Southampton — Millwall 5:1: match report and statistics

Ratings are based on the players' stats over the last two seasons.

• 3.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.35
• 53% Possession 47%
• 21 Total shots 15
• 7 Shots on target 5
• 6 Big Chances 2
• 8 Corners 11
• 87 (373/428)Assists(306/378) 81
• 2 Yellow cards 1
• 3.6 xG on target (xGOT) 0.79
• 7 Shots off target 5
• 7 Shots blocked 5
• 16 Shots from inside the penalty area 12
• 5 Shots from outside the penalty area 3
• 1 Hit the woodwork 1
• 1 Headed goals 0
• 34 Touches in opposition box 25
• 0 Accurate through passes 0
• 1 Offsides 2
• 10 Free kicks 6
• 39 (13/33)Long Balls(14/46) 30
• 84 (157/187)Passes in final third(74/109) 68
• 19 (3/16)Crosses(5/21) 24
• 1.8 Expected assists (xA) 1.27
• 19 Throw-ins 13
• 6 Fouls 10
• 100 (9/9)Tackles(10/17) 59
• 34 Duels won 38
• 27 Clearances 20
• 5 Steals 10
• 1 Errors leading to shot 1
• 0 Errors leading to goal 1
• 4 Saves 2
• 0.79 xGOT faced 3.6
• -0.21 Goals prevented -1.4
• 4 Goal kicks 4

1. 90:00 +3:06Second half ends
2. 90:21James Ward-Prowse misses attempt (To the left, Out of box, Right footed, Open play)
3. 89:39Daniel Peretz makes a save (Collected, Standing)
4. 89:39Zak Lovelace has attempt saved (Low to the centre, 18-yard box, Head, From corner)
5. 88:13Luke Cundle wins a corner (To the left)
6. 87:33Zak Lovelace wins a corner (To the right)
7. 87:31Daniel Peretz makes a save (Parried safe, Standing)
8. 87:31Zak Lovelace has attempt saved (Low to the centre, 18-yard box, Right footed, Open play)
9. 86:47Jack Stephens is substituted on
10. 86:47Keven Schlotterbeck is substituted off
11. 86:33Tom Fellows recieves a yellow card
12. 85:12GOAL! Tom Fellows scores (Low to the left, 18-yard box, Right footed, Open play)
13. 83:15Luke Cundle wins a corner (To the left)
14. 82:48Jake Cooper wins a corner (To the left)
15. 82:13Mark Sykes wins a corner (To the right)

SouthamptonMillwall

General

Attack

Defence

Goals / Shots (Conversion)

Passes per match

Top scorers

Top assists

Best rated

Tournament

England. Championship

Season

2026/2027

Attendance

29,167

Referee

Adam Herczeg

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/-	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28	WWDWW
2	Swansea City	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26	LWLLW
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24	WWDWL
4	West Bromwich Albion	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24	DWDWW
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23	DWWDW
6	Birmingham City	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23	WWLWW
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23	WWDWL
8	West Ham United	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22	LLWWD
9	Queens Park Rangers	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20	DLWLW
10	Sheffield United	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19	WWDWL
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19	DWDWW
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18	LWLDL
13	Blackburn Rovers	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18	LLWLW
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18	WDLLD
15	Norwich City	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15	WWWLL
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15	LWDLL
17	Cardiff City	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14	LWDWL
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14	LLWLD
19	Bolton Wanderers	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14	WLLDW
20	Charlton Athletic	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14	LLLDD
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11	WLLWL
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9	DDLLD
23	Derby County	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7	LLDLL
24	Preston North End	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5	LDLLL

• Promotion - Premier League
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 4)
• Promotion - Championship (Play-off: Round of 8)
• Relegation - First League

• The model expects 3.25 goals: 1.25 for Southampton and 2 for Millwall.
• Most likely score is 1–1 (10%), followed by 1–2 (10%).
• Corners: about 7.5 (4 — 3.5).
• Most goals in both teams' matches come in 46-60: 4 in total.
• Expected goals by half: 1st — 1.38, 2nd — 1.75.

