Atlas Guadalajara — Pumas UNAM 1:1: match report and statistics

• 2.47 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
• 53% Possession 47%
• 20 Total shots 10
• 4 Shots on target 3
• 4 Big Chances 1
• 8 Corners 6
• 83 (357/431)Assists(309/388) 80
• 0 Red cards 1
• 0.89 xG on target (xGOT) 1.19
• 10 Shots off target 4
• 6 Shots blocked 3
• 17 Shots from inside the penalty area 7
• 3 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 1 Hit the woodwork 0
• 39 Touches in opposition box 21
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 4 Offsides 1
• 8 Free kicks 7
• 60 (24/40)Long Balls(41/82) 50
• 69 (87/126)Passes in final third(56/97) 58
• 34 (12/35)Crosses(5/15) 33
• 1.32 Expected assists (xA) 0.74
• 25 Throw-ins 19
• 7 Fouls 8
• 70 (7/10)Tackles(5/9) 56
• 40 Duels won 38
• 40 Clearances 35
• 8 Steals 8
• 1 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 2 Saves 3
• 1.19 xGOT faced 0.89
• 0.19 Goals prevented -0.11
• 10 Goal kicks 18

Tournament

Primera

Referee

Oscar Mejia Garcia

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Club America	15	8	5	2	36:21	+15	29	DDLWW
2	Guadalajara	15	8	5	2	25:14	+11	29	WWWDD
3	Cruz Azul	15	9	2	4	34:24	+10	29	WWWWD
4	Atlas Guadalajara	15	8	3	4	26:26	0	27	WWLWD
5	Deportivo Toluca	15	6	6	3	31:21	+10	24	DDDDL
6	Tijuana	15	5	7	3	25:21	+4	22	DDWDD
7	Leon	15	6	4	5	22:20	+2	22	LDWLD
8	Santos Laguna	15	7	1	7	21:20	+1	22	WLWWW
9	Monterrey	14	6	3	5	26:21	+5	21	DLWWD
10	Pumas UNAM	15	5	5	5	22:24	-2	20	WDLWD
11	Queretaro	14	6	2	6	18:21	-3	20	LLLLW
12	Pachuca	15	5	4	6	25:19	+6	19	WWLLD
13	Atletico San Luis	15	5	4	6	19:23	-4	19	LWWDL
14	Puebla	15	4	4	7	17:23	-6	16	LLLDD
15	Tigres de la UANL	15	3	6	6	15:22	-7	15	LDLDW
16	Atlante	15	3	5	7	16:24	-8	14	LLWLL
17	Club Necaxa	15	2	4	9	16:28	-12	10	LDLLD
18	Juarez	15	2	2	11	12:34	-22	8	WDLLD

• Promotion - Mexico. Primera Division (Apertura - Play-off: Round of 8)

• The model expects 2.95 goals: 1.5 for Atlas Guadalajara and 1.44 for Pumas UNAM.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (11%), followed by 2–1 (9%).
• Corners: about 7.7 (5 — 2.7).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 76-90: 7 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.46, 2nd — 1.41.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	95%	1.06
Over 1.5	100%	100%	79%	1.26
Over 2.5	50%	71%	56%	1.77
Over 3.5	25%	14%	34%	2.94
Over 4.5	0%	14%	18%	5.70

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (4), away team away (7). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Atlas Guadalajara Pumas UNAM

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Scored under 2.5 in 10 of 10 matches100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 4.5 cards in 9 of 10 matches90%
• Under 10.5 corners in 7 of 8 matches88%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 8 of 10 matches80%
• First-half goal in 8 of 10 matches80%
• Over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 matches80%

Based on recent matches: home team — 10, away team — 10

Atlas Guadalajaramatches: 4 · 7Pumas UNAM

2.75Avg match total3.1

100%4/4Over 0.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 0.50%0/7

100%4/4Over 1.5100%7/7

0%0/4Under 1.50%0/7

50%2/4Over 2.571%5/7

50%2/4Under 2.529%2/7

25%1/4Over 3.514%1/7

75%3/4Under 3.586%6/7

0%0/4Over 4.514%1/7

100%4/4Under 4.586%6/7

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Atlas GuadalajaraPumas UNAM

50%2/4Scores first14%1/7

50%1/2…and wins100%1/1

50%1/2…and draws0%0/1

0%0/2…and loses0%0/1

100%2/2…and then concedes100%1/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Atlas Guadalajara opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Atlas Guadalajara avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.
• • Pumas UNAM opened the scoring in 14% of matches.
• • Pumas UNAM avoided defeat after conceding first in 17% of such matches.

Atlas Guadalajara				Pumas UNAM
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	50%	1–15	43%	0	3
0	2	50%	16–30	29%	2	1
1	1	25%	31–45	43%	2	2
0	1	25%	46–60	71%	2	3
0	1	25%	61–75	29%	1	1
1	2	75%	76–90	57%	1	3
1	1	25%	37–HT	43%	2	2
0	1	25%	87–FT	14%	0	1

• • Atlas Guadalajara scores most in 1–15: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Atlas Guadalajara concedes most in 16–30: 2 of 7 conceded.
• • Atlas Guadalajara scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Pumas UNAM scores most in 16–30: 2 of 8 goals (25%).
• • Pumas UNAM concedes most in 1–15: 3 of 13 conceded.
• • Pumas UNAM scores 25% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Atlas GuadalajaraPumas UNAM

5.0Corners won, avg3.7

1.67Corners conceded, avg5.0

6.7Match corners, avg8.7

2.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Atlas Guadalajaraper matchPumas UNAM

0.89xG for1.09

1.72xG against1.71

13.0Shots11.8

10.7Shots against12.3

2.33Shots on target4.3

3.7On target against4.3

8%Conversion10%

13.0Shots per goal10.4

13.3Fouls12.0

0.33Offsides1.67

• • Atlas Guadalajara scores 0.11 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Atlas Guadalajara concedes 0.03 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Pumas UNAM scores 0.05 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Pumas UNAM concedes 0.29 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 1.83 goals per match on average.