%0/6Under 2.550%4/8

67%4/6Over 3.50%0/8

33%2/6Under 3.5100%8/8

33%2/6Over 4.50%0/8

67%4/6Under 4.5100%8/8

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

MSK ZilinaZemplin

67%4/6Scores first63%5/8

75%3/4…and wins80%4/5

25%1/4…and draws20%1/5

0%0/4…and loses0%0/5

100%4/4…and then concedes40%2/5

First to concede…

Overall

• • MSK Zilina opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • MSK Zilina avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Zemplin opened the scoring in 63% of matches.
• • Zemplin avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

MSK Zilina				Zemplin
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	33%	1–15	25%	2	1
1	2	50%	16–30	25%	1	1
3	1	50%	31–45	38%	1	2
3	3	83%	46–60	50%	4	1
2	4	67%	61–75	50%	2	2
4	2	83%	76–90	25%	1	2
2	1	33%	37–HT	13%	0	1
2	0	33%	87–FT	25%	1	2

• • MSK Zilina scores most in 76–90: 4 of 14 goals (29%).
• • MSK Zilina concedes most in 61–75: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • MSK Zilina scores 43% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Zemplin scores most in 46–60: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • Zemplin concedes most in 31–45: 2 of 9 conceded.
• • Zemplin scores 27% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

MSK ZilinaZemplin

7.0Corners won, avg3.8

3.6Corners conceded, avg7.4

10.6Match corners, avg11.2

4.2Corners in 1st half, avg2.4

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

MSK Zilinaper matchZemplin

1.79xG for0.36

1.08xG against2.22

18.0Shots9.8

11.4Shots against16.2

7.0Shots on target3.6

4.2On target against5.8

13%Conversion14%

7.7Shots per goal7.1

11.8Fouls12.4

1.6Offsides1.8

• • MSK Zilina scores 0.54 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • MSK Zilina concedes 1.09 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Zemplin scores 1.02 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Zemplin concedes 1.09 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.17 goals per match on average.