Jablonec — Banik Ostrava 3:0: match report and statistics

• 2.87 Expected goals (xG) 0.85
• 58% Possession 42%
• 23 Total shots 9
• 7 Shots on target 2
• 5 Big Chances 1
• 9 Corners 5
• 88 (438/500)Assists(304/369) 82
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 0 Red cards 1
• 2.63 xG on target (xGOT) 0.69
• 11 Shots off target 3
• 5 Shots blocked 4
• 19 Shots from inside the penalty area 5
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 4
• 0 Hit the woodwork 0
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 37 Touches in opposition box 13
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 1
• 11 Free kicks 10
• 53 (29/55)Long Balls(22/47) 47
• 82 (121/148)Passes in final third(67/106) 63
• 43 (16/37)Crosses(5/14) 36
• 3.58 Expected assists (xA) 0.76
• 21 Throw-ins 14
• 10 Fouls 11
• 83 (5/6)Tackles(9/14) 64
• 32 Duels won 44
• 25 Clearances 30
• 8 Steals 7
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 4
• 0.69 xGOT faced 2.63
• 0.69 Goals prevented -0.37
• 7 Goal kicks 12

1. 90:00 +4:14The referee checks his watch and blows his whistle to signal the end of this match.
2. 90:00 +3:25Jablonec are playing excellent possession football at the moment by exchanging some long passes.
3. 90:00 +1:20The shots on goal statistics – 7:2.
4. 90:00There will be a minimum of 4 min. of added time.
5. 89:45A fantastic block by a defender means that the corner from Jablonec comes to nothing.
6. 89:18Neat passing move from Jablonec in order to create new attacking opportunities.
7. 86:27Jablonec have a chance to score from a corner kick, but the ball is cleared by a defender.
8. 86:01Hugo Ahl (Jablonec) gets inside the box and tries to beat Martin Jedlicka with a measured shot into the bottom right corner, but the keeper is equal to the effort and makes a fine save.
9. 85:20Jablonec take the corner, but their hopes of scoring a goal end with a nice clearance by the defence.
10. 83:07The resulting corner from Eduard Sobol (Jablonec) is cleared by the defence.
11. 81:06Substitution. Richard Sedlacek makes way for Filip Zorvan (Jablonec).
12. 81:00Lubos Kozel decides to make a substitution. Filip Novak will be replaced by Eduard Sobol (Jablonec).
13. 79:0917:9 – this is the total number of shots produced by both teams.
14. 77:08Jablonec enjoy a period of possession as they are exchanging some passes and waiting for an opportunity to strike.
15. 73:00The substitution is prepared. Lamin Jawo (Jablonec) joins the action as a substitute, replacing Dominik Holly.

Tournament

Czech Republic. Chance Liga

Attendance

2,671

Referee

Ales Mach

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Prague	13	9	4	0	32:7	+25	31	WDDWW
2	Mlada Boleslav	13	7	3	3	22:15	+7	24	WDWLL
3	Sigma Olomouc	13	7	3	3	22:15	+7	24	WDWDL
4	AC Sparta Prague	13	7	2	4	25:13	+12	23	DWDWW
5	Slovan Liberec	12	7	2	3	15:8	+7	23	WLLDW
6	Teplice	13	6	3	4	21:18	+3	21	WDLDW
7	Bohemians 1905 Prague	13	5	5	3	15:14	+1	20	WDDWW
8	Jablonec	13	6	2	5	16:18	-2	20	LWLWD
9	Zbrojovka	13	6	2	5	16:19	-3	20	LDWLL
10	Viktoria Plzen	13	5	4	4	28:21	+7	19	WLWWL
11	Hradec Kralove	13	4	3	6	12:18	-6	15	LLDLL
12	Pardubice	13	4	2	7	15:19	-4	14	LWWLW
13	Banik Ostrava	12	3	2	7	7:22	-15	11	LDLDL
14	Artis Brno	13	2	4	7	14:24	-10	10	LDDWD
15	1. Slovacko	13	1	4	8	12:26	-14	7	LLLWD
16	Zlin	13	0	3	10	11:26	-15	3	DDLLD

