Stade Brestois 29 — Toulouse 2:2: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 3.04 Expected goals (xG) 1.14
• 51% Possession 49%
• 27 Total shots 6
• 7 Shots on target 2
• 6 Big Chances 3
• 7 Corners 2
• 83 (357/432)Assists(366/445) 82
• 2 Yellow cards 3
• 3.31 xG on target (xGOT) 1.61
• 12 Shots off target 3
• 8 Shots blocked 1
• 15 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 11 Shots from outside the penalty area 2
• 3 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 1
• 29 Touches in opposition box 15
• 1 Accurate through passes 1
• 5 Offsides 0
• 18 Free kicks 19
• 54 (38/71)Long Balls(16/41) 39
• 70 (81/116)Passes in final third(73/100) 73
• 27 (10/37)Crosses(2/10) 20
• 2.18 Expected assists (xA) 0.92
• 26 Throw-ins 17
• 19 Fouls 18
• 76 (16/21)Tackles(11/19) 58
• 60 Duels won 69
• 18 Clearances 55
• 14 Steals 11
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 0 Saves 5
• 1.61 xGOT faced 3.31
• -0.39 Goals prevented 1.31
• 4 Goal kicks 10
• 2 Posts and crossbars 0

1. 90:00 +5:15Second half ends
2. 90:00 +4:17GOAL! Ludovic Ajorque scores, Assisted by Hugo Magnetti (High to the left, 18-yard box, Big Chance, Head, Set piece)
3. 90:00 +3:41Rasmus Nicolaisen recieves a yellow card
4. 90:00 +2:55Raphaël Le Guen misses attempt (To the left, 18-yard box, Other body part, Open play)
5. 90:00 +2:44Santiago Hidalgo blocks a shot
6. 90:00 +2:44Joris Chotard has shot blocked (Out of box, Right footed, Open play)
7. 90:46Mama Baldé misses attempt (High to the left, 18-yard box, Right footed, Throw-in set piece)
8. 90:36Guillaume Restes makes a save (Parried into danger, Standing, Other body part)
9. 90:36Lucas Tousart has attempt saved (Low to the left, 6-yard box, Big Chance, Right footed, From corner)
10. 90:32Lucas Tousart hits the woodwork (High, 6-yard box, Big Chance, Head, From corner)
11. 89:52Mama Baldé wins a corner (To the left)
12. 89:51Christ Tapé blocks a shot
13. 89:51Mama Baldé has shot blocked (Out of box, Left footed, Open play)
14. 88:47Niklas Schmidt recieves a yellow card
15. 84:16Christ Tapé blocks a shot

Stade Brestois 29Toulouse

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

First League

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

13,701

Referee

Jerome Brisard

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint-Germain	9	6	2	1	21:10	+11	20	WWWWW
2	Lille OSC	9	5	3	1	12:6	+6	18	WDDWL
3	Lyon	9	5	2	2	15:7	+8	17	WLWLW
4	Paris	9	5	2	2	16:10	+6	17	WLWLW
5	Stade Rennais	9	5	1	3	20:19	+1	16	LWLWL
6	Olympique de Marseille	9	5	0	4	20:13	+7	15	WWWWL
7	AS Monaco	9	4	3	2	12:10	+2	15	LDLDW
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	13:12	+1	14	WWLWW
9	RC Lens	9	4	1	4	16:13	+3	13	LWWWL
10	Stade Brestois 29	9	3	3	3	16:12	+4	12	LDWLL
11	Lorient	9	3	3	3	7:8	-1	12	DWWLD
12	Toulouse	9	2	4	3	12:13	-1	10	LDWDW
13	Strasbourg	9	3	1	5	17:19	-2	10	WLLLL
14	Auxerre	9	3	1	5	13:23	-10	10	LDWLW
15	Angers SCO	9	2	2	5	9:17	-8	8	LDLLW
16	Troyes AC	9	2	2	5	7:16	-9	8	WDLLL
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	11:18	-7	7	LDLLW
18	Le Havre	9	0	2	7	9:20	-11	2	LLLLL

• Promotion - Champions League (League stage)
• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - Europa League (League stage)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• First League (Promotion - Play-off)
• Relegation - Ligue 2

• The model expects 3 goals: 1.59 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.42 for Toulouse.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 6 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.42, 2nd — 1.59.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.05
Over 1.5	100%	50%	80%	1.25
Over 2.5	67%	50%	58%	1.73
Over 3.5	67%	0%	35%	2.83
Over 4.5	33%	0%	18%	5.41

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (2). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Stade Brestois 29 Toulouse

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• First-half goal in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Stade Brestois 29matches: 3 · 2Toulouse

4.0Avg match total2.0

100%3/3Over 0.5100%2/2

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/2

100%3/3Over 1.550%1/2

0%0/3Under 1.550%1/2

67%2/3Over 2.550%1/2

33%1/3Under 2.550%1/2

67%2/3Over 3.50%0/2

33%1/3Under 3.5100%2/2

33%1/3Over 4.50%0/2

67%2/3Under 4.5100%2/2

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Stade Brestois 29Toulouse

67%2/3Scores first50%1/2

0%0/2…and wins100%1/1

100%2/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

100%2/2…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Stade Brestois 29 opened the scoring in 67% of matches.
• • Stade Brestois 29 avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Toulouse opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Toulouse avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Stade Brestois 29				Toulouse
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	67%	1–15	50%	0	1
0	3	67%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	2	33%	31–45	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	46–60	0%	0	0
0	0	0%	61–75	50%	1	0
2	2	100%	76–90	50%	0	2
0	1	33%	37–HT	0%	0	0
1	0	33%	87–FT	50%	0	1

• • Stade Brestois 29 scores most in 1–15: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Stade Brestois 29 concedes most in 16–30: 3 of 7 conceded.
• • Stade Brestois 29 scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Toulouse scores most in 61–75: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Toulouse concedes most in 76–90: 2 of 3 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Stade Brestois 29Toulouse

5.0Corners won, avg—

3.0Corners conceded, avg—

8.0Match corners, avg—

0.0Corners in 1st half, avg—

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.83 goals per match on average.