Aston Villa — Nottingham Forest 1:2: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 0.82 Expected goals (xG) 2.28
• 54% Possession 46%
• 7 Total shots 22
• 5 Shots on target 7
• 2 Big Chances 6
• 6 Corners 1
• 82 (346/421)Assists(309/360) 86
• 2 Yellow cards 5
• 1.28 xG on target (xGOT) 2.34
• 1 Shots off target 12
• 1 Shots blocked 3
• 6 Shots from inside the penalty area 14
• 1 Shots from outside the penalty area 8
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 17 Touches in opposition box 32
• 1 Accurate through passes 2
• 0 Offsides 4
• 16 Free kicks 11
• 28 (11/39)Long Balls(20/37) 54
• 64 (82/129)Passes in final third(88/108) 81
• 20 (3/15)Crosses(9/14) 64
• 0.56 Expected assists (xA) 2.01
• 23 Throw-ins 12
• 11 Fouls 16
• 35 (6/17)Tackles(15/23) 65
• 47 Duels won 50
• 13 Clearances 35
• 7 Steals 8
• 4 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 5 Saves 5
• 2.34 xGOT faced 1.28
• 0.34 Goals prevented 0.28
• 13 Goal kicks 7
• 0 Posts and crossbars 0

1. 90:00 +6:47The referee blows his whistle for the final time to end this match.
2. 90:00 +5:57Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham) fires the ball in from a mid-range free kick, but the effort goes just wide of the right post.
3. 90:00 +5:00Tyrone Mings (Aston Villa) sees a yellow card. He should be more careful because one more challenge like that could result in a red card.
4. 90:00 +4:31A pass from Ibrahim Mbaye (Aston Villa) is intercepted by Matz Sels and the move breaks down.
5. 90:00 +2:53A dangerous looking corner kick from Neco Williams (Nottingham) is cleared to safety by the defence.
6. 90:00 +2:42Neco Williams (Nottingham) sends a pass into the box, but his attempt is thwarted and cleared. Nottingham earn a corner.
7. 90:00 +2:01Ola Aina (Nottingham) was too fierce in his attempt to get the ball from his opponent and Andy Madley blows for a foul.
8. 90:00 +0:48The referee signals a substitution. Chris Wood (Nottingham) is brought on as a substitute for Liam Delap.
9. 90:00 +0:15Ibrahim Sangare (Nottingham) tries his luck with a long-range shot from a rebound, but it isn't precise at all and the ball flies well wide of the left post towards the corner flag. Very poor shot.
10. 90:00There will be a minimum of 6 min. of added time.
11. 87:46What a hit! Igor Jesus (Nottingham) shows good composure inside the box to fire a first-time shot into the bottom left corner. 1:2.
12. 87:03Andy Madley blows his whistle after Victor Lindelof (Aston Villa) kicks an opponent's legs instead of the ball.
13. 85:53That was a brilliant piece of goalkeeping! Zion Suzuki dived superbly to block the header from around the penalty spot, which was aimed straight towards the bottom left corner by Xaver Schlager (Nottingham).
14. 85:08Daniel Munoz (Nottingham) rises above the opponent's defence and heads a precise cross towards the right post. His effort, however, is blocked by Zion Suzuki, who pulls off a stunning save!
15. 82:00It's time for a substitution. Ibrahim Sangare (Nottingham) comes on in place of James McAtee.

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

England. Premier League

Attendance

36,714

Referee

Andy Madley

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	15:5	+10	27	WWWWW
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	10	7	1	2	26:7	+19	22	WWLWW
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	21:13	+8	21	LLLWW
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	14:10	+4	18	WLWWL
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	19:16	+3	16	LWLWW
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	12:10	+2	16	WWLLD
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	16:14	+2	15	WWWWL
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	16:11	+5	14	LWDLD
9	Leeds United	10	3	5	2	10:8	+2	14	WLDDL
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	DDWWD
11	Tottenham Hotspur	10	3	3	4	10:11	-1	12	LWWWD
12	Newcastle United	10	3	3	4	13:16	-3	12	DLWLL
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	11:11	0	11	LDDLD
14	Ipswich Town	10	3	2	5	15:20	-5	11	LDDLW
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	10:12	-2	10	DDWWL
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	9:13	-4	9	WLDLL
17	Coventry City	10	3	0	7	10:19	-9	9	LWLLW
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	14:19	-5	8	DLLDD
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	8:17	-9	8	WLDLL
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	10:24	-14	7	LLLLW

• Promotion - Champions League (League stage)
• Promotion - Europa League (League stage)
• Relegation - Championship

• The model expects 2.5 goals: 1 for Aston Villa and 1.5 for Nottingham Forest.
• Most likely score is 0–1 (12%), followed by 1–1 (12%).
• Corners: about 7 (2.5 — 4.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 2 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 0.5, 2nd — 2.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 1.5	0%	100%	71%	1.40
Over 2.5	0%	100%	46%	2.19
Over 3.5	0%	100%	24%	4.13
Over 4.5	0%	0%	11%	9.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (1), away team away (1). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Aston Villa Nottingham Forest

• Winless in 4 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 9.5 corners in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Aston Villamatches: 1 · 1Nottingham Forest

1.0Avg match total4.0

100%1/1Over 0.5100%1/1

0%0/1Under 0.50%0/1

0%0/1Over 1.5100%1/1

100%1/1Under 1.50%0/1

0%0/1Over 2.5100%1/1

100%1/1Under 2.50%0/1

0%0/1Over 3.5100%1/1

100%1/1Under 3.50%0/1

0%0/1Over 4.50%0/1

100%1/1Under 4.5100%1/1

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

0%0/1Scores first100%1/1

—…and wins0%0/1

—…and draws100%1/1

—…and loses0%0/1

—…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Aston Villa opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Aston Villa avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Nottingham Forest opened the scoring in 100% of matches.

Aston Villa				Nottingham Forest
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	0	0%	1–15	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	16–30	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	31–45	0%	0	0
0	1	100%	46–60	100%	0	1
0	0	0%	61–75	100%	1	0
0	0	0%	76–90	100%	0	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Aston Villa concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 1 conceded.
• • Nottingham Forest scores most in 16–30: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Nottingham Forest concedes most in 46–60: 1 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

2.0Corners won, avg5.0

4.0Corners conceded, avg3.0

6.0Match corners, avg8.0

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg4.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Aston Villa				Nottingham Forest
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	100%	1–10	0%	0	0
1	1	100%	11–20	100%	2	0
0	1	100%	21–30	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	31–40	100%	0	2
0	0	0%	41–HT	100%	2	0
0	0	0%	46–55	100%	0	1
0	0	0%	56–65	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	66–75	0%	0	0
1	0	100%	76–85	100%	1	0
0	1	100%	86–FT	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	37–HT	100%	2	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Aston Villaper matchNottingham Forest

0.34xG for2.3

1.04xG against1.75

7.0Shots12.0

7.0Shots against13.0

0.0Shots on target3.0

2.0On target against4.0

0%Conversion17%

—Shots per goal6.0

17.0Fouls10.0

0.0Offsides0.0

• • Aston Villa scores 0.34 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Aston Villa concedes 0.04 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Nottingham Forest scores 0.3 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Nottingham Forest concedes 0.25 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.83 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.