Market	history	history	Model	Fair odds
Over 0.5	100%	100%	96%	1.04
Over 1.5	100%	75%	84%	1.20
Over 2.5	100%	25%	63%	1.59
Over 3.5	100%	0%	41%	2.45
Over 4.5	50%	0%	23%	4.38

Poisson model on recent matches: home team at home (2), away team away (4). History — share of each team's matches where the line came in.

Both teams Southampton Millwall

• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• Unbeaten in 6 matches100%
• Scored in 6 matches in a row100%
• 5 wins in a row100%
• Both teams scored in 3 matches in a row100%
• Over 2.5 in 3 matches in a row100%
• 3 clean sheets in a row100%
• Under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Under 4.5 cards in 6 of 6 matches100%
• Won 5 of 5 matches after scoring first100%
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 matches83%

Based on recent matches: home team — 6, away team — 6

Southamptonmatches: 2 · 4Millwall

4.5Avg match total2.0

100%2/2Over 0.5100%4/4

0%0/2Under 0.50%0/4

100%2/2Over 1.575%3/4

0%0/2Under 1.525%1/4

100%2/2Over 2.525%1/4

0%0/2Under 2.575%3/4

100%2/2Over 3.50%0/4

0%0/2Under 3.5100%4/4

50%1/2Over 4.50%0/4

50%1/2Under 4.5100%4/4

Share of each team's recent matches where the match total went over / under the line.

First to score…

SouthamptonMillwall

100%2/2Scores first75%3/4

50%1/2…and wins100%3/3

0%0/2…and draws0%0/3

50%1/2…and loses0%0/3

100%2/2…and then concedes33%1/3

First to concede…

Overall

• • Southampton opened the scoring in 100% of matches.
• • Millwall opened the scoring in 75% of matches.
• • Millwall avoided defeat after conceding first in 100% of such matches.

Southampton				Millwall
For	Ag.	%	Period	%	For	Ag.
2	0	100%	1–15	25%	1	0
0	1	50%	16–30	0%	0	0
0	1	50%	31–45	50%	1	1
0	1	50%	46–60	75%	3	0
0	1	50%	61–75	0%	0	0
2	1	100%	76–90	25%	0	1
0	1	50%	37–HT	50%	1	1
2	0	50%	87–FT	0%	0	0

• • Southampton scores most in 1–15: 2 of 4 goals (50%).
• • Southampton concedes most in 16–30: 1 of 5 conceded.
• • Southampton scores 50% of goals after the 60th minute.
• • Millwall scores most in 46–60: 3 of 5 goals (60%).
• • Millwall concedes most in 31–45: 1 of 2 conceded.
• • Millwall scores 0% of goals after the 60th minute.
• Framed — the period where the team scores / concedes the most. % — share of matches with an event in the period.

Averages per match

SouthamptonMillwall

3.0Corners won, avg3.5

3.5Corners conceded, avg5.0

6.5Match corners, avg8.5

1.0Corners in 1st half, avg1.5

Match total

1st half total

Team total

Corner handicap

Corners by minute are counted only for matches with full text commentary.

Southamptonper matchMillwall

1.6xG for2.07

1.78xG against0.49

15.0Shots17.0

16.5Shots against8.5

5.0Shots on target3.5

5.0On target against0.5

13%Conversion9%

7.5Shots per goal11.3

8.5Fouls14.5

1.0Offsides2.0

• • Southampton scores 0.4 per match above its xG — finishing better than chances suggest.
• • Southampton concedes 0.72 per match more than opponents' xG.
• • Millwall scores 0.57 per match below its xG — wasteful in front of goal.
• • Millwall concedes 0.01 per match more than opponents' xG.

From the team's point of view: W — winning, D — draw, L — losing.

Head-to-head matches: 6 · 2 goals per match on average.