Arsenal Tivat — Mladost DG 0:1: match report and statistics

• 44% Possession 56%
• 5 Total shots 9
• 3 Shots on target 1
• 5 Corners 5
• 2 Yellow cards 2
• 2 Shots off target 8
• 2 Offsides 1
• 18 Free kicks 20
• 21 Throw-ins 29
• 18 Fouls 17

Tournament

Montenegro. First League

Season

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19:12	+7	25	WWDWD
2	Otrant	14	7	3	4	24:18	+6	24	WLDWD
3	Sutjeska Niksic	14	6	5	3	19:10	+9	23	WDDWD
4	Mornar	14	5	6	3	20:15	+5	21	DLWWD
5	Bokelj	13	5	4	4	10:10	0	19	LDWLW
6	Decic	13	5	3	5	12:11	+1	18	LWLLD
7	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15	DWWLL
8	Jezero Plav	14	3	6	5	16:22	-6	15	WDLDD
9	Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11:23	-12	12	LLLDD
10	Arsenal Tivat	13	1	6	6	10:19	-9	9	LDDLL

• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play-off)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 2.5 goals: 1.75 for Arsenal Tivat and 0.75 for Mladost DG.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (14%), followed by 2–0 (13%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 3 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 1.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	50%	100%	92%	1.09
Over 1.5	50%	50%	71%	1.40
Over 2.5	50%	50%	46%	2.19
Over 3.5	0%	50%	24%	4.13
Over 4.5	0%	50%	11%	9.19

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG

• Winless in 7 matches100%
• Under 11.5 corners in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Conceded under 2.5 in 5 of 7 matches71%
• At least one team failed to score in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Failed to score in 5 of 7 matches71%
• Under 4.5 cards in 5 of 7 matches71%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 6

Arsenal Tivatmatches: 2 · 2Mladost DG

1.5Avg match total3.5

50%1/2Over 0.5100%2/2

50%1/2Under 0.50%0/2

50%1/2Over 1.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 1.550%1/2

50%1/2Over 2.550%1/2

50%1/2Under 2.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 3.550%1/2

100%2/2Under 3.550%1/2

0%0/2Over 4.550%1/2

100%2/2Under 4.550%1/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Arsenal TivatMladost DG

0%0/1Scores first0%0/2

—…and wins—

—…and draws—

—…and loses—

—…and then concedes—

First to concede…

Overall

• • Arsenal Tivat opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Arsenal Tivat avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Mladost DG opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Mladost DG avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Arsenal Tivat				Mladost DG
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	50%	1–15	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	16–30	50%	0	1
1	0	50%	31–45	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	46–60	50%	1	2
0	0	0%	61–75	0%	0	0
0	1	50%	76–90	50%	0	1
1	0	50%	37–HT	50%	0	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Arsenal Tivat scores most in 31–45: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Arsenal Tivat concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Mladost DG scores most in 46–60: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Mladost DG concedes most in 46–60: 2 of 6 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Arsenal TivatMladost DG

7.0Corners won, avg—

4.0Corners conceded, avg—

11.0Match corners, avg—

5.5Corners in 1st half, avg—

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.