Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Cercle Brugge 1:1: match report and statistics

• 0.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.6
• 43% Possession 57%
• 10 Total shots 13
• 2 Shots on target 3
• 1 Big Chances 1
• 2 Corners 11
• 70 (233/335)Assists(316/429) 74
• 3 Yellow cards 3
• 0.29 xG on target (xGOT) 1.65
• 5 Shots off target 8
• 3 Shots blocked 2
• 6 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 2 Hit the woodwork 1
• 17 Touches in opposition box 31
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 0 Offsides 2
• 18 Free kicks 17
• 36 (28/78)Long Balls(30/68) 44
• 51 (53/103)Passes in final third(61/114) 54
• 33 (4/12)Crosses(6/25) 24
• 0.88 Expected assists (xA) 0.95
• 19 Throw-ins 31
• 17 Fouls 18
• 68 (15/22)Tackles(8/11) 73
• 63 Duels won 46
• 45 Clearances 21
• 17 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 1
• 1.65 xGOT faced 0.29
• 0.65 Goals prevented -0.71
• 11 Goal kicks 11

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenCercle Brugge

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

Belgium. Jupiler League

Referee

Bram Van Driessche

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	26:8	+18	27	WWWWW
2	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	10	8	2	0	29:7	+22	26	WWDWW
3	Gent	10	8	1	1	19:6	+13	25	LWWWD
4	R. Charleroi	10	8	0	2	21:12	+9	24	WLWLW
5	Anderlecht	10	6	1	3	13:11	+2	19	WLWWW
6	Genk	10	4	3	3	18:14	+4	15	LWWLD
7	Lommel SK	10	4	3	3	13:11	+2	15	WWDLL
8	K.V.C. Westerlo	10	4	2	4	25:25	0	14	LDWWW
9	Standard Liege	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12	DLLLW
10	Zulte Waregem	10	3	2	5	12:16	-4	11	LLLLW
11	Royal Antwerp	10	3	1	6	16:22	-6	10	LWLLL
12	S.K. Beveren	10	3	1	6	13:20	-7	10	LDLLW
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9	LWLDW
14	Mechelen	9	2	3	4	10:17	-7	9	LWLWW
15	Sint-Truidense	10	2	2	6	18:21	-3	8	LLLLL
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	1	7	13:23	-10	7	LWLDW
17	Mechelen	10	1	3	6	13:22	-9	6	LWLWW
18	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	3:19	-16	4	DLWLL

• Promotion - Champions League (League stage)
• Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
• Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
• Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification)
• Relegation - Belgium. Belgacom League

• The model expects 4.34 goals: 1.92 for Oud-Heverlee Leuven and 2.42 for Cercle Brugge.
• Most likely score is 1–2 (7%), followed by 2–2 (7%).
• Corners: about 14.3 (6.2 — 8.1).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 31-45: 13 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 2.17, 2nd — 2.3.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	99%	1.01
Over 1.5	100%	83%	93%	1.08
Over 2.5	100%	83%	81%	1.24
Over 3.5	33%	67%	63%	1.59
Over 4.5	33%	33%	44%	2.29

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (3), away team away (6). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Oud-Heverlee Leuven Cercle Brugge

• Winless in 10 matches100%
• Winless in 7 matches100%
• 6 defeats in a row100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Over 9.5 corners in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Lost 6 of 7 matches86%
• Under 4.5 cards in 6 of 7 matches86%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 7, away team — 10

Oud-Heverlee Leuvenmatches: 3 · 6Cercle Brugge

5.0Avg match total3.7

100%3/3Over 0.5100%6/6

0%0/3Under 0.50%0/6

100%3/3Over 1.583%5/6

0%0/3Under 1.517%1/6

100%3/3Over 2.583%5/6

0%0/3Under 2.517%1/6

33%1/3Over 3.567%4/6

67%2/3Under 3.533%2/6

33%1/3Over 4.533%2/6

67%2/3Under 4.567%4/6

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenCercle Brugge

0%0/3Scores first80%4/5

—…and wins0%0/4

—…and draws50%2/4

—…and loses50%2/4

—…and then concedes100%4/4

First to concede…

Overall

• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven opened the scoring in 0% of matches.
• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Cercle Brugge opened the scoring in 80% of matches.
• • Cercle Brugge avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven				Cercle Brugge
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	33%	1–15	17%	1	0
0	2	67%	16–30	17%	1	0
2	1	33%	31–45	83%	4	6
1	2	67%	46–60	33%	0	3
1	3	67%	61–75	33%	0	2
0	2	67%	76–90	33%	1	1
1	1	33%	37–HT	67%	2	5
0	1	33%	87–FT	17%	1	0

• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven scores most in 31–45: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven concedes most in 61–75: 3 of 11 conceded.
• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Cercle Brugge scores most in 31–45: 4 of 7 goals (57%).
• • Cercle Brugge concedes most in 31–45: 6 of 12 conceded.
• • Cercle Brugge scores 14% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Oud-Heverlee LeuvenCercle Brugge

5.0Corners won, avg6.7

9.5Corners conceded, avg7.3

14.5Match corners, avg14.0

4.0Corners in 1st half, avg4.7

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Oud-Heverlee Leuvenper matchCercle Brugge

1.37xG for1.38

2.37xG against1.95

19.0Shots13.7

16.5Shots against16.0

2.0Shots on target4.0

6.0On target against5.3

7%Conversion9%

14.3Shots per goal11.7

9.5Fouls12.7

2.0Offsides2.33

• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven scores 0.04 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Oud-Heverlee Leuven concedes 1.3 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Cercle Brugge scores 0.21 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Cercle Brugge concedes 0.55 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.67 goals per match on average.