Cardiff City — Wrexham 1:1: match report and statistics

• 0.82 Expected goals (xG) 1.4
• 67% Possession 33%
• 9 Total shots 17
• 3 Shots on target 7
• 1 Big Chances 3
• 9 Corners 9
• 88 (480/545)Assists(206/263) 78
• 1 Yellow cards 2
• 0.63 xG on target (xGOT) 1.6
• 4 Shots off target 8
• 2 Shots blocked 2
• 5 Shots from inside the penalty area 11
• 4 Shots from outside the penalty area 6
• 0 Hit the woodwork 3
• 27 Touches in opposition box 26
• 0 Accurate through passes 1
• 3 Offsides 1
• 13 Free kicks 9
• 55 (22/40)Long Balls(29/52) 56
• 80 (161/202)Passes in final third(70/95) 74
• 19 (7/36)Crosses(2/19) 11
• 1.1 Expected assists (xA) 0.9
• 19 Throw-ins 8
• 9 Fouls 13
• 57 (8/14)Tackles(10/19) 53
• 48 Duels won 50
• 23 Clearances 40
• 5 Steals 8
• 0 Errors leading to shot 0
• 0 Errors leading to goal 0
• 7 Saves 2
• 1.6 xGOT faced 0.63
• 0.6 Goals prevented -0.37
• 8 Goal kicks 6

1. 90:00 +8:52Second half ends
2. 90:00 +8:14recieves a yellow card
3. 90:00 +7:06GOAL! Rubin Colwill scores (High to the left, Out of box, Right footed, Free kick)
4. 90:00 +4:26Nathan Trott makes a save (Parried into danger, Standing)
5. 90:00 +4:25Sam Smith has attempt saved (Low to the left, 18-yard box, Left footed, Fast break)
6. 90:00 +4:10Callum Robinson misses attempt (6-yard box, Head, Open play)
7. 90:00 +2:00Jack Moylan is caught offside
8. 90:00 +1:45Isaak Davies wins a corner (To the left)
9. 90:00 +1:43Isaak Davies misses attempt (To the left, 6-yard box, Big Chance, Head, From corner)
10. 90:00 +1:17Isaak Davies wins a corner (To the right)
11. 89:58Sam Smith misses attempt (18-yard box, Left footed, Open play)
12. 86:37Nathan Trott makes a save (Collected, Standing)
13. 86:37Callum Doyle has attempt saved (Low to the left, 18-yard box, Left footed, Open play)
14. 85:49Isaak Davies wins a corner (To the right)
15. 85:19Ronan Kpakio misses attempt (To the right, Out of box, Right footed, From corner)

Cardiff CityWrexham

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

England. Championship

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

31,421

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28	WWDWW
2	Swansea City	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26	WLLWW
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24	WWDWL
4	West Bromwich Albion	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24	WDWWL
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23	WWDWW
6	Birmingham City	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23	WLWWW
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23	WDWLW
8	West Ham United	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22	LLWWD
9	Queens Park Rangers	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20	LWLWD
10	Sheffield United	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19	WDWLW
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19	DWDWW
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18	WLDLW
13	Blackburn Rovers	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18	LWLWW
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18	WDLLD
15	Norwich City	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15	WWLLL
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15	LWDLL
17	Cardiff City	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14	LWDWL
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14	LLWLD
19	Bolton Wanderers	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14	LLDWL
20	Charlton Athletic	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14	LLLDD
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11	LLWLL
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9	DLLDW
23	Derby County	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7	LDLLD
24	Preston North End	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5	LDLLL

• Promotion - Premier League
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 2.88 goals: 2 for Cardiff City and 0.88 for Wrexham.
• Most likely score is 1–0 (11%), followed by 2–0 (11%).
• Corners: about 8.8 (5.4 — 3.3).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 61-75: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.63, 2nd — 1.25.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	75%	94%	1.06
Over 1.5	100%	0%	78%	1.28
Over 2.5	100%	0%	55%	1.82
Over 3.5	100%	0%	32%	3.08
Over 4.5	100%	0%	16%	6.09

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Cardiff City Wrexham

• Both teams scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 5 matches in a row100%
• Scored in 5 matches in a row100%
• 4 wins in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 4 matches100%
• 3 defeats in a row100%
• Winless in 3 matches100%
• Under 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Scored over 1.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• Conceded over 0.5 in 5 of 5 matches100%
• First-half goal in 5 of 5 matches100%

Based on recent matches: home team — 5, away team — 6

Cardiff Citymatches: 2 · 4Wrexham

5.0Avg match total0.75

100%2/2Over 0.575%3/4

0%0/2Under 0.525%1/4

100%2/2Over 1.50%0/4

0%0/2Under 1.5100%4/4

100%2/2Over 2.50%0/4

0%0/2Under 2.5100%4/4

100%2/2Over 3.50%0/4

0%0/2Under 3.5100%4/4

100%2/2Over 4.50%0/4

0%0/2Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

Cardiff CityWrexham

50%1/2Scores first33%1/3

100%1/1…and wins100%1/1

0%0/1…and draws0%0/1

0%0/1…and loses0%0/1

100%1/1…and then concedes0%0/1

First to concede…

Overall

• • Cardiff City opened the scoring in 50% of matches.
• • Cardiff City avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.
• • Wrexham opened the scoring in 33% of matches.
• • Wrexham avoided defeat after conceding first in 0% of such matches.

Cardiff City				Wrexham
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
1	1	100%	1–15	0%	0	0
2	0	100%	16–30	0%	0	0
2	0	100%	31–45	25%	1	0
0	1	50%	46–60	0%	0	0
1	1	100%	61–75	50%	0	2
1	0	50%	76–90	0%	0	0
2	0	100%	37–HT	25%	1	0
0	0	0%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Cardiff City scores most in 16–30: 2 of 7 goals (29%).
• • Cardiff City concedes most in 1–15: 1 of 3 conceded.
• • Cardiff City scores 29% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Wrexham scores most in 31–45: 1 of 1 goals (100%).
• • Wrexham concedes most in 61–75: 2 of 2 conceded.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

Cardiff CityWrexham

6.5Corners won, avg2.67

4.0Corners conceded, avg4.3

10.5Match corners, avg7.0

5.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.0

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Cardiff Cityper matchWrexham

1.99xG for1.31

1.76xG against0.96

13.5Shots8.3

14.5Shots against9.0

5.5Shots on target2.33

3.5On target against3.0

26%Conversion3%

3.9Shots per goal33.3

10.5Fouls9.7

2.5Offsides3.0

• • Cardiff City scores 1.51 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Cardiff City concedes 0.26 per match fewer than opponents' xG.
• • Wrexham scores 1.06 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Wrexham concedes 0.46 per match fewer than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 3.5 goals per match on average.