Skalica — MSK Zilina 2:4: match report and statistics

• 1.51 Expected goals (xG) 2.81
• 43% Possession 57%
• 8 Total shots 22
• 5 Shots on target 7
• 2 Big Chances 4
• 2 Corners 6
• 79 (285/363)Assists(397/487) 82
• 0 Yellow cards 1
• 1.85 xG on target (xGOT) 2.97
• 0 Shots off target 6
• 3 Shots blocked 9
• 3 Shots from inside the penalty area 15
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 7
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 13 Touches in opposition box 32
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 1
• 11 Free kicks 15
• 41 (25/61)Long Balls(22/44) 50
• 69 (72/104)Passes in final third(115/155) 74
• 13 (2/16)Crosses(3/16) 19
• 1.02 Expected assists (xA) 1.71
• 10 Throw-ins 19
• 15 Fouls 11
• 79 (11/14)Tackles(10/15) 67
• 38 Duels won 43
• 25 Clearances 14
• 11 Steals 5
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 3 Saves 4
• 2.97 xGOT faced 1.85
• -1.03 Goals prevented -0.15
• 9 Goal kicks 7

Tournament

Slovakia. Super League

Season

2026/2027

Venue

Gradski (Skalica)

City

Skalica

Address

Športová 239/54

Capacity

3,000

Opened

2014

Referee

Peter Ziemba

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	DAC 1904	14	12	2	0	42:9	+33	38	WWWWW
2	Slovan Bratislava	14	8	4	2	32:15	+17	28	DWWDW
3	MSK Zilina	14	8	4	2	37:27	+10	28	WWDLD
4	Spartak Trnava	14	7	4	3	28:18	+10	25	WLDLW
5	Zeleziarne Podbrezova	14	6	2	6	23:24	-1	20	WLWLL
6	Kosice	14	4	6	4	32:26	+6	18	LWLDD
7	Dukla Banska Bystrica	14	4	2	8	14:27	-13	14	LLDWW
8	Zemplin	14	4	2	8	12:25	-13	14	LLLDL
9	KFC Komarno	14	2	7	5	13:17	-4	13	WWDLD
10	Ruzomberok	14	3	3	8	13:29	-16	12	LWLWD
11	Skalica	14	2	4	8	15:28	-13	10	LLDLD
12	Trencin	14	2	4	8	14:30	-16	10	DLLDW

• Promotion - Slovakia. Super League (Championship - Play-off)
• Slovakia. Super League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3.97 goals: 1.34 for Skalica and 2.64 for MSK Zilina.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (9%), followed by 1–3 (8%).
• Corners: about 9.8 (5 — 4.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 16-30: 15 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.25, 2nd — 1.72.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	83%	89%	91%	1.10
Over 2.5	50%	89%	76%	1.32
Over 3.5	33%	89%	56%	1.78
Over 4.5	33%	44%	37%	2.73

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (6), away team away (9). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Skalica MSK Zilina

• Over 2.5 in 10 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 matches100%
• First-half goal in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Scored over 1.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 8.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Under 10.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Skalicamatches: 6 · 9MSK Zilina

3.5Avg match total4.4

100%6/6Over 0.5100%9/9

0%0/6Under 0.50%0/9

83%5/6Over 1.589%8/9

17%1/6Under 1.511%1/9

50%3/6Over 2.589%8/9

50%3/6Under 2.511%1/9

33%2/6Over 3.589%8/9

67%4/6Under 3.511%1/9

33%2/6Over 4.544%4/9

67%4/6Under 4.556%5/9

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

SkalicaMSK Zilina

17%1/6Scores first78%7/9

100%1/1…and wins71%5/7

0%0/1…and draws29%2/7

0%0/1…and loses0%0/7

100%1/1…and then concedes57%4/7

First to concede…

Overall

• • Skalica opened the scoring in 17% of matches.
• • Skalica avoided defeat after conceding first in 20% of such matches.
• • MSK Zilina opened the scoring in 78% of matches.
• • MSK Zilina avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.

Skalica				MSK Zilina
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	4	67%	1–15	22%	2	0
1	5	67%	16–30	44%	7	2
1	3	50%	31–45	56%	4	3
3	0	33%	46–60	67%	5	2
0	1	17%	61–75	33%	3	1
0	2	17%	76–90	56%	4	7
1	0	17%	37–HT	44%	2	2
0	1	17%	87–FT	56%	2	3

• • Skalica scores most in 46–60: 3 of 6 goals (50%).
• • Skalica concedes most in 16–30: 5 of 15 conceded.
• • Skalica scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • MSK Zilina scores most in 16–30: 7 of 25 goals (28%).
• • MSK Zilina concedes most in 76–90: 7 of 15 conceded.
• • MSK Zilina scores 28% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

SkalicaMSK Zilina

5.6Corners won, avg4.9

4.6Corners conceded, avg4.4

10.2Match corners, avg9.3

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.22

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Skalicaper matchMSK Zilina

1.28xG for1.63

1.49xG against2.1

13.6Shots15.1

14.2Shots against15.5

3.8Shots on target7.8

6.0On target against5.8

7%Conversion18%

13.6Shots per goal5.4

14.6Fouls12.3

1.2Offsides2.57

• • Skalica scores 0.28 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Skalica concedes 1.01 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • MSK Zilina scores 1.15 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • MSK Zilina concedes 0.43 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3 goals per match on average.