Zurich — Vaduz 2:1: match report and statistics

• 1.18 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
• 35% Possession 65%
• 17 Total shots 11
• 6 Shots on target 3
• 1 Big Chances 1
• 7 Corners 2
• 75 (247/329)Assists(537/627) 86
• 0 Yellow cards 2
• 1.53 xG on target (xGOT) 1.47
• 6 Shots off target 5
• 5 Shots blocked 3
• 9 Shots from inside the penalty area 8
• 8 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 33 Touches in opposition box 10
• 1 Accurate through passes 2
• 2 Offsides 1
• 15 Free kicks 6
• 52 (36/69)Long Balls(14/48) 29
• 63 (66/105)Passes in final third(81/118) 69
• 30 (6/20)Crosses(5/10) 50
• 0.8 Expected assists (xA) 1.07
• 15 Throw-ins 24
• 6 Fouls 15
• 71 (10/14)Tackles(11/20) 55
• 45 Duels won 42
• 18 Clearances 12
• 10 Steals 6
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 4
• 1.47 xGOT faced 1.53
• 0.47 Goals prevented -0.47
• 9 Goal kicks 6

Tournament

Switzerland Championship

Attendance

13,499

Referee

Fedayi San

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Lugano	13	11	1	1	36:15	+21	34	LWWWW
2	Young Boys	13	8	4	1	41:25	+16	28	WLWWW
3	Sion	13	8	2	3	29:18	+11	26	WDWLD
4	St. Gallen	13	7	1	5	24:22	+2	22	WWLWW
5	Zurich	13	6	3	4	25:26	-1	21	DWWWD
6	Servette	13	5	2	6	17:16	+1	17	DLWWL
7	Basel	13	4	3	6	21:25	-4	15	DLDLL
8	Thun	13	4	2	7	27:37	-10	14	DWLLW
9	Luzern	13	3	4	6	21:28	-7	13	LDLLW
10	Grasshopper Club Zurich	13	2	5	6	16:29	-13	11	DDDLL
11	Vaduz	13	3	1	9	24:29	-5	10	LDLWL
12	Lausanne-Sport	13	1	4	8	12:23	-11	7	DLLLL

• Promotion - Superliga (Play-off)
• Superliga (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3.84 goals: 1.92 for Zurich and 1.92 for Vaduz.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (8%), followed by 2–1 (8%).
• Corners: about 9.4 (4.8 — 4.6).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.75, 2nd — 2.09.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	98%	1.02
Over 1.5	100%	100%	90%	1.12
Over 2.5	100%	83%	74%	1.36
Over 3.5	33%	33%	53%	1.87
Over 4.5	33%	33%	34%	2.95

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Zurich Vaduz

• Scored in 10 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 8 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 8 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 8 matches in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 8 matches100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Both teams scored in 9 of 10 matches90%
• First-half goal in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Scored over 0.5 in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Both teams scored in 7 of 8 matches88%

Based on recent matches: home team — 8, away team — 10

Zurichmatches: 3 · 6Vaduz

4.0Avg match total3.7

100%3/3Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/6

100%3/3Over 1.5100%6/6

0%0/3Under 1.50%0/6

100%3/3Over 2.583%5/6

0%0/3Under 2.517%1/6

33%1/3Over 3.533%2/6

67%2/3Under 3.567%4/6

33%1/3Over 4.533%2/6

67%2/3Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

ZurichVaduz

100%3/3Scores first50%3/6

33%1/3…and wins33%1/3

0%0/3…and draws0%0/3

67%2/3…and loses67%2/3

100%3/3…and then concedes67%2/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Zurich opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Vaduz opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Vaduz avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Zurich				Vaduz
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	67%	1–15	50%	2	1
0	1	33%	16–30	67%	1	3
1	1	67%	31–45	50%	2	2
0	1	33%	46–60	33%	1	2
0	2	67%	61–75	50%	3	1
2	2	100%	76–90	50%	0	4
0	0	0%	37–HT	33%	1	2
0	1	33%	87–FT	50%	0	3

• • Zurich scores most in 1–15: 2 of 5 goals (40%).
• • Zurich concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • Zurich scores 40% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Vaduz scores most in 61–75: 3 of 9 goals (33%).
• • Vaduz concedes most in 76–90: 4 of 13 conceded.
• • Vaduz scores 33% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

ZurichVaduz

3.7Corners won, avg3.8

5.3Corners conceded, avg6.0

9.0Match corners, avg9.8

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Zurichper matchVaduz

1.56xG for1.32

1.56xG against2.19

12.7Shots11.8

12.7Shots against17.0

5.3Shots on target5.2

6.3On target against6.0

13%Conversion13%

7.6Shots per goal7.9

13.3Fouls13.2

1.67Offsides1.83

• • Zurich scores 0.11 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Zurich concedes 0.77 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Vaduz scores 0.18 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Vaduz concedes 0.02 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.33 goals per match on average.