• Promotion - First League (Championship - Play-offs)
• Promotion - First League (7th-10th Places)
• First League (Relegation Group)

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 1.5 for Jablonec and 1.75 for Banik Ostrava.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 1–2 (9%).
• Corners: about 9 (4.1 — 4.8).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 8 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.25, 2nd — 1.88.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	75%	75%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	50%	75%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	0%	50%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	0%	25%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Jablonec Banik Ostrava

• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 9 of 9 matches100%
• Over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 matches100%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 matches89%
• Under 9.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 matches86%
• At least one team failed to score in 6 of 7 matches86%
• First-half goal in 6 of 7 matches86%
• Over 7.5 corners in 5 of 6 matches83%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 matches78%
• Won 4 of 5 matches after scoring first80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 9, away team — 7

Jablonecmatches: 4 · 4Banik Ostrava

2.25Avg match total4.3

100%4/4Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/4

75%3/4Over 1.575%3/4

25%1/4Under 1.525%1/4

50%2/4Over 2.575%3/4

50%2/4Under 2.525%1/4

0%0/4Over 3.550%2/4

100%4/4Under 3.550%2/4

0%0/4Over 4.525%1/4

100%4/4Under 4.575%3/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

JablonecBanik Ostrava

50%2/4Scores first50%2/4

100%2/2…and wins100%2/2

0%0/2…and draws0%0/2

0%0/2…and loses0%0/2

0%0/2…and then concedes0%0/2

First to concede…

Overall

• • Jablonec opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Jablonec avoided defeat after conceding first in 50% of such matches.
• • Banik Ostrava opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Banik Ostrava avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Jablonec				Banik Ostrava
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0	1	25%	1–15	50%	1	1
0	0	0%	16–30	75%	3	2
0	0	0%	31–45	25%	2	0
1	1	50%	46–60	75%	2	1
4	0	100%	61–75	50%	3	1
0	1	25%	76–90	25%	0	1
0	0	0%	37–HT	25%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Jablonec scores most in 61–75: 4 of 5 goals (80%).
• • Jablonec concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Jablonec scores 80% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Banik Ostrava scores most in 16–30: 3 of 11 goals (27%).
• • Banik Ostrava concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 6 conceded.
• • Banik Ostrava scores 27% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

JablonecBanik Ostrava

6.3Corners won, avg7.7

2.0Corners conceded, avg2.0

8.3Match corners, avg9.7

3.0Corners in 1st half, avg2.67

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by 10 minutes (avg)

Jablonec				Banik Ostrava
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
0.7	0.3	100%	1–10	0%	0	0
0.3	0	33%	11–20	100%	1	0.5
1.7	0	67%	21–30	100%	1.5	0
1	0	67%	31–40	50%	1	0
0	0	0%	41–HT	50%	0.5	0
0.7	0.3	100%	46–55	100%	1	0.5
1.3	0.3	100%	56–65	50%	0	0.5
0.3	0	33%	66–75	50%	0	0.5
0.3	0.3	67%	76–85	50%	1	0
0.3	0	33%	86–FT	50%	0.5	0
0.3	0	33%	37–HT	100%	1	0
0.3	0	33%	87–FT	50%	0.5	0

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Jablonecper matchBanik Ostrava

1.39xG for1.73

0.45xG against1.97

17.8Shots20.0

7.5Shots against11.0

5.3Shots on target8.0

2.0On target against4.7

8%Conversion14%

11.8Shots per goal7.3

14.8Fouls16.0

2.5Offsides3.0

• • Jablonec scores 0.11 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Jablonec concedes 0.3 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Banik Ostrava scores 1.02 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Banik Ostrava concedes 0.47 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2.5 goals per match on average.

Based on text commentary events (attacks, shots, corners, goals), not tracking data. Up — home team, down — away team.