Tokyo — JEF United Ichihara Chiba 2:0: match report and statistics

• 2.84 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
• 63% Possession 37%
• 22 Total shots 7
• 5 Shots on target 1
• 2 Big Chances 1
• 5 Corners 1
• 83 (482/578)Assists(231/337) 69
• 1 Yellow cards 0
• 2.6 xG on target (xGOT) 0.16
• 10 Shots off target 4
• 7 Shots blocked 2
• 17 Shots from inside the penalty area 4
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 44 Touches in opposition box 6
• 2 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 5 Free kicks 11
• 34 (18/53)Long Balls(19/63) 30
• 75 (127/170)Passes in final third(45/81) 56
• 22 (4/18)Crosses(1/11) 9
• 2.81 Expected assists (xA) 0.22
• 24 Throw-ins 20
• 11 Fouls 5
• 82 (9/11)Tackles(10/16) 63
• 33 Duels won 51
• 15 Clearances 26
• 14 Steals 10
• 0 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 1 Saves 3
• 0.16 xGOT faced 2.6
• 0.16 Goals prevented 0.6
• 5 Goal kicks 10

Tournament

Japan. J-League

Attendance

52,200

Referee

Masuya Ueda

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Tokyo	13	9	3	1	31:8	+23	30	WWDWW
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	13	9	2	2	32:10	+22	29	WWLWW
3	Machida Zelvia	13	8	4	1	30:10	+20	28	DDWWW
4	Kashiwa Reysol	13	9	1	3	29:19	+10	28	WWDLW
5	Vissel Kobe	13	8	2	3	21:12	+9	26	WDLWL
6	Kashima Antlers	13	7	2	4	29:22	+7	23	WLDWW
7	Kawasaki Frontale	13	6	4	3	27:22	+5	22	LWWWL
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	13	5	6	2	20:14	+6	21	WDDDD
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	13	7	0	6	21:27	-6	21	LWWWL
10	Fagiano Okayama	13	5	1	7	15:21	-6	16	LLWLL
11	Nagoya Grampus	13	4	2	7	15:21	-6	14	LDDWW
12	Cerezo Osaka	13	3	5	5	13:23	-10	14	LDDLD
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	13	4	2	7	10:22	-12	14	LLLDW
14	Kyoto Sanga	13	3	4	6	17:23	-6	13	WDDLL
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	13	3	3	7	16:21	-5	12	LLWLD
16	Gamba Osaka	13	2	6	5	14:21	-7	12	DDWDL
17	Tokyo Verdy	13	2	5	6	11:22	-11	11	WWDLL
18	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	13	2	4	7	15:24	-9	10	WDLDD
19	Mito HollyHock	13	2	3	8	12:25	-13	9	LLLLL
20	Avispa Fukuoka	13	2	1	10	13:24	-11	7	LLLLW

• Promotion - Champions League (League stage)
• Relegation - Japan. J-League Division 2

• The model expects 3.88 goals: 1.88 for Tokyo and 2 for JEF United Ichihara Chiba.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (8%), followed by 1–2 (8%).
• Corners: about 8.6 (5.2 — 3.4).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.88, 2nd — 2.08.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	75%	100%	90%	1.11
Over 2.5	75%	100%	74%	1.35
Over 3.5	50%	75%	54%	1.85
Over 4.5	25%	25%	35%	2.88

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Tokyo JEF United Ichihara Chiba

• Winless in 6 matches100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Under 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Both teams scored in 5 of 6 matches83%
• First-half goal in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Tokyomatches: 4 · 4JEF United Ichihara Chiba

3.5Avg match total4.3

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

75%3/4Over 1.5100%4/4

25%1/4Under 1.50%0/4

75%3/4Over 2.5100%4/4

25%1/4Under 2.50%0/4

50%2/4Over 3.575%3/4

50%2/4Under 3.525%1/4

25%1/4Over 4.525%1/4

75%3/4Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

TokyoJEF United Ichihara Chiba

33%1/3Scores first50%2/4

0%0/1…and wins0%0/2

0%0/1…and draws100%2/2

100%1/1…and loses0%0/2

100%1/1…and then concedes100%2/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Tokyo opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Tokyo avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Tokyo				JEF United Ichihara Chiba
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	50%	1–15	50%	1	1
0	1	25%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	3	50%	31–45	50%	2	2
0	2	50%	46–60	50%	0	2
1	1	50%	61–75	75%	0	3
0	1	25%	76–90	75%	2	3
0	2	50%	37–HT	25%	1	1
0	0	0%	87–FT	75%	1	2

• • Tokyo scores most in 1–15: 1 of 2 goals (50%).
• • Tokyo concedes most in 31–45: 3 of 9 conceded.
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba scores most in 31–45: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

TokyoJEF United Ichihara Chiba

5.7Corners won, avg3.5

3.3Corners conceded, avg4.8

9.0Match corners, avg8.3

2.67Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Tokyoper matchJEF United Ichihara Chiba

1.31xG for0.97

1.43xG against2.05

14.0Shots10.5

12.0Shots against14.8

4.0Shots on target3.8

6.3On target against6.5

7%Conversion14%

14.0Shots per goal7.0

12.7Fouls11.3

2.33Offsides1.5

• • Tokyo scores 0.31 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Tokyo concedes 1.07 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba scores 0.53 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • JEF United Ichihara Chiba concedes 0.7 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.67 goals per match on average.