EC Democrata — Ivinhema 1:1: match report and statistics

• 69% Possession 31%
• 17 Total shots 4
• 4 Shots on target 2
• 13 Corners 3
• 13 Shots off target 2
• 2 Yellow cards 5

Tournament

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie D

Season

2026

• The model expects 2.36 goals: 1.46 for EC Democrata and 0.89 for Ivinhema.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 9.4 (5.6 — 3.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 10 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.19, 2nd — 1.18.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	89%	100%	91%	1.10
Over 1.5	44%	100%	68%	1.47
Over 2.5	33%	57%	42%	2.39
Over 3.5	33%	14%	21%	4.72
Over 4.5	0%	0%	9%	11.07

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (9), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams EC Democrata Ivinhema

• Unbeaten in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 9.5 corners in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 matches70%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

EC Democratamatches: 9 · 7Ivinhema

2.0Avg match total2.71

89%8/9Over 0.5100%7/7

11%1/9Under 0.50%0/7

44%4/9Over 1.5100%7/7

56%5/9Under 1.50%0/7

33%3/9Over 2.557%4/7

67%6/9Under 2.543%3/7

33%3/9Over 3.514%1/7

67%6/9Under 3.586%6/7

0%0/9Over 4.50%0/7

100%9/9Under 4.5100%7/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

EC DemocrataIvinhema

63%5/8Scores first60%3/5

100%5/5…and wins33%1/3

0%0/5…and draws67%2/3

0%0/5…and loses0%0/3

40%2/5…and then concedes100%3/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • EC Democrata opened the scoring in 63% of matches.
• • EC Democrata avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Ivinhema opened the scoring in 60% of matches.
• • Ivinhema avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

EC Democrata				Ivinhema
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	1	33%	1–15	0%	0	0
1	1	22%	16–30	14%	1	0
3	3	44%	31–45	43%	1	3
0	0	0%	46–60	29%	0	2
1	1	22%	61–75	29%	1	2
4	1	44%	76–90	14%	1	1
2	1	33%	37–HT	43%	1	2
3	1	33%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • EC Democrata scores most in 76–90: 4 of 11 goals (36%).
• • EC Democrata concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • EC Democrata scores 45% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Ivinhema scores most in 16–30: 1 of 4 goals (25%).
• • Ivinhema concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 8 conceded.
• • Ivinhema scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

EC DemocrataIvinhema

3.1Corners won, avg3.6

4.0Corners conceded, avg8.0

7.1Match corners, avg11.6

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.4

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

EC Democrataper matchIvinhema

0.8xG for—

1.41xG against—

11.9Shots11.0

10.4Shots against13.0

4.5Shots on target4.0

4.0On target against5.8

10%Conversion9%

9.7Shots per goal11.0

13.7Fouls—

2.0Offsides—

• • EC Democrata scores 0.42 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • EC Democrata concedes 0.63 